By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's
Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers
1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.
2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.
3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.
4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.
Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)
Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance)
Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)
Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance)
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco email@example.com.For service, email Beverly Owen firstname.lastname@example.org. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Paper and Aerospace stocks breaking out. Stock market holds in up trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HA - ABOVE AVERAGE
HA, based in Hawaii, operates air travel service in Hawaii and on the Western U.S. Annual revenues: $2.3 billion. HA's stock, part of the strong acting airline sector, breaks out today from a five-week, double-bottom base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high.
TTD highlighted HA as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
So far today, HA is trading 1.9 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.2 million shares.
HA's 10-minute chart shows the stock clearing its breakpoint line in the morning.
The stock continued higher hitting an intraday peak of 27.62 around midday. The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
HA closed near the high for the session which is bullish.
HA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
The pattern is very bullish indicating aggressive institutional buying.
The firs key bullish block crossed in the morning when 39,770 shares (duplicated) traded at $27.
That was up from the prior block trade at $26.64 on 29,964 shares.
Then near the close Monday a block of 31,763 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $27.49
That was up from the prior block at $27 on 6,204 shares.
HA passengers and cargo transportation daily.
It services North America routes between Hawaii and Los Angeles, Oakland, Sacramento, San Diego, San Francisco, San Jose, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Portland and Seattle.
It also handles daily services on the four major islands of the state of Hawaii.
HA also handles service between Hawaii, and New York City.
In addition, the company provides daily services on its international routes between Hawaii and Seoul, Sydney, Tokyo, Osaka, and Fukuoka, Japan; and other sites in the Pacific Asian area.
HA has 18 Boeing 717-200 aircraft for its Neighbor Island routes and 12 Boeing 767-300 aircraft; and 14 Airbus A330-200 aircraft.
HA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating a sensational 160% versus a 15% gain for the S&P 500 index. There has been a steady flow of insider selling. That is to be expected.
HA's long-term chart shows the stock advancing from $2.33 back in 2005 to a peak of $11.10 in 2008. The stock then fell back to $2.17 in early 2009 due to the bear market.
HA then trended sideways in a range until 2013. It has since turned up and has soared to an all-time high of 27.62.
HA's daily chart shows the stock flying from 13 back in October to 26 - a double.
The stock then put down a base above its rising 50-day moving average line.
The breakout Monday looks solid.
The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is bullish and compliments the price action.
Analysts are forecasting HA will post a 73% surge in profits for 2014 to $1.53 a share from 88 cents a year ago.
Earnings for the soon-to-be-reported fourth quarter should show a 72% leap in net to 38 cents a share from 22 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 42 cents a share.
HA has topped the consensus estimate the past four quarters by 5 cents a share, 2 cents, 9 cents and 3 cents. (see table.
Looking out to 2015, HA's net is projected to soar 76% to $2.69 a share from the anticipated $1.53 for 2014. The company is benefiting from the low price of fuel.
Profits for the first quarter of 2015 should jump to 17 cents a share from a loss of 2 cents a year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting HA for a move to 33.50 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 25.20.
TTD rates HA a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Vanguard Strategic Equity Fund which purchased 380,300 shares. It has a 1% stake.
The 4-star rated JP Morgan Small Cap Core Select Fund was a recent buyer of 204,700 shares. It has a 0.72% position.
HA has 54 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 88% of the stock and insiders 9%.
Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $4.62 a share. They were sellers most recently at $23.20.
Currently, 10 analysts follow the stock, 5 have a buy, up from 4 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
|TTD's Breakout Profile
Hawaiian Holdings Inc. - (HA)
|TTD Check List||Bullish||Bearish||Neutral|
|Near 52-week High||YES|
|Price Trend - Daily||YES|
|Price Trend - Long Term||YES|
|Price Daily Spread||YES|
|Base - A-D||YES|
|Prior Breakout Success||YES|
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
|TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ILMN - ABOVE AVERAGE|
|TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - POST - AVERAGE|
|TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FTNT - AVERAGE|
|TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - INCY - BELOW AVERAGE|
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 5
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts but some interesting plays. Computer parts stocks falling. Stock market remain in trading range. Bears remain conservative.
ACAT, based in Plymouth, Min., makes snowmobiles and all-terrain vehicles. Annual revenues; $777 million. ACAT's stock cuts below key support today with expanding volume. The decline also causes ACAT to cut below long-term support from a head-and shoulder reversal pattern.
So far today, ACAT is trading 482,272 shares, double its average daily volume of 187,000 shares.
The ACAT has a beta of 2.71 versus 1.00 for the stock market. So, the stock is more than twice as volatile as the market.
ACAT's stock moved steadily lower during the day with intermittent pauses. It hit an intraday low a 28.87 near the close.
ACAT's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $31.50 in the prior session to as low as $29.75 Monday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 3,100 shares crossed the tape at $30.93.
That was down from the prior trade the session before at $31.50 on 6,400 shares.
ACAT sells snowmobiles and all-terrain vehicles and recreational off-highway vehicles under the Arctic Cat brand name. It also provides parts.
The company offers accessories consisting of bumpers, cabs, luggage racks, lights, snow plows, backrests, windshields, wheels, track systems, and winch kits; shocks, attachments, and float avalanche airbags; and maintenance supplies, such as oil and fuel additives.
Analysts are forecasting ACAT's earnings for the fiscal year ending March of 2015 will fall 32% to $1.97 a share from $2.90 a year ago. Profits for the next two quarters are projected to plunge sharply.
ACAT's daily chart shows the stock cutting below support. The issue has been under sharp selling pressure the past few sessions. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has rolled over and is very bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ACAT for a drop to 24 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 31.50.
|TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ACAT - BELOW AVERAGE|
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)