Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, February 14 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 13 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Small number of breakouts, but a few good looking plays. Stock market stages big recovery late in the day to about finish flat. Bulls be venturesome as trend is still up.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GLNG - ABOVE AVERAGE |
GLNG, based in Bermuda, operates a fleet of liquefied natural gas carries and floating storage regasification units. Annual revenues: $283 million. GLNG, the best winner among TTD's featured breakout stocks last year, breaks out today to clear a six-week base. The move sends the stock close to its all-time high. TTD highlighted the stock recently as a potential breakout. So far today, GLNG is trading 1.3 million shares, double its normal daily volume of 630,000 shares.
GLNG's 10-minute chart shows the stock racing higher in the morning. The company announced that it plans to expand its fleet. The market took the news very bullishly. .
The stock trended sideways through the rest of the day after sailing higher in the morning.
GLNG's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One an see the price for the blocks rising from $43.95 to $46.68. A key bullish trade came when a block of 5,000 shares crossed the tape in the morning at $45.45. That was up from the prior block trade at $44.23.
GLNG has a fleet of 13 ships, 10 LNG carriers and three FSRUs. The company provides liquid natural gas carriers and floating storage re-gasification units.
GLNG's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in late 2002 and trading round 6. The stock climbed to a peak of 27.70 by 2007.
It was then pulled lower during the bear market falling back to as low as $2.63 in 2009.
It has since made a sensational comeback. If the stock can breakout to a new high, it could attract more buying interest especially since the earnings outlook is so strong.
GLNG's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 28 back in October to a peak near 47 in January. The stock then attempted a breakout but ran into selling and was pulled back into the base.
However, the stock firmed up, rallied and today breaks out again this time with strong volume and widening of the trading spread (range from high to the low).
GLNG's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has turned up after declining the past two months. That shows a pick up in buying interest.
However, it still lags the price. So, one needs to be watchful of the stock.
For 2011, analysts expect GLNG will post net of 97 cents a share, up from one cent a year ago.
Net for the fourth quarter is expected to surge 178% to 25 cents a share from 9 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 27 cents a share. The estimates have come down slightly in recent weeks.
Going out to 2012, profits are projected to jump 145% to $2.36 a share from the anticipated 97 cents for 2011. Analysts have been boosting their estimate of 2012 net. The stock sells with a p/e ratio of 18 based on 2012 net.
The win of new contracts is helping to propel earnings.
Net for the first quarter should rise 46% to 35 cents a share from 24 cents a year before.
Strategy Opinion: GLNG stock is a leader. TTD is targeting GLNG for a move to 56. A protective stop can be placed near 42.
TTD rates GLNG a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Excellent. A key fund buyer recently was 4-star rated Vanguard Selected Value Fund which purchased 189,900 shares. It is the largest fund holder at 2.1%. Also, 4-star rated Baron Small Cap Retail Fund was a recent purchaser of 100,000 shares. It has a 0.33% stake. GLNG has 80 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 19% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Not available. Not rated.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers
Insider Activity - Buying in Green - Selling in Red
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Golar LNG Ltd. - (GLNG) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LPSN - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ARII - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small number of breakdown issues today. However, stock market starting to weaken a bit. Bears remain alert and conservative for now. TTD's short play from Monday was Monster Worldwide Inc. (MWW) at $6.93. It has now declined to 6.65 and is working well for bears.
ZIP, based in Cambridge, Ma., operates car sharing networks. Annual revenues: $230 million. ZIP's stock falls sharply today with expanding volume. The company reported a profit for the fourth quarter. However, it said revenues for the first quarter would be below estimates. So far today, ZIP is trading a heavy 2.4 million shares, ten times its normal daily volume of 249,000 shares.
TTD highlighted ZIP as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
ZIP said revenues for the first quarter would be $58 to 60 million. The estimate on the Street was at $60.3 million. The stock reacted bearishly to the news.
ZIP's stock fell in the morning and hit an intraday low of 13.50. The stock then lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.
ZIP's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $15.58 to as low as $13.77. A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 24,116 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at 15.15. That was down from the prior block at $15.58.
ZIP runs a car sharing network providing self-service vehicles to members located in reserved parking spaces throughout the neighborhoods where they live and work.
The Company's vehicles are available for use through its reservation system available by phone, internet or wireless mobile devices.
Once the vehicle is reserved the member unlocks the vehicle with his or her keyless entry card and drives away. Its primary solutions include: Individual Membership, Zipcar for Universities, Zipcar for Business and Zipcar for Government and FastFleet.
This year analysts forecast a profit of 11 cents a share compared with a loss of 37 cents a share for 2011.
ZIP's chart shows the stock declining from 21 to 13 and the trying to bottom. However, today's drop comes with big volume indicating potential for more on the downside.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ZIP for a drop to 11.50. A protective stop buy can be placed near 14.70.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ZIP - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)