Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, February 12, 2014 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 10, 2013 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 20
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays and some that are new. Bulls can be venturesome, although the stock market is in a trading range.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CRTO - ABOVE AVERAGE |
CRTO, based in Paris, provides pay-per-click performance display advertising solutions in France. Annual revenues: $395 million. CRTO's stock, a recent IPO, breaks out today from a 14-week flat base. The move comes on heavy volume of 620,530 shares, triple its average daily volume.
TTD highlighted CRTO as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
The stock pushed higher in the morning to clear its base (see 10-minute chart).
The stock peaked intraday at 40.57 in the morning.
The stock then pulled back and trended sideways the rest of the session holding above its breakpoint.
TTD's clip of the tape shows CRTO's tape action using the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks surging from $34.02 a few sessions ago to a high as $38.76.
A key bullish block came in the morning when 5,996 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $38.60. That was up sharply from the prior block trade at $35.10.
CRTO sells internet display advertisements featuring product-level recommendations either directly to clients or to advertising agencies.
Its proprietary technology enables online advertisers to engage with potential customers via dynamic banners containing the most relevant product specific information that are generated in real-time for each individual.
The company generates revenues when users click on the banner advertisement. It currently operates in 37 countries, through a network of 15 international offices located in Europe, the Americas and the Asia-Pacific region/
CRTO's three-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 14% versus a 4% gain for the S&P 500 index.
CRTO's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in late October at $42. The stock however fell to 28 by early November.
CRTO that rallied back to around 27 and trended mostly sideways. The breakout today puts the stock within striking distance of is all-time high.
CRTO's daily chart shows the stock gapping higher today to get over its resistance area.
The move comes with a significant expansion in volume.
CRTO's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) lags a bit.
It was knocked down in November when the stock went public and then backed off in price.
CRTO's earnings for 2014 are projected to soar 174% to 27 cents a share from 10 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 142. That is high, but okay given the triple-digit earnings growth outlook.
Going out to 2015, the Street is forecasting a 139% jump in profits to 66 cents a share from the anticipated 27 cents for 2014.
On a quarterly basis profits should come in at 4 cents a share in the first quarter. There was no comparison with a year ago available.
One can see CRTO topped the earnings estimate for the prior quarter by more than 100%. That was impressive and shows that the street is underestimating the firm's profit potential.
Net for the second quarter should be 4 cents a share too.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CRTO for a move to 47 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 36.
TTD rates CRTO a good intermediate-term play as long as earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated Fidelity OTC Fund with a 0.93% stake. It has held its position steady.
The largest fund buyer recently was the 5-star rated Morgan Stanley Inst. Small Company Growth Fund which purchased 259,377 shares.
CRTO has 56.9 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 17% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Not available. Currently, 7 analysts follow the stock and all 7 have a strong buy.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Criteo SA. - (CRTO) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PKG - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TCX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TRMB - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VAL - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Just a few shorts today. Bears be conservative. Stock market continues to rally across trading range. TTD's feature short on Tuesday was Rackspace Hosting (RAX) at 33.12. Today, RAX has declined to 30.97 and is working well for bears.
RJET, based in Indianapolis, provides airline services through several carriers. Annual revenues: $2.8 billion. RJET's stock cuts below key technical support setting off a TTD short play. So far today, RJET is trading 385,988 shares. Its average daily volume is 435,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.
TTD highlighted RJET as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
RJET's stock fells steadily in the morning to undercut its support. The stock hit an intraday low of 8.91. The stock then trended sideway through the afternoon.
In the prior session, RJET declined and traded a heavy 1.6 million shares, four times its average volume.
On Wednesday, the stock's tape action shows clear selling pressure.
The price for the blocks (see table) showed the price declining from $9.45 in the prior session to $9.05 Wednesday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 11,373 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $9.40. That was down from the prior block at $9.45.
The company offers scheduled passenger services through its air carrier subsidiaries: Chautauqua Airlines, Inc., Shuttle America Corporation, Republic Airline Inc. and Frontier Airlines, Inc.
RJET’s domestic routes are subject to competition from carriers that provide service at low fares to destinations also served by the company.
Currently its operating subsidiaries offers scheduled passenger service on 1,578 flights daily to 141 cities in 45 states, Bahamas, Canada, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Jamaica, Mexico, and Turks and Caicos Islands under scheduled passenger service or pro-rate operations as Frontier Airlines and through fixed-fee code-share agreements with AMR Corp, Continental Airlines, Inc., Delta Air Lines, Inc., United Air Lines, Inc
This year, analysts are forecasting just a 1% rise in profits to $1.20 a share from the anticipated $1.19 for 2013.
RJET's daily chart shows the stock trending lower. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending lower indicating clear steady selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting RJET for a decline to 6.30 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 9.50.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RJET - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)