Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, January 28, 2019 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Ticker Tape Digest's Midsession Stock Market Video Show(Posted around 1 p.m. NYSE Time) Go to TTD Stock Market Show For - FridayGo to Shows for Latest Week: Monday
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Friday - February 1, 2019
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 10
Quality of Breakouts - Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts. Bulls can be venturesome.
Stock market - All major averages are bullish in all time frames.
Comment - Stock market a little stretched near-term. However, the near-term up trend remains in play. Earnings will continued to be reported.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Earnings beats for Friday - MSG, XOM, BAH, PFS, KKR and OSB.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VEEV - ABOVE AVERAGE |
VEEV, based in Pleasanton, Ca., provides cloud-based software solutions for the global life sciences industry. Annual revenues: $686 million. VEEV's stock drives higher Friday and breaks out from its 6-month, cup-and-handle base.
So far today, VEEV is trading 1.9 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.2 million shares.
TTD highlighted VEEV as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.
VEEV's stock pushed higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line.
The stock then continued to drive higher through the day.
It reached an intraday high of $113.32.
The close near the high is very bullish.
Tape Action
VEEV's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $109 in the morning to as high as $113.27.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,000 shares crossed the tape at $110.
That was up from the prior block at $109 on 20,034 shares.
Near the close a massive block of 108,138 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $113.27.
That was up from the prior block at $112.06 on 150,000 shares.
Business
VEEV offers solutions for life sciences companies. They cover multichannel customer relationship management, regulated content and information and data management.
The company offers solutions to areas, including the Veeva CRM family of applications for multichannel customer relationship management.
Charts
VEEV's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 82% in the last 12-month versus a decline of 4% for the stock market.
Insiders were recent buyers at $89 a share recently using stock options. They were sellers at $79 to $101 a share.
VEEV's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2013 at $39. The stock then backed off a bit and trended sideways until 2016. It broke out in 2016 and since has raced to an all-time high of 113.32 set on Friday.
VEEV's daily chart shows the stock peaking near $109 in late September and then pulling back.
It eventually rallied to form a long-term, cup-and-handle base.
The breakout is good coming with a widening of the daily spread.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This fiscal year ending in January of 2019 analysts are forecasting 70% surge in net to $1.58 a share from the 93 cents the year before.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 71. That is high.
Looking out to fiscal 2010 ending in January, the Street is predicting a modest 13% increase in net to $1.78 a share from the anticipated $1.58 this fiscal year.
Net for the upcoming fiscal fourth quarter ending in January of 2019 should leap 74% to 40 cents a share from the 23 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 42 cents a share. The company beat the consensus estimate the past four quarters by 7 cents a share, 5 cents, 3 cents and 2 cents.
For the first fiscal quarter of 2020, analysts look for a 21% gain in net to 40 cents a share from 33 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting VEEV for a move to $135. A protective stop can be placed near $108.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Aggressive Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Bullish - VEEV scored some very good gains off some of its recent breakouts. The stock is in a long-term up trend.
Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish - VEEV rose 5 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Bullish. - VEEV averaged a gain of 5.2% in February and a gain of 3% in March the past several years.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
28% |
8/20/2018 |
85.01 |
108.87 |
9/28/2018 |
23% |
2/28/2018 |
63.27 |
77.88 |
3/7/2018 |
34% |
3/13/2017 |
45.85 |
61.74 |
5/25/2017 |
46% |
5/23/2016 |
28.64 |
42.06 |
9/22/2016 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Veeva Systems Inc. (VEEV) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CHTR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DECK - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WTW - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MMC - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 7
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts Friday. Several shorts hit with earnings disappointments. Aggressive bears can be venturesome.
MATW, based in Pittsburgh, Pa., provides brand development and also cemetery products. Annual revenues: $1.6 billion. MATW's stock falls sharply Friday after posting disappointing earnings.
TTD sees more on the downside.
So far today, MATW is trading a heavy 817,578 shares, about eight times its average daily volume of 106,000 shares.
TTD highlighted MATW as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.
The company came in with net for the fiscal first quarter ending in December of 50 cents a share. That was below the Street consensus of 55 cents a share.
The stock fell sharply in the morning and cut below its support line.
The stock continued to work lower in the afternoon. It touched an intraday low of $37.05 late in the afternoon.
Tape Action
MATW's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $44.49 in the prior session to as low as $37.25.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 2,193 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $42.81.
That was down from the prior block the day before at $44.49 on 19,204 shares.
Business
The Company operates through three segments: SGK brand solutions, memorialization and industrial technologies.
The company makes printing plates and cylinders, pre-media services and imaging services for consumer packaged goods.
The memorialization makes products for cemeteries, funeral homes and crematories. The industrial technologies unit provides industrial automation solutions.
Earnings:
This fiscal year ending in September analysts have been forecasting a 4% increase in net to $4.13 a share from the $3.96 the year before.
Net for the fiscal second quarter ending in March is expected to rise 15% to $1.07 a share from the 93 cents the year before.
Charts:
MATW's daily chart shows the stock breaking below support with big volume. The stock has been in a down trend since early 2017.
MATW's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 20% versus a 5% decline for the stock market.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MATW for a decline to $31 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $39.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Slightly Bearish. - MATW rose 4 times after the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Slightly Bearish. - MATW averaged a decline of 5.3% in February but a gain of 4.2% in March the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MATW - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)