Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Wednesday, February 10, 2016
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Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Wednesday, February 10, 2016 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 8, 2016 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 1
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Only one breakout. Stock market mixed as rally fades. Bulls be conservative.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bearish
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MNR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
MNR, based in Freehold, N.J., is a real estate investment trust. Annual revenues: $82 million. MNR's stock breaks out from a five-month flat base. The stock is within range to challenge its all-time high at 12. Several real estate plays have been acting well despite the stock market decline. 
TTD recently featured MNR as an accumulation play.
So far today, MNR is trading a heavy 548,447 shares, almost double its average daily volume of 245,000 shares.
The stock has a beta of 0.45 versus 1.00 for the stock market. So, MNR tends to be just half as volatile as the stock market.
The stock worked higher through the day and reached an intraday peak of 10.86. It then trended sideways through the afternoon. (See 10-minute chart).
MNR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $10.55 in the prior session to as high as $10.82 Wednesday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,000 shares crossed the tape at $10.70.
That was up from the prior block trade at $10.55 on 22,006.
The stock showed good buying late in the afternoon too.
That took place when a block of 22,500 shares crossed at $10.82.
That was up from the prior trade at $10.81 on 10,000 shares.
MNR owns, manages, and leases properties to investment-grade tenants on long-term leases.
The firm invests in the public equity and real estate markets of the United States.
It primarily invests in industrial properties and holds a portfolio of REIT securities.
MNR's 9-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 9% versus a 13% decline for the stock market.
One can see heavy insider buying (green bars) last year. Also, the stock began to outperform when the stock market weakened.
MNR's long-term chart shows the stock falling from 9 back in 2007, the top in the prior bull market to a low of 4.36 in 2009.
However, since then MNR's stock eventually climbed to a peak of 12.07 in early 2015. The stock is now rallying and has a chance to challenge its recent high.
MNR's daily chart shows the stock rising from 9 back in September to a peak at 10.70 by October.
The stock has put down a flat base with clear upside resistance near 19.70.
The breakout Wednesday clears the base.
It will be important for MNR to show follow through action.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) was showing a bullish divergence and trending higher. That indicated strong underlying buying.
Net for the fiscal year ending in September of 2016 is expected to climb 13% to 68 cents a share from 60 cents a year ago. Analysts recently raised their estimates.
The stock sells with a price earnings ratio of 15.
Going out to fiscal 2017 ending in September, the Street looks for an 16% rise in net to 79 cents a share from the anticipated 68 cents for fiscal 2016.
Net for the upcoming fiscal second quarter ending in March is expected jump 21% to 17 cents a share from 14 cents the year before.
Profits for the fiscal third quarter ending in June should be up 13% to 17 cents a share from 15 cents the prior year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MNR for a move to 13.
A protective stop can be placed near 10.20 after a breakout. TTD rates MNR an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Very Good. A key fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Thrivent Ser Moderate Allocation Fund which purchased 108,100 shares as a new position. It has a 0.2% stake.
MNR has 63.1 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 51% of the stock and insiders have 10%.
Insider Activity: Bullish. Insiders were recent buyers at $10 to $9 a share.
Currently, 4 analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, the same as three months ago.
MNR has a book value of $5.45 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Monmouth Realty Estate Investments - (MNR) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
None
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 14
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable
Bear Side - Large list of shorts Wednesday. Stock market finishes mixed as rally fails in the afternoon. Bulls can be venturesome.
NGL, based in Tulsa, Okla., transports crude oil. Annual revenues: $14.5 billion. NGL's stock falls sharply Wednesday after the company reported disappointing earnings. So far today NGL is trading 2.8 million shares, double its average daily volume of 1.4 million shares. 
TTD highlighted NGL as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
NGL reported fiscal third quarter ended in December net fell to 3 cents a share from 23 cents a year ago.
The company also lowered its outlook for the year.
The Street is currently forecasting an 85% plunge in net for the fiscal year ending in March to 6 cents a share from 38 cents a year ago.
NGL's stock fell sharply in the morning touching 6.21.
The stock lifted slightly and trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
NGL's tape action shows the recent block trades falling from $8.11 to $6.30.
A key bearish trade came late on Tuesday when a block of 10,000 shares crossed the tape at $8.
That was down from the prior block trade at $8.11 on 12,700 shares.
NGL provides crude oil logistics, water solutions, liquids, retail propane, and refined products and renewable businesses in the U.S.
The crude oil Logistics segment purchases crude oil from producers and transports it for resale at pipeline injection points, storage terminals, barge loading facilities, rail facilities, refineries, and other trade hubs.
NGL's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from 25 back in October to around 8 by December. The stock tried to form a bottom. However, it cuts below key support with a pick up in volume.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NGL for a decline to 5 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 7.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NGL - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
