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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Tuesday, January 17

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Tuesday, January 17

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Tuesday, January 17

See TTD's Top Performing Breakouts 2011-2012


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


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Ticker Tape Digest

Tuesday - January 17, 2012


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

  Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

 1 - TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long - (Intermediate-term long plays)  these are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  2 -TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long - (Short-term long plays These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 3 - TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - (Long Term long plays.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  4 - TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.   


Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 6

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

 Bull side - Small list of breakout stocks today. Stock market still holding in its near-term up trend. Bulls be selective.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral.

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - January 17

Quote or chart

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Monster Beverage Corp. (MNST) - 100.68, up 3.69 - Breakpoint 98.41

Hansen Changes Name, Net To Jump for 2011, TTD Targets 118

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MNST  - ABOVE AVERAGE

    MNST, based in Corona, Ca., operates units producing Hansen beverages. The company changed its name from Hansen Natural Corp. to Monster Beverage Corp. Annual revenues: $1.5 billion. MNST breaks out today from a 15-week flat base. The stock hits a new all-time high. So far today MNST is trading a heavy 1.7 million shares, triple its normal daily volume of  547,000 shares. The stock is a leader.

 TTD highlighted MNST as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.  

  MNST' 10-minute chart shows the stock gapping higher in the morning and breaking out from its base.

 It then trended sideways the rest of the day, although there was a slight pull back in the early afternoon.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows HANS's recent big block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $96.99 to a peak of  100.56 late in the day.

  The tape action indicated good institutional buying in the morning with some profit taking in the afternoon.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of  26,550 shares crossed the tape at $100.25 (duplicated). That was up sharply from $96.99 late on Friday.

  MNST sells so-called alternative beverages such as natural sodas, fruit juices, juice cocktails.

 Its drinks include Monster Energy drinks, Java Monster, Peace Tea.

  It also sells  lemonade and a variety of ice teas.

  MNST' 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 85% versus a breakeven for the S&P 500 index.

  MNST's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from 1 back in 2003 to a peak of 68 in 2007. The stock then went into a bear market with the stock market and decline to 20.

 However, it has since turned and moved strongly higher. Its push to a new high today is very bullish and could bring in more buying on Wednesday.

  MNST's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 70 back in August to a peak near 98. The stock then trended sideways forming a base.

  A key to the bullishness of the base was that the lows were progressively higher as the stock's based continued to develop.

  MNST's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending sideways That shows the stock has been under just modest buying. It will be important to see the stock follow through to the upside after this breakout..

  This year, analysts project a 36% gain in MNST's net to $3.09 a share from $2.28 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  32. That is high for a food stock, but acceptable given the strong earnings growth in 2011.

  For 2012, analysts currently forecast a 20% rise in net to $3.71 a share from the anticipated $3.09 this year. They have been lifting their estimates.

  Net for the upcoming fourth quarter is expected to leap 35% to 71 cents a share from 53 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 74 cents a share. TTD does not expect any surprises.

  Looking out to the first quarter of 2012, net should rise 17% to 69 cents a share from 59 cents a year ago. Sales growth is running at 27%.

 Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MNST for a move to 118 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 95.

  TTD rates MNST a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

  Sponsorship: Very Good.  The largest fund holder is Fidelity Low-Priced Stock Fund, 4-star rated, with a 1.7% stake. It has held its position steady. A key buyer recently was 4-star rated GMO Quality III Fund which bought 330,600 shares. MNST has 87.1 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 72% of the stock.

  Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders have been steady sellers of the stock in recent months. The latest sell was at $98.04. Seven analysts follow the stock. Four have a buy, down from 6 three months ago.   



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Profile Rating
Monster Beverage Corp. - (MNST)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 14 0 0

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PNRA - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WFM - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PVX - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CTCT - AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.

Bear Side - Only a few short plays today as stock market rallies. Bears be conservative and selective. TTD's short from last Thursday was Williams Sonoma (WSM) at 34.17. The stock has declined to 33.21 as of Today. It is working well for bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

RR Donnellley & Sons Co. (RRD) - 12.20, down 2.20

Profits to Decline in 4th Quarter, TTD Sees Drop to 10

  RRD, based in Chicago, provides commercial printing services. Annual revenues: $10.6 billion. RRD's stock falls sharply today with massive volume. The company said there will be certain restructuring charges and other items which may be significant. It said for that reason it was not able to forecast its GAAP operating earnings. So far today, RRD's stock is down sharply and volume is running at a heavy 14.9 million shares, seven times its normal daily volume of 2.3 million shares.

  TTD highlighted RRD as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.

  The stock fell steadily in the morning. It hit an intraday low of 12.08 in the morning. It then lifted slightly and trended sideways.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades. One can see the price for the blocks declining from $14.41 on Friday to as low as $12.26. A key bearish trade came when a block of 200,000 shares crossed the tape at $12.28 in the morning, down from the prior block at $14.41.

  RRD provides commercial printing, information services and logistics.

  The company operates mostly in the commercial print area of the industry. RRD has been active in making acquisitions.

  Analysts expect net for the fourth quarter to decline 3% to 49 cents a share from 51 cents a year ago. Net for 2011 is projected to rise 6% to $1.87 a share from $1.76 in 2010. Looking out to 2012, analysts look for a 5% rise in net to $1.97 a share.

    RRD's daily chart shows the stock declining from 20 to 13. It attempted a rally in October, but then faded back. Today's breakdown is technically violent coming with big volume and a widening of the spread.

   Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting RRD for a decline to 10 within the next few months, or sooner. There is potential for even more. A protective stop buy can be placed near 13.10.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RRD - BELOW  AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)