Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Monday, February 22, 2016
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Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Monday, February 22, 2016 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 22, 2016 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 9
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list shows some interesting bull plays. However, bulls should remain conservative. Stock market rallying within down trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bearish
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
HA, based in Honolulu, operates Hawaiian Airlines. Annual revenues: $2.3 billion. HA's stock breaks out Monday from an 13-week double-bottom base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. The stock began trading back in 1995. 
TTD highlighted HA as a breakout our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
The stock was also featured last week as an accumulation play.
HA is trading 1.4 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.5 million shares.
The stock gapped higher in the morning with the strong move in the stock market. (See 10-minute chart)
The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day holding above its breakpoint line. 
HA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $39.69 in the prior session to as high as $41.19 Monday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 13,819 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $40.25.
That was up from the prior block trade at $39.69 on 5,300.
Then near the close a massive block of 26,102 shares (duplicated) crossed at $41.13.
That was up from the prior block at $41.10 on 5,209 shares.
HA's flights handle passengers, cargo and mail.
Its passenger service consists of daily service between Hawaii and Las Vegas, Nevada and four key U.S. West Coast gateway cities - Los Angeles and San Francisco, California, Seattle, Washington and Portland, Oregon.
It also provides daily service among the major islands of Hawaii; and bi-weekly service to Pago Pago, American Samoa, Papeete and Tahiti.
HA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 120% versus a 6% decline in the Stock market.
There was some recent insider buying, along with insider selling.
That is bullish showing insiders are still willing to buy.
HA's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $2.60 back in 2007 to a peak of $11.10 in 2008. The stock then trended sideways until 2013 when it began to turn up.
Since then, the stock has soared to an all-time peak of $41.31.
HA's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 25 back in October to a peak near 39 by December.
The stock then trended mostly sideways until January. It fell back as the stock market turned lower.
HA has since rallied strongly and Monday breaks out clearing all upside resistance. 
HA is a bit extended having climbed some 10 points in the past three weeks.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) compliments the price action.
It shows good underlying buying.
HA is poised to post a big earnings gain this year. It is benefiting from lower fuel costs due to the big drop in oil prices.
The Street is forecasting a 46% surge in net this year to $4.50 a share from $3.09 a year ago.
The stock carries a price-earnings ratio of just 7. TTD sees that as attractive to value investors.
Going out to 2017, analysts predict a 3% gain in net to $4.65 a share from the anticipated $4.50 this year.
Earnings growth for the next two quarters will be very strong. That should be the key driver for the stock.
Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to jump 96% to 74 cents a share from 38 cents a year ago.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 77 cents a share.
The company has topped the consensus estimate three out of the past four quarters. (see table)
Going out to the second quarter net is projected to jump 81% to $1.10 a share from 61 cents the year before.
Analysts have been lifting their estimates.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting HA for a move to 50, that is up from a prior target of 46.
A protective stop can be placed near 38.
TTD sees HA as a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Hennessy Cornerstone Mid Cap 30 Inv. Fund which purchased 985,300 shares as a new position. It is the second largest fund holder with a 1.9% stake.
HA has 53.4 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 80% of the stock and insiders have 9%.
Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were recent sellers at $24. There were buyers using stock options at $4 a share.
Currently, 8 analysts follow the stock, just one has a buy, the same as three months ago.
HA has a book value of $8.35 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Hawaiian Holdings Inc. - (HA) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EDIT - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NLSN - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HOFT - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - XRS - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks as stock market rallies sharply. Bears be conservative and patient.
CCC. based in Pittsburgh, Pa., provides services and solutions for purifying water and air, food, beverage, and industrial process streams in the U.S., Europe, and Japan. Annual revenues: $535 million. CCC's stock falls sharply after the company reported earnings below Street expectations. 
TTD highlighted CCC as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
So far today, CCC is trading 800,820 shares, triple its average daily volume of 255,000 shares.
The company reported earnings for the fourth quarter of 15 cents a share, down from 23 cents a year ago.
The 15 cents was below the 16 cents projected by the Street.
CCC's stock fell sharply in the morning. It touched an intraday low of 14.10.
The stock then lifted slightly, but faded back again and trended sideways the rest of the day.
CCC's tape action shows the recent block trades.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 11,222 shares crossed the tape at $15.27.
That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $15.98 on 5,518 shares.
CCC makes granular and powdered activated carbon for use to remove organic compounds from liquids, gases, water, and air. It also offers services related to activated carbon, including reactivation of spent carbon.
This year, analysts have been forecasting a 26% increase in net to $1.03 a share. However, that forecast could come down.
CCC's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower on expanding volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending lower showing clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CCC for a decline to 11 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 15.10.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CCC - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
