Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Monday, February 9, 2015

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, February 9, 2015

Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - February 9, 2015

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4

Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list small and extremely selective. Stock market pulls back and remains in a trading range.  Earnings continue to come in and impact stocks.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Acuity Brands Inc. (AYI) - 157.67, up 3.43 - Breakpoint 155.72

Net to Jump 33% This Year, TTD Targets 185

   AYI, based in Atlanta, Ga., makes lighting fixtures. Annual revenues: $2.5 billion. AYI's stock breaks out Monday from a six-week flat base. The stock pushes to a new all-time high which is bullish. The stock came public back in 2001 at 13.60.

 So far today, AYI is trading 613,188 shares. Its average daily volume is 438,000 shares.

  AVY's 10-minute chart shows the stock spiking higher in the morning and clearing its breakpoint line.

  The stock then backed off slightly and trended sideways.

  The stock edged a bit higher late in the day to close near its high for the session. That is bullish.

  AYI's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks working higher from $153.81 in the prior session to as high as $157.67 Monday.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 25,000 shares crossed the tape at $157.01.

  That was up sharply from the prior block at $156.59 on 1,515 shares.

  AYI  is the one of the world's largest lighting fixture makers. Its brands include Lithonia Lighting, Holophane, Peerless, and Hydrel.

  The company's Acuity Specialty Products unit produces specialty chemical brands such as Zep, Enforcer, and Selig.

  AYI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 23% versus a 14% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  AYI's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from 23 back in 2005 to a peak near 66 in 2007, the top in the prior bull market.

   The stock then fell back to 20 in 2009 due to the subsequent bear market.

  However, since then the stock has made a sensational sevenfold move. The stock's push to a new high could attract more buying from the new high crowd on Tuesday.

   AYI breaks out from  a six-week flat base. The move is technically strong coming with a pickup in volume.

  TTD featured AYI back in January when it had a gap breakout from a base. The stock then just trended sideways setting up a base on top of a base - a well know technical formation.  

  AYI's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is near a new peak and compliments the price action.

  Analysts are forecasting a 33% increase in AYI's earnings for the fiscal year ending in August of 2015.

  They have recently raised their forecast.

  The outlook is for net of  $5.27 a share, up from $3.97 the year before. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  29.

  TTD had previously predicted a good chance analysts might raise estimates. They did.

  Going out to fiscal 2016 ending in August, the Street looks for a 22% gain in net to $6.44 a share from the anticipated $5.27 in the current fiscal year.  

  Net for the fiscal second quarter ending in February should surge 39% to $1.04 a share from 75 cents a year ago.

  Going out to the fiscal third quarter ending in May, analysts look for a 32% gain in profits to $1.32 a share from $1 the year before.

   AYi's earnings table shows the company topping the Street estimates the past two quarters.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AYI for a move to 185 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 152.

  TTD rates AYI a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet or top expectations.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund with a 3.5% stake. It has held its position steady.

  Also the 5-star rated T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund is the second largest fund holder at 2.3%. It was a recent seller of 58,800 shares.

  AYI has 43 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 93% of the stock and insiders 6%.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were recent buyers around $137. They also bought with stock options at $29. They were sellers around $136.

 Currently, 15 analysts follow the stock, 10 have a buy, up from  8 three months ago. William Blair issued an outperform in December. AYI has a book value of $28.16.

Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 7

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.

Bear Side - Small list of shorts today and very selective. Bears remain conservative.  Stock market continues in trading range.  

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Nordic American Tankers Ltd. (NAT) - 9.44, down 0.56

Earnings Disappoint, TTD Sees Decline to 7.50

  NAT, based in Bermuda, operates a fleet of ocean tankers. Annual revenues: $302 million. NAT's stock breaks to the downside today after reporting disappointing earnings for the fourth quarter. So far today, NAT is trading 4.3 million shares, almost double its average daily volume of 2.4 million shares.

  NAT reported fourth quarter net of one cent a share.

  The Street was expecting nine cents a share. So, results were a big disappointment.

  TTD highlighted NAT as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  The stock fell sharply in the morning and hit an intraday low of 9.15.  The stock then lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.

  NAT's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $10.45 a few sessions ago to as low as $9.34.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 54,075 shares crossed the tape at $9.85.

  That was down from the prior block at $10.01 on 71,116 shares.

  NAT is engaged in acquiring and chartering double-hull tankers. It has a fleet of 22 Suezmax vessels. The company was founded in 1995.

  This year, analysts are forecasting a profit of 91 cents a share compared with a loss of five cents for 2014. However, despite the expected turnaround in earnings, NAT's stock is acting bearish now.

  NAT's stock shows a breakdown from a head-and-shoulder pattern. The decline comes with a big pick up in volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now bearish.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NAT for a decline to 7.50 within the next few months, or sooner.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2014

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)