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Aggressive Investors Bullish - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List - Wednesday, January 27

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Conservative Investors  Bullish (swing traders) - Go To TTD Bargain Trade Setups - Monday, January 25 - Weekly

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Ticker Tape Digest

Wednesday - January 27, 2010


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades"  (swing trades). Ideally suited for entry into stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Good for trading range markets

 (See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)


Conservative Bearish Investors  (swing traders).  "Bargain Bearish Plays" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for trading range markets with overall market down trend.

  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long  These are for conservative bullish Investors The strategy is called swing trading. These long buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. They are good for trading range markets. These stocks can give a good return in a week or two. They can also explode into a breakout and a powerful advance.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.

  TTD's Bearish bargain play stocks to sell short. These issues are usually in down trends and are poised to rollover after a minor rally. They often can provide a conservative bear with a good entry point.

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings.TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


 Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull side - Small number of breakouts today. Stock market rallies to finish with small gain. Market still looking to form a near-term bottom. Bulls be cautious and watchful of all stops.

(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE  Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish


Today's Featured Breakout Stock

Devry Inc. (DV) - 63.06, up 6.89 - Breakpoint 59.80

Profits for School Firm Surge, TTD Targets 72

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DV - ABOVE AVERAGE

  DV, based in Oakbrook Terrace, IL., operates several schools. Annual revenues: $1.7 billion. DV's stock gaps out of its seven-week flat base today after reporting a big upside surprise in earnings. TTD has been featuring DV as a stock to accumulate in anticipation of a breakout. DV is trading a hefty 4.4 million shares, seven times its normal daily volume of 602,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted DV as a breakout at our midsession show on the Web today.

  DV's 5-minute chart shows the gap move out of the base in the morning. The base breakpoint area had a zone bracketed with two breakpoints.

  After the morning breakout, DV continued to move higher showing excellent follow through action on the bullish earnings news.

  TTD's clip of the big block trades shows the price rising sharply from $56.33 to $62.29.

  The tape action indicated aggressive institutional buying. A key trade was a big block of 45,000 shares that crossed at $61.30, up from the prior block which crossed at $60.85.

  DV operates DeVry University, Ross University, Chamberlain College of Nursing, U.S. Education, Becker Professional Education and Advanced Academics.

  DV reported net for the fiscal second quarter increased to $1 a share from 59 cents a year ago. The $1 topped the consensus estimate on the Street of 83 cents a share. The market responded very bullishly to the upside earnings surprise.

  The company operates in four segments.

  Business, Technology and Management comprises the DeVry University.

  Medical and Healthcare comprises Ross University, Chamberlain College of Nursing. U.S. Education; Professional Education comprises Becker Professional Education.  Other Educational Services comprises Advanced Academics and Fanor.

  DV's 9-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 60% versus a 20% gain for the S&P 500 index. DV had been underperforming, but is now on the move.

 DV's long-term chart shows a breakout from a 2-year base. The push to a new 52-week high is very bullish. It could well bring in more buying by the new high crowd. The stock is also in position to make a new all-time high.

  DV's daily chart shows the gap move breakout. The spread (range from high to low) shows a widening that is very bullish. It shows ease of price movement.

  The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has hit a new peak. That is good confirmation of the breakout. It shows there has been good buying in the stock while it based.

  The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is slightly bullish.

  Analysts look for DV to post a 32% increase in net for the fiscal third quarter ending March 31. They look for net of 93 cents a share, up from 70 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 98 cents a share.

  Revenue growth is running at 28%.

  For the fiscal year ending June 30, the Street looks for DV's profits to jump 39% to $3.23 a share from $2.32 a share a year ago. The stock sells with a price earnings ratio of 19,. TTD sees that as low making the stock attractive for value investors.

  Looking ahead to fiscal 2011, analysts expect a 21% gain in net to $3.92 a share from the anticipated $3.23 a share.

  Strategy Opinion: DV's breakout is powerful supported by strong earnings. The stock is a bit extended. So, conservative investors could scale in. TTD is targeting DV for a move to 72 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 58. TTD rates DV a very good intermediate-term play.   

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is 4-star rated Baron Growth Fund with a 5.1% stake. It has held its position steady. DV has 71.1 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were buyers using stock options. They turned around and sold. The latest buying was around $58. Right now, 24 analysts follow the stock, 14 have a buy, up from 13 three months ago.


  


  Stock Performance Chart for 9 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

    


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating

DeVry Inc. - (DV)  

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume YES    
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group   YES
Prior Breakout Success     YES
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 12 0 2

All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)


  


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MHP - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IPAR - BELOW AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MCO - BELOW AVERAGE


Conservative Investors Bearish (swing traders) - Go To TTD Bargain Short Trade Setups - Monday, January 25 - Weekly

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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 7

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Small number of breakdown stocks today. Stock market continues to act weak near-term. Bears remain alert.  TTD's short on Tuesday was  Esterline Technologies Corp. (ESL). Today, it is down 0.59.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)

  


Commentary on TTD’s Feature Bear Play

USG Corp. (USG) - 13.04, down 0.97

Profits Big Loss for Quarter, TTD Sees Drop to 10

  USG, based in Chicago, produces building materials. Annual revenues: $3.5 billion. USG's stock falls sharply on heavy volume today. Technically, the move is a break below key support. The drop was triggered by USG's report of a big loss for the quarter. USG is trading 2.1 million shares, double its normal daily volume of 1.1 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  USG reported a loss for the fourth quarter of $6.02 a share, a widening of the loss of 3.52 a share a year ago. The Street was expecting a contraction of the deficit. The results were a disappointment and the stock reacted bearishly.

   USG's stock gapped lower in the morning. It then trended sideways until late in the afternoon, when it resumed its down trend.

   TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big blocks. One can see the price for the blocks falling from $14.05 to $12.95. A key trade took place this morning when a block of 9,100 shares crossed the tape at $13.38. That signaled the selling pressure present.

 USG has three units. North American Gypsum, Building Products Distribution and Worldwide Ceilings

  North American Gypsum makes gypsum. Building Products Distribution consists of L&W Supply, a specialty building products distribution business in the United States. USG’s Worldwide Ceilings makes interior systems.

  This year, analysts forecast USG will show a loss of $1.51 a share.

  USG's chart shows the stock cutting below key support. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bearish. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has been weak for weeks showing the stock has been under clear distribution.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting USG for a drop to 10 within the next few months. A protective stop buy can be placed near 14.10.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)