Daily - Go to TTD's     Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks    -  Thursday - January 25, 2018

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Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List  - Wednesday, January 24, 2018

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Wednesday, January 24, 2018

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, January 22, 2018

 


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday - January 25, 2018


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

   Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.

  We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

   The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

   To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.   

   For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Thursday - January 25, 2018

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today -  17

Quality of Breakouts -  Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -   Large list of breakout stocks. Bulls can be venturesome, but must keep an eye on earnings.

Stock market  -  Bullish. All major market averages remain bullish in all time sectors.

Stock Market Momentum

(Daily is based on a moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish,

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

Nasdaq - Bullish 

        S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Thursday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

National Commerce Corp. (NCOM) - 44.45, up 1.85 - Breakpoint 43.91

Net to Jump 34% This Year, TTD Targets 52 

                TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NCOM - ABOVE AVERAGE

  NCOM, based in Birmingham, Ala., is a bank holding company. Annual revenues: $14 billion. NCOM's stock moves sharply higher Thursday and breaks out from a 17-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. That is bullish.

  So far today, NCOM is trading 97,223 shares. Its average daily volume is 68,000 shares.

  NCOM's stock rose sharply in the morning and finally broke out around noon.

  However, the stock sagged back slightly.

  Then late in the session NCOM drove sharply higher to clear its base nicely.

   Tape Action

  NCOM's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $42.65 in the prior session to as high as $44.45.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 1,278 shares crossed the tape at $43.

  That was up from the prior block trade late on Wednesday of 1,653 shares at $42.65.

  Business

 NCOM operates National Bank of Commerce.

The company, through the Bank, provides a range of financial services to businesses, business owners and professionals.

It holds interest in CBI Holding Company, LLC, which owns Corporate Billing, LLC, a transaction-based finance company that provides factoring, invoicing, collection and accounts receivable management services to transportation companies, and auto parts and service providers.

  The company's loan portfolio includes construction, land development, loans secured by farmland; loans secured by one- to four-family residential properties; loans secured by multifamily residential properties.

Charts

  NCOM's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 20% versus a 22% gain for the stock market.

  NCOM's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2015 at $22. The stock trended sideways, but then broke out to the upside in late 2016.

  It has since moved up to $44 - a double.

  NCOM's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $38 back in August to a peak near $44 by October.

  The stock then pulled back to the low-40s and formed a flat base.

  The breakout Thursday comes with a widening of the spread and a modest pick up in volume.

  The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.

  Earnings Outlook:

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 35% surge in net to $2.51 a share from $1.85 the prior year.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 17. That is attractive for value investors.

  Looking out to 2019, the Street is predicting a 17% gain in net to $2.94 a share from the anticipated $2.51 this year.

  Net for the upcoming first quarter should climb 33% to 60 cents a share from 45 cents the year before.   

 Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NCOM for a move to $52 off this breakout.  A protective stop can be placed near $42.  

 TTD rates NCOM an average intermediate-term play.

Suitability:  Conservative Bulls.

                 TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success -  Bullish.  NCOM has scored modest gains off its recent breakouts.

Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish. NCOM rose 8 times after the past 10 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Neutral.  NCOM rose an average of 1.1% in January, but declined an average of 2.2% in February. It rose 5.8% in March.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

               7%

    9/26/2017      40.98        43.75    10/3/2017

               3%

    4/25/2017      38.48        39.65    4/26/2917

             31%

    11/9/2016      28.72        37.65    12/27/2016
             13%     8/5/2016      25.09        28.44     9/6/2016

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
National Commerce Corp. (NCOM)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score   14 0 0

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VAR - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ISCA -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RLI  - AVERAGE

    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - COST -  AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 5

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of shorts and very selective. Bears be conservative.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) - 24.81, down 6.42

Cuts Profit Outlook, TTD Sees Decline to 20

  NWL, based in Hoboken, N.J., sells a wide variety of consumer products such as pens, paper and baby products. Annual revenues: $13.3 billion. NWL's stock tumbles Thursday and undercuts key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside.

  So far today, NWL is trading a heavy 74.4 million shares, 16 times its average daily volume of 4. 4 million shares.

  TTD highlighted NWL as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.

  NWL cut its earnings outlook and set plans to try and move its transformation.

  The company said it expected net for 2018 to be $2.72 to $2.76 a share.

  That is down from its prior forecast of $2.80 to $2.85. The Street was looking for $2.82 a share.

  The stock tumbled on the news.

  NWL fell from $31 in the morning to an intraday low of $23.85.

  The stock then lifted to around $25 and then trended sideways the rest of the day.

 Tape Action

  NWL's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $31.23 in the prior session to as low as $24.06.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 160,000 shares crossed the tape at $28.50.

 That was down from  the prior block trade at $31.23 on 226,798 shares.

   Business

   NWL sells its products as Paper Mate, Sharpie, Dymo, Expo, Parker, Elmer's, Coleman, Jostens, Marmot, Rawlings, Mr. Coffee, Rubbermaid, Baby Jogger, NUK, Calphalon, Rubbermaid, Contigo, First Alert, Waddington and Yankee Candle.

  Its commercial products cover cleaning and refuse products. It also sells  infant and juvenile products.

 Earnings:

  The Street is currently forecasting earnings for the first quarter of 2018 at 35 cents a share versus 34 cents the year before.   

Charts:   

  NWL's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower in November after reporting earnings.

  The stock fell to around $30 and then trended sideways. Thursday, it gaps lower again on the disappointing earnings forecast.

  NWL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 42% versus a 22% gain for the stock market.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NWL for a decline to $20 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $26.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response - Bearish.   NWL rose just 4 times after the past 10 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity - Bearish.  NWL declined an average of 6.7% in January the past five years, but rose an average of 3.5% in February.


TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NWL -  BELOW AVERAGE


   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2018

    TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been  a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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   For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.

   Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.


  TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.  

 TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays.  There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.  


TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.

 Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.


(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)