Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Monday, February 13

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Monday, February 13

Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - February 13, 2012

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 7

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side -  Small list of breakout stocks, but some good quality plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market continues to hold in up trend

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - February 13

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Priceline.com Inc. (PCLN) - 572.43, up 27.39 - Breakpoint 553.30

Hits 12-Year High, Net to Surge for 2011 and 2012, TTD Targets 650

    PCLN, based in  Norwalk, Ct., provides online travel services. Annual revenues: $4.1 billion. PCLN's stock, a leader, breaks out today from a nine-month flat base. The push through key upside resistance comes after the stock had been turned back from that level several times. PCLN, a leader, is trading, 1.4 million shares, double its normal daily volume of 752,000 shares.

  PCLN's 10-minute chart shows the stock spiking higher in the morning on strong volume. The push sent the stock over its breakpoint line. PCLN then began to edge higher the rest of the day. It showed firm action heading into the close.

  TTD highlighted PCLN as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

 With a strong earnings outlook and a possible stock split, TTD sees PCLN with good chances to do well. However, the key will be for the stock to follow through on the breakout. Something it has not done on recent breakout attempts.   

    PCLN's tape action shows the recent big block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $535.09 to a peak of $571.25.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 3,874 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $549.43. That was up from the prior block trade at $544.33.

  PCLN offers travel services that include hotel rooms, car rentals, airline tickets, vacation packages, cruises and destination services.

  Internationally, the company offers hotel room reservations in over 90 countries and in 32 languages.

  In the U.S., PCLN offers the customers the ability to purchase travel services in a price-disclosed manner or the opportunity to use the Name Your Own Price service, which allows the customers to make offers for travel services at discounted prices.

  PCLN's subsidiaries include Lowestfare.com LLC and Travelweb LLC. In May 2010, the Company acquired TravelJigsaw LTD. 

  PCLN's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 25% versus a 2% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  PCLN's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from 45 in late 2008 to a peak of  561. The stock is near a 10-year high. A push to a new high on a breakout could bring in buying from the new-high crowd, especially since PCLN is a leader. 

  PCLN's daily chart shows the stock climbing from around 440 in December to near 540 in  February. The stock then rested near the top of the base. Today, it breaks out with expanding volume and a widening of the daily spread (range from high to low).

  The resistance area had been formidable. If PCLN can hold above it. then the resistance area could turn into strong technical support.  

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has punched out to a new peak. That is bullish.

   Analysts expect a 58% jump in fourth quarter net to $4.79 a share from $3.04 a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at $5.25 a share. That is up  from a prior estimate of 4.95 a share.

  TTD sees good chances for an earnings upside surprise.

  The prior four quarters, PCLN topped the consensus estimate by 24 to 73 cents a share. So, it has the potential to surprise big. The stock did move higher after its third quarter earnings report.

  For 2011, earnings are expected to show an 82% surge to $22.28 a share from $12.25 a year ago. The Street has been raising its estimates.

 Looking out to this year, net should rise 31% to $29.11 a share from the anticipated $22.28 in 2011. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 30. TTD sees that as reasonable given the growth rate.

  Strategy Opinion: PCLN is a leader that hat put in plenty of time basing.  TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 650 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near 555.

 TTD rates PCLN an excellent intermediate-term play. There is a chance for a stock split too and that could boost the stock.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is T. Rowe Price Growth Stock Fund with a 2.4% stake. The 4-star rated fund was a recent buyer of 104,800 shares. 4-star rated Fidelity Contrafund is the second largest holder with a 2.3% stake. PCLN has 49.8 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 99% of the stock.

  Insider Activity: Bearish.  Insiders have been steady sellers of the stock. Late last year some insiders were buyers at $18 to $28 a share via options. They sold from $530 to $550. Currently, 16 analysts follow the stock, 15 have a buy, up from 13 three months ago.      

   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers

       Insider Activity - Buying is Green, Selling is in Red

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

  Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small number of shorts today. Bears remain watchful and conservative. Stock market remains in an up trend.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Monster Worldwide Inc. (MWW) - 6.93, down 0.29

Profits to Drop 23% This Year, TTD Sees Decline to 5.20

 MWW, based in New York, is an online job search firm. Annual revenues: $1 billion. MWW's stock breaks to the downside today. The stock is close to a 5-year low. This year, analysts are forecasting a 23% drop in earnings. So far today, MWW is trading 3.6 million shares. Its average daily volume is 3.7 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted MWW as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  The stock moved lower in the morning. It hit an intraday low around noon at 6.87. It then staged a modest rally in the afternoon.

  MWW's tape action shows clear institutional selling pressure.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades. The price for the blocks has declined from $7.22 to $6.93. A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 74,303 shares crossed the tape at $7.12. That was down from the prior block trade at $7.22.

  This year, analysts forecast a 23% drop in earnings to 29 cents a share from 37 cents a year ago. Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to sink 40% to 3 cents a share from 5 cents a year ago.

   MWW's daily chart shows the stock trending sideways trying to hold support near 7. Today, the stock slides under support. Its TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has turned bearish.

   Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting MWW for a decline to 5.20 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 7.50.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)