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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Thursday. February 20, 2014

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -Thursday, February 20, 2014

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 10, 2013

See TTD's Top Performing Breakouts 2011-2012-2013


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday - February 20, 2014


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 20

Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list large with several good looking plays. Railroad car makers breaking out and are leaders. Stock market is in a trading range.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Thursday

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Post Holdings Inc. (POST) - 56.72, up 1.14 - Breakpoint 55.97

Profits to Climb 41% in Fiscal 2014 (Sept.), TTD Targets 70

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - POST - ABOVE AVERAGE

  POST, based in St. Louis, makes cereals and other food products. Annual revenues: $1.1 billion. POST breaks out today from a five-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. The stock came public in early 2012 and traded around $27. So far today, POST is trading 360,279 shares. Its average daily volume is 530,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted POST as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.

  POST gapped higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint. The stock moved to a peak of 57.

  In the early afternoon, the stock pulled back slightly. However, in the late afternoon, POST pushed higher clearing its breakpoint with room spare.

  One can see on the 10-minute chart a good expansion of intraday volume in the morning when the stock pushed higher and also in the afternoon.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $54.12 a few sessions ago to as high as $57.34.

  A key bullish trade came late on Wednesday when a block of 31,900 shares crossed at $55.17.

  That was up from a prior block at $54.98 on 3,180 shares.

  Then near the close on Thursday another bullish block crossed at $57.34 on 7,224 shares.   

  The tape action showed strong institutional buying, especially late in the session which bodes well for a possible strong opening on Friday given a reasonable market.

  POST makes branded ready-to-eat cereals in the United States and Canada.

  The company's products are manufactured through a production platform consisting of four owned primary facilities and sold through a variety of channels such as grocery stores, mass merchandisers, club stores, and drug stores.

  The company's products include Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, Post Selects, Great Grains, Spoon Size Shredded Wheat, Post Raisin Bran, Grape-Nuts and Honeycomb.  

  POST's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 52% versus a 20% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  POST's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2012 and trading around $27. The stock trended sideways for several months.

  However, late in 2012, it broke out to the upside and climb to a peak of $49.32 by July of 2013. The stock then pulled back a bit, but the turned higher again. The breakout today takes the stock to a new all-time high. That could draw in more buying on Friday from the new-high crowd.

  POST's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 39 back in October to a peak near 56. The stock then put down a flat base above its rising 50-day moving average line.

  So, today's breakout comes with a solid up trend. That is bullish.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has been bullish for the past three months.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending higher and broke out before the price of the stock. That indicated good underlying buying.

 POST is poised to show strong earnings.

  Earnings for the fiscal year ending in September of 2014 are projected to climb 41% to $1.33 a share from 94 cents a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 42. That is high for a food stock.

  However, going out to fiscal 2015 ending in September, the Street is looking for a 56% surge in net to $2.08 a share from the anticipated $1.33 for the current fiscal year. Thus, the earnings growth rate matches well with the premium P/E ratio.

  On a quarterly basis, POST is poised to show two very strong quarters.

  Net for the fiscal second quarter ending in March should leap 76% to 34 cents a share from 19 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 37 cents a share.

  POST missed the Street estimate the past four quarters (see table). So, one needs to watch the stock closely.

   Going out to the fiscal third quarter ending in June, the Street expects net to jump 77% to 51 cents a share from 29 cents the year before.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting POST for a move to 70 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 53.

  TTD rates POST a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course. The stock also has the potential to split which could push it higher.

Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated Fidelity Small Cap Discovery Stock with a big 7.8% stake. It was a recent buyer of 754,400 shares.

  Also, the 3-star rated Keeley Small Cap Value Fund was a recent purchaser of 295,882 shares. It is the third largest fund holder with a 1.8% stake.

  POST 32.7 million shares outstanding.

 Insider Activity: Very Bullish. Insiders were recent buyers at $53.78. Also options were awarded at $48 to $53. The price of the stock will have to move much higher for those options to be worth more. Currently, 4 analysts follow the stock, one has a buy, up from none three months ago.



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Posts Holdings Inc. - (POST)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume   YES
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 13 0 1

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TRN  - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AAOI - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - INSY - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GBX - ABOVE AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 1

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.

Bear Side - Only one short today. Stock market continues to rally. Bears remain conservative.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

America Movil SAB (AMX) - 19.97, down 0.48

Lower Net for the Quarter Expected, TTD Sees Drop to 16

AMX, based in Mexico, provides wireless communications in Mexico. Annual revenues: $780 million. AMX's stock falls today and cuts below key technical support. So far today, AMX is trading 5.1 million shares so far today. Its average daily volume is 5.3 million shares.

 TTD highlighted AMX as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.

  AMX's stock gapped lower in the morning falling below key support. The stock hit an intraday low of 19.89 in the morning.

  The stock then trended sideways unable to rally.

  The stocks tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks declining from $20.47 to $20.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when 58,193 shares crossed the tape at $20.14.

  That was down from the prior block at $20.45 that came on a block of 15,773 shares.

  AMX's subsidiary Radiomovil Dipsa operates under the trademark Telcel.  It provides cellular telecommunications service in all nine regions in Mexico.

 It has a network covering 31.4% of the area of Mexico, including all major cities, and  89% of Mexico 's population.

Analysts are forecasting a 14% decline in net for the first quarter. For the year, they see a 16% gain in net.

  AMX's chart shows the stock trending lower recently and now cutting below key support. The stock's TTD momentum indicator is bearish.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AMX for a decline to 16 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 21.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AMX -  BELOW AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2013

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)