Daily - Go to TTD's     Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks    -  Tuesday- February 12, 2019

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Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List  - Tuesday - February 12, 2019

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Tuesday - February 12, 2019

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 11, 2019

 

Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


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Ticker Tape Digest

Tuesday - February 12,  2019


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

   Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.

  We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

   The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

   To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.   

   For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Tuesday - February 12, 2019

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today -  14

Quality of Breakouts -  Average.

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Large list of breakouts with several solid looking plays.

Stock market  -  Bullish in all time sectors.

Comment -  Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market momentum to the upside still holding.

See Latest Earnings Reports -  A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Earnings beats for Tuesday-  KMDA, AZRE, UAA, AiZ, EXEL and UIS.

Stock Market Momentum

(Daily is based on a moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

Nasdaq - Bullish

   S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work.

They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other.

(Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks near breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.  They can also be bought soon after a follow through move, sometimes on an intraday pullback. )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Dollar General Corp.  (DG) - 118.01, up 0.76 - Breakpoint 117.68

Net To Climb 34% for Fiscal 2019 (Jan.). TTD Targets 142

      TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DG -  ABOVE AVERAGE

    DG, based in Goodlettsville, Ten., is a discount retailer selling household products and clothes. Annual revenues: $23.5 billion. DG's stock moves higher Tuesday and breaks out  from its 15-week cup-and-handle base.

  So far today, DG is trading 1.4 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.8 million shares. 

  TTD sees more on the upside.

  DG's stock spiked higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint line.

  The stock then faded back a bit, but then came on again to reach an intraday high of $118.48.

 The stock gave a little ground in the final hour.

   Tape Action

  DG's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $117.25 in the prior session to as high as $118,05 in the morning.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 10,799 shares crossed the tape at $117.95.

  That was up from the prior block the day before at $117.25 on 15,102 shares.

  Near the close Tuesday a massive block of 159,270 shares (duplicated) cross the tape at $118.01.

  That was up from the prior block at $117.56 on 3,292 shares.

   Business

  DG is a discount retailer selling home products such as cleaning products like paper towels, bath tissue, and home cleaning supplies.

 It also sells food items like cereals, milk, beer, wine. Some of its other items include cookies, and carbonated beverages, health and beauty products and over-the-counter medicines.

  Charts

  DG's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 23% versus a 3% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $22 to $45 share. They also bought at $88 in the open market.

  They were sellers at $100 to $111 a share.

  DG's long-term chart shows the stock in a steady up trend the past 8-years. The stock climbed from $25 in 2011 to a peak at $96 by 2016.

  It then consolidated and broke out in 2017 and has since advanced to a recent all-time high of 118.48.   

  DG's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $100 in December to around $117 by January.

  The stock held near the breakpoint line to form a cup-and-handle base.

 The breakout Tuesday just clears the breakpoint line with a modest pick up in volume.

  It will be important to see a follow through move to the upside.

  DG's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullish.

   Earnings Outlook

  This fiscal year ending in January of 2019, analysts are forecasting a strong 34% surge in net to $6.01 a share from the $4.49 the year before.

   The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 19. TTD sees that as reasonable.

   Net for the upcoming fiscal fourth quarter should be up 26% to $1.87 a share from the $1.48 the year before.

   The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.93 a share. The company tends to come in close to the consensus.

  Looking out to fiscal 2020 ending in January, analysts are calling for an 11% increase in net to $6.67 a share from  the anticipated $6.01 for fiscal 2019.

   Profits for the fiscal first quarter ending in April are predicted to rise 11% to $1.51 a share from the $1.36 the year before.

  Currently,24 analysts follow the stock.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting DG for a move to $142.  A protective stop can be placed at $114.

Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.

Suitability:  Conservative Bulls.

                                 TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success - Bullish -  DG  scored some good gains at times off its recent breakouts. The stock is in a long-term up trend.

Probability - Earnings Response - Slightly Bearish - DG rose 4 times after the past 10 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Slightly Bullish - DG showed a breakeven in February but a gain of 3.5% in March the past several years.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

             10%

    8/8/2018

     101.26

       111.45

   9/10/2018

             33%

    9/27/2017

       79.17

       105.34

   1/29/2018

             11%

    5/27/2016

       86.64

         96.71

   7/26/2016

               5%

    11/18/2014

       64.92

         68.56

  12/19/2014

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


 Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  -  Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Dollar General Corp. (DG)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score   14 0 0

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

      TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MIME  -  ABOVE AVERAGE

    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DE - ABOVE AVERAGE

    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VST  - ABOVE AVERAGE

    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CRM - AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today -  2

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Only 2 breakdown stocks Tuesday. Bears be conservative.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc.  (COLL) - 13.64

Stock Cuts Below Support, TTD Sees Drop to 11

   COLL, based in Stoughton, Ma., is a drug firm providing a release drug delivery method for pain. Annual revenues: $28.4 million. COLL's stock declines Tuesday and undercuts key support.

  So far today, COLL is trading a heavy 744,855 shares, more than double its average daily volume of 284,049 shares.

  TTD sees more on the downside.

  COLL declined in the morning and by noon touched an intraday low of $13.10.

  The stock rallied in the afternoon to trim its loss.

   Tape Action

  COLL's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $13.90 in the morning to as low as $13.15.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 7,173 shares crossed the tape at $13.59.

  That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $13.90 on 8,592 shares.

  Business

   COLL is developing abuse-deterrent products that use its DETERx platform  technology to treat chronic pain and other diseases.

  Its products include Xtampza ER and ONSOLIS.

Its DETERx platform provides extended-release drug delivery. It safeguardings against common methods of abuse and tampering, including crushing, chewing, and heating and injecting.

 ONSOLIS is a transmucosal Immediate-Release Fentanyl  film indicated for the management of breakthrough pain in cancer patients 18 years or older.

 Earnings:

  The company is expected to report a 2018 loss of 88 cents a share compared with a loss of $2.47 the year before.

  Looking out to 2019, the Street is predicting a profit of 36 cents a share. Three analysts follow the stock.

  For the upcoming first quarter, analysts predict a breakeven versus a loss of 57 cents a share the year before.   

Charts:  

  COLL's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key support that had held for several months. The breakdown is significantly bearish. It comes with a pick up in volume too.

  COLL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 40% versus a 3% gain for the stock market.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting COLL for a decline to $11 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $14.20.

Suitability:   Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's probability research of Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response - Slightly Bullish.  -  COLL rose 5 times after the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity - Very Bearish. -   COLL averaged a decline of 8.2% in February and a decline of 4.5% in March the past several years.


   TTD's Quality Rating of Stock  - COLL -  BELOW AVERAGE


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2019

    TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been  a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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   For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.

   Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.


  TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.  

 TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays.  There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.  


TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.

 Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.


(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)