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Go To Prior Days TTD "Pro Reports"

Aggressive Investors Bullish - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List - Thursday, February 25

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Aggressive Investor Bullish- Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (win rate 70%) - Thursday, February 25

Conservative Investors  Bullish (swing traders) - Go To TTD Bargain Trade Setups - Monday, February 22 - Weekly

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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday - February 25, 2010


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades"  (swing trades). Ideally suited for entry into stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Good for trading range markets

 (See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)


Conservative Bearish Investors  (swing traders).  "Bargain Bearish Plays" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for trading range markets with overall market down trend.

  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long  These are for conservative bullish Investors The strategy is called swing trading. These long buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. They are good for trading range markets. These stocks can give a good return in a week or two. They can also explode into a breakout and a powerful advance.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.

  TTD's Bearish bargain play stocks to sell short. These issues are usually in down trends and are poised to rollover after a minor rally. They often can provide a conservative bear with a good entry point.

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings.TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


 Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 10

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull side - List of Breakout stocks picks up today, even though stock market declines. Some very good looking breakouts with strong profits. Bulls be venturesome.  Overall, the stock market is in a trading range which could last awhile.

(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market (Daily) - NYSE  Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish


Today's Featured Breakout Stock

Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) - 16.20, up 0.89 - Breakpoint 15.45

Hits 52-week High, Net Tops Estimates, TTD Targets 21

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CNK -  ABOVE AVERAGE

    CNK, based in Plano, Tex., operates movie theaters. Annual revenues: $1.8 billion. CNK's stock breaks out from a seven-week flat base today after reporting strong earnings for the fourth quarter. Volume swelled to 2.2 million shares, four times its average daily volume of 533,000 shares. TTD highlighted CNK as a stock to accumulation in our report for Feb. 19.

  CNK was also featured in TTD's midsession show on the Web Thursday.

  CNK's 5-minute chart shows the stock climbing over its breakpoint at 15.54 in the morning on a gap move and heavy volume.

  The stock trended sideways most of the day and then lifted a bit late in the session.

  CNK reported fourth quarter net of 36 cents a share compared with a loss of 82 cents a share. The 36 cents topped the consensus estimate on the Street at 19 cents a share and also the  highest estimate at 28 cents a share. \

  So, the earnings were a big upside surprise topping the highest estimate. That may force analysts to revise upward their earnings outlook this year. That could well be a key driver to send CNK higher in coming weeks.

 TTD had said in the Feb. 19 TTD Report that "we see strong earnings as a possible catalyst to drive the stock out from its base. TTD suggested accumulation. The breakout came today. Bravo!

  CNK's tape action is bullish. A look at CNK's recent big block trades shows the stock climbing from $15.29 to a $16.21. A key trade was a big block of 50,000 shares that crossed at $16.21. That was up sharply from the prior block trade at $16.

  The tape action was supportive of the breakout.   

  CNK runs theatres in the United States, Brazil and Colombia. It operates 429 theatres and 4,783 screens in 38 states, one Canadian province and 12 Latin American countries.

 Its theatres in the United States are primarily in mid-sized United States markets, including suburbs of metropolitan areas. During 2008, it acquired two theatres with 28 screens, built 10 theatres with 128 screens and closed six theatres with 68 screens.   

  CNK's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 100% the past 12 months compared with a 45% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  CNK's long-term chart shows the stock coming public and trading around 20 in 2007. The stock was pulled lower in the bear market touching 7. It has since rallied strongly doubling the past 12 months. The stock is now trending higher. There was key long-term overhead resistance around 15  The push through that zone today is very bullish long-term.   

  CNK's daily chart shows the stock rallying from 9 to 15. The subsequent basing work was very bullish. The breakout comes with strong volume and a widening of the spread (range from high to low). That is very bullish.

  The basing work was done above a rising 50-day moving average line showing the stock remains in a good up trend.

  CNK's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) hit a new peak and broke out to the upside a few days ago. That was a good lead indicator of a potential breakout for the price of the stock.

  This year, analysts forecast 26% increase in CNK's earnings to $1.12 a share over the reported 89 cents a share for 2009. The stock sells with a modest price-earnings ratio of 14.

  Revenue growth is running at 31%. The gain reflected a 21% jump in attendance at the movie theatres.

Analysts expect CNK's net for the first quarter to climb 25% to 20 cents a share from 16 cents a year ago.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at 23 cents a share.   

 Strategy Opinion: CNK's breakout is ideal with expanding volume and a wide spread. TTD is targeting CNK for a move to 21 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 13.80. TTD rates CNK a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.

  Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated JP Morgan Small Cap Equity Fund with a 1.4% stake. It was a recent buyer of 38,200 shares. A key buyer recently was 4-star rated Wells Fargo Advantage Small Cap Growth Fund which purchased 184,100 shares. CNK has 109 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were heavy sellers recently. A key seller was several partnerships. They sold at $14.33. Currently, 17 analysts follow the stock, 11 have a buy, the same as three months ago.    



  Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

    


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating

Cinemark Holdings Inc. - (CNK)  

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume YES    
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term     YES
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES    
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 13 0 1

All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)


  


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ESRX - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IPXL - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ETM - BELOW AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TJX - AVERAGE


Conservative Investors Bearish (swing traders) - Go To TTD Bargain Short Trade Setups - Monday, February 22 - Weekly

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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 9

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.

Bear Side - Breakdown list of stocks expands today with some interesting plays. Stock market in a trading range.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)

  


Commentary on TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Google Inc. (GOOG) - 523.33, down 8.14

Profit Growth To Slow, TTD Sees Decline to 470

  GOOG, based in Mountain View, Ca., provides a search service for the internet and other services. Annual revenues: $23.7 billion. GOOG, a leading stock, breaks down today from a head-and-shoulder topping pattern. Volume is running at 2.7 million shares. The stock's average daily volume is 2.9 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  GOOG's stock moved lower in the morning, spent midday trending sideways and is now lifting late in the day.

  The technical key to the pattern is that GOOG topped out at 627 in January and is now trending lower.

  The breakdown from the topping pattern is very bearish. So is the tape action. TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades. One can see the price for the blocks declining from $535.07 to $520.50. That shows a dose of institutional selling pressure.

  The key trade today was a block of 45,000 shares that crossed at $520.50. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $527. That showed a degree of urgency to sell.

 GOOG has an index of Websites and other online content, and makes this information freely available through its search engine.

The company’s automated search technology helps people obtain nearly instant access to relevant information from its online index. GOOG generates revenue primarily by delivering online advertising.

 Businesses use its AdWords program to promote their products and services with targeted advertising. In addition, the thousands of third-party Websites that comprise the Google Network use its AdSense program to deliver relevant ads that generate revenues.

Analysts forecast a modest 12% increase in GOOG's earnings for the first quarter to $5.76 a share from $5.16 a year ago.

GOOG's daily chart shows the head and shoulder pattern. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now solidly bearish. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has rolled over.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting GOOG for a drop to 470 within the next few months. We view the stock as a trading short. However, there is potential for a significant breakdown if there is any earnings disappointment. A protective stop buy can be placed at 540.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)