Daily - Go to TTD's     Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks    -  Tuesday  - January 22, 2019

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Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List  - Tuesday - January 22, 2019

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Tuesday - January 22, 2019

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Tuesday, January 22, 2019

 

Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


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Ticker Tape Digest

Tuesday - January 22,  2019


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

   Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.

  We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

   The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

   To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.   

   For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Tuesday - January 22, 2019

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today -  3

Quality of Breakouts -  Average.

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -   Small list of breakouts and very selective.

Stock market  -  Market averages bullish for daily. On the monthly, Dow and Nasdaq is bullish, but S&P 500 is bearish. Weekly averages bearish.

Comment -  Stock market sells off hard Tuesday. Stock market upside momentum now weakens. Market now vulnerable to a breakdown.

See Latest Earnings Reports -  A firm that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate, the stock has potential to go higher. Some stocks with a major beat were WSFS, STLD, LTXB, PEBO, TBNK, MBFI, UCBI, LRN and FITB.

Stock Market Momentum

(Daily is based on a moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bearish

 Dow - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bearish

Nasdaq - Bullish

   S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bearish

  S&P 500 - Bearish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work.

They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other.

(Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks near breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.  They can also be bought soon after a follow through move, sometimes on an intraday pullback. )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Capital Southwest Corp. (CSWC) - 21.86, up 0.26 - Breakpoint 21.48

Net To Surge 43% for Fiscal 2019 (March), TTD Targets 27

   TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CSWC -  ABOVE AVERAGE

CSWC, based in TWLO, based in San Francisco, is investment firm. Annual revenues: $35.1 million. CSWC's stock moves higher Tuesday and breaks out from its eight-week, cup-and-handle base.

 TTD sees more on the upside.

  CSWC is trading 99,121 shares. Its average daily volume is 101,000 shares.

  CSWC is a conservative stock. CSWC's stock drove higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint line. The stock reached an intraday high of $22.20 in the morning.

  The stock then pulled back and trended sideways the rest of the day. It held easily above the breakpoint line.

  Tape Action

  CSWC's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $21.60 in the prior session to as high as $21.91.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 4,274 shares crossed at $21.77 (duplicated).

  That was up from the prior block trade the session before at $21.60 on 13,601 shares.   

   Business

  CSWC is an investment firm that provides financing to middle market companies in the U.S.

 Its principal investment objective is to produce risk-adjusted returns from current income from debt investments and capital appreciation from equity.

  It focuses on partnering with business owners, management teams and financial sponsors to provide financing solutions.

 The company targets senior and subordinated investments in the lower middle market and private loan transactions.  

  Charts

  CSWC's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 35% versus a 5% decline in the stock market.

  Insiders were recent buyers at $16 to $19 a share. Using options, they were buyers at $11 a share.

   They have not done any selling.

   CSWC's long-term chat shows the stock climbing from $8 in 2011 to a peak at $19.06 in 2015.

  The stock then pulled back and based. It then drove higher to its all-time high of 24.17.

  CSWC's daily chart shows the stock forming a cup-and-handle base after its spiked higher in early December.

  The breakout Tuesday clears the breakpoint line.

  The CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is solidly bullish.

  Earnings Outlook

  This fiscal year ending in March analysts are forecasting a 43% leap in net to $1.44 a share from the $1.01 the year before.

  The stock has a price-earnings ratio of 15. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Looking out to fiscal 2020 ending in March, analysts are forecasting a 16% gain in net to $1.67 a share from the anticipated $1.44 a share expected in fiscal 2019.

  Quarterly earnings will show an acceleration in growth. That is bullish.

  Net for the fiscal third quarter ending in December is expected to increase 24% to 36 cents a share from the 29 cents the year before.

  Only two analysts follow the stock.

  Profits for the fiscal fourth quarter ending in March are projected to leap 42% to 37 cents a share from the 26 cents the year before. That is an acceleration in quarterly earnings growth, which is bullish.

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting CSWC for a move to $27 within the next few months, or sooner.

A protective stop can be placed near $20.30.

Intermediate-Term Rating:  Average.

Suitability:   Conservative Bulls.

                                 TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success - Slightly Bullish - CSWC scored mostly modest gains off some of its recent breakouts. The stock is in a long-term up trend.

Probability - Earnings Response - Neutral -  CSWC rose 4 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Bullish. -  CSWC averaged a gain of 3.8% in February and a gain of 0.2% in March the past several years. 


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

                4%

   11/6/2018

     19.39

       20.80

  12/3/2018

                8%

   8/20/2018

     17.61

       19.15

  6/22/2018

              11%

   12/7/2016

     15.03

       16.72

  1/9/2017

              25%

   1/23/2015

     15

       18.86

  5/15/2015

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


 Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  -  Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Capital Southwest Corp. (CSWC)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score   14 0 0

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

      TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IIPR  -  ABOVE AVERAGE

    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TME - AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today -  6

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.

Bear Side - Selective list of shorts Tuesday. Stock market falls sharply. Upside momentum appears gone. Market is vulnerable to the downside.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Petmed Express Inc. (PETS) - 20.93

Net Disappoints, TTD Sees Drop to 17

  PETS, based in Delray Beach, Fla., operates a pet pharmacy. It does business as 1800PetMeds. Annual revenues: $274 million. PETS's stock falls sharply Tuesday and undercuts key technical support.

 The decline was triggered by disappointing earnings.

 TTD highlighted PETS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web.

  So far today, PETS is trading a heavy 4.8 million shares, seven times its average daily volume of 656,000 shares.

  PETS reported net for the fiscal third quarter ended Dec. 30 of 38 cents a share. That was well below the Street consensus estimate of 48 cents a share.

  The stock fell hard on the earnings miss.

  PETS's stock fell to $20.25 in the morning. However, it rallied sharply back to $23.30.

  The stock then turned lower and touched $20.25 and from there trended sideways in the afternoon.

  Tape Action

  PETS's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $23.44 to as low as $20.56 around noon.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 53,167 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $20.59.

  That was down sharply from  the prior block at $23.44 on 45,785 shares Friday.

  Business

 PETS sells prescription and non-prescription pet medications and other health products for dogs and cats to consumers.

 The company's products line contains 3,000 pet medications, health products and supplies.

  Its products include brands of medication, such as Frontline Plus, K9 Advantix II, Advantage II, Heartgard Plus, Sentinel, Revolution and Rimadyl.

Earnings:

  This year analysts have been forecasting a profit of $2.18 a share compared with $1.72 for 2018.

  Net for the first quarter is expected to climb to 56 cents a share from the 50 cents the year before.

  However, with the fourth quarter earnings miss, analysts may lower their earnings estimates.

Charts:  

  PETS's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key technical support with big volume. The move shows PETS extending its down trend.

  PETS 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 55% versus a 5% decline from the stock market.   

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting PETS for a decline to $17 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $22.

Suitability:   Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's probability research of Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response - Extremely Bearish.  -  PETS rose 3 times after the past 7 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity - Slightly Bearish. -   PETS averaged a decline of 2.2% in February but a rise of 1% in March the past several years.


   TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PETS -  BELOW AVERAGE


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2019

    TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been  a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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   For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.

   Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.


  TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.  

 TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays.  There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.  


TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.

 Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.


(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)