Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Wednesday, February 17, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Tuesday, February 16, 2016 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 6
Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small and very selective. Stock market rallies on rise in price of oil Bulls be conservative.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bearish
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AGRO - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AGRO, based in Luxembourg, is an agricultural and farming company with operations in South America. Annual revenues: $673 million. AGRO's stock breaks out Wednesday. The stock is pushing close to its all-time high of 13.91 set back in 2011.
TTD highlighted the stock as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
So far today, AGRO is trading a heavy 788,206 shares, double its average daily volume of 319,000 shares.
AGRO's stock drive higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line. (see 10-minute chart)
The stock reached an intraday peak of 13.07 late in the morning.
The stock then backed off slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.
AGRO's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $12.08 in the prior session t as high as $13 Wednesday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 9,828 shares crossed the tape at $12.58.
That was up from the prior block trade the day before at $12.34 on 9,037 shares.
There was some profit taking near the close.
That showed up when a block of 18,594 shares crossed at $12.90.
That was down from the prior block at $13 on 9,188 shares.
AGRO engages in farming, energy production, and land transformation.
It produces sugar, ethanol and energy.
The company plants, harvests, and sells grains, oilseeds, and fibers, including wheat, corn, soybeans, cotton, sunflowers, and others; and providing grain warehousing, handling and drying services to third parties.
It also produces rice and raw milk; and leases cattle grazing land.
AGRO owns 257,036 hectares comprising 20 farms in Argentina, 11 farms in Brazil, and 1 farm in Uruguay.
AGRO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 58% versus a 5% decline in the stock market.
AGRO's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2011 and trading at 13.35. It reached a peak of 13.91.
However, The stock fell back to 6 by 2013. It has since been working higher nicely.
AGRO's daily chart shows the stock trending higher from 8 back in September to 12 by December.
The stock put down a well-formed flat base. The breakout Wednesday is classic coming with expanding volume and a widening of the daily spread.
That is all bullish.
The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is strongly bullish.
Analysts are forecasting net for 2015 will jump to 31 cents a share from 2 cents a year ago.
That is a big improvement.
The key: A strong fourth quarter. Net is expected to come in at 22 cents a share compared with a loss of 11 cents a year ago.
Turning to 2016, the Street projects a 79% leap in net to 56 cents a share from the anticipated 31 cents for 2015.
The stock sells with a p/e ratio of 20 based on projected 2016 net. TTD sees that as reasonable.
There is no forecast for the first quarter this year. AGRO has some times come in below Street estimates. (see table)
So one needs to watch the stock closely.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 16.50.
A protective stop can be placed near 11.30.
TTD rates AGRO a good intermediate-term play provided earnings projects are met.
Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is the 3-star rated Prudential Jennison Small Company B Fund with a 2.6% stake. It has held its position steady. It was a recent seller of 154,739 shares.
The largest fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Ashmore Emerging Markets Small Cap Equity Inst. Fund which purchased 79,800 shares as a new position. The fund has a 0.1% stake.
AGRO has 121.1 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 67% of the stock and insiders have 13%.
Insider Activity: Not available.
Currently, 10 analysts follow the stock 8 have a by, up from 7 three months ago.
AGRO has a book value of $4.41 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Adecoagro SA - (AGRO) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PSB - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - OTEX - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MHG - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PM - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Wednesday as stock market rallies on oil price rise. Bears be patient and watchful. Stock market sill in overall down trend.
MXWL, based in San Diego, Ca., makes energy storage and power delivery products worldwide. Annual revenues: $170 million. MXWL's stock falls sharply Wednesday after reporting disappointing earnings. So far today, MXWL is trading 1.2 million shares, six times its average daily volume of 214,000 shares.
TTD highlighted MXWL as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
MXWL reported fourth quarter operating net of 2 cents a share.
The was below the 3 cents a share expected by analysts.
MXWL's stock fell in the morning and touched an intraday low of 5.01.
The stock then trended sideways the rest of the day weakening some in the final hour.
MXWL's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $6.38 a share to $5.18.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 6,695 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $5.61 a share.
That was down sharply from the prior block at $6.30 a share on 8,300 shares in the prior session.
The company offers ultracapacitors that provide energy storage and power delivery solutions for applications in transportation, automotive, information technology, renewable energy, and industrial electronics..
It also provides CONDIS high-voltage capacitors, including grading and coupling capacitors, and electronic voltage transformers that are used to ensure the safety and reliability of electric utility infrastructures.
This year, analysts are forecasting a loss of 22 cents a share compared with a loss of 48 cents a share in 2015.
For the upcoming first quarter, the Street predicts a loss of 14 cents a share compared with a loss of 32 cents a year ago.
MXWL's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. The stock's momentum indicator (top of chart) has broken to the downside. It is bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MXWL for a decline to 4 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 6.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MXWL - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)