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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Monday, February 25

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, February 25, 2013

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 25Tuesday, February 19

See TTD's Top Performing Breakouts 2011-2012


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


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Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - February 25, 2013


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Below Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list small and overall quality is low. Bulls be patient and selective. Stock market pulling back after recent advance.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - February 25, 2013

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Amgen Inc.  (AMGN) - 90.31, up 3.49 - Breakpoint 90.02

Hits All-time High, TTD Targets 102

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AMGN  - AVERAGE

  AMGN, based near Los Angeles, produces medical products via biotechnology. Annual revenues: $17.3 billion. AMGN's stock breaks out today from a four month basing pattern. The stock hits a new all-time high. AMGN came public back in 1990 and was hot issue in the 90s.

  TTD highlighted AMGN at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  So far today, AMGN is trading 11.2 million shares, almost double its normal daily volume of 6.7 million shares.

  The stock is holding up well against the stock market's decline Monday.

  AMGN's daily chart shows the stock advancing steadily through the session and peaking in the afternoon. The stock then backed off a bit in the late afternoon.

  AMGN's tape action is shown by its recent big block trades.

  The table shows the price for the blocks climbing steadily the past few sessions from $85.60 to $90.99.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 193,756 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $89.46. That was up from the prior block trade at $85.82.   

  AMGN discovers, develops and delivers innovative human therapeutics.

 AMGN used biotechnology to develop new products.

  Amgen therapeutics have changed the practice of medicine, helping millions of people around the world in the fight against cancer, kidney disease, rheumatoid arthritis, and other serious illnesses.

 The company has a broad pipeline of potential new medicines.

  AMGN's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 34% versus a 10% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  AMGN's long-term chart shows the stock pushing through long-term resistance. The stock had a key upside breakout around 60 back in late 2011. The stock is a big cap that tends to move slowly. It has a beta of 0.39 versus 1.00 for the S&P 500 index. So, the stock is most suitable for conservative investors.   

  AMGN's daily chart shows the stock smacking into resistance around 90.

  The stock clears it today with a gap move to the upside with expanding volume.

  AMGN's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.

  The Accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) lags. So, that means one needs to be watchful of the stock.

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 10% increase in AMGN's net to $7.09 a share from $6.45 a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 12. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Looking out to 2014, the Street is projecting a 13% jump in net to $8.05 a share from the anticipated $7.09 this year.

  AMGN's net for the upcoming first quarter should rise 9% to $1.73 a share from $1.59 a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.85 a share. AMGN has a tendency to top the consensus by a wide margin at times. So, a big upside earnings surprise is possible.

  Strategy Opinion: AMGN is a big cap play breaking out. TTD sees the stock most suitable for conservative investors.

  TTD is targeting AMGN for a move to 102 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 87.

  TTD rates AMGN an average intermediate-term play.

  Sponsorship: Very Good. A key fund buyer recently was Fidelity Contrafund, 4-star rated, which purchased 1.2 million shares.

  Also, American Funds Capital Inc. Bldr, 3-star rated, bought 8 million shares.

  Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $50 to $62 a share. They were sellers around $86 to $89. Currently, 26 analysts follow the stock, 13 have a buy, the same as three months ago.



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Amgen Inc. - (AMGN)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term     YES
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term     YES
Earnings Outlook   YES
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success   YES
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 10 0 4

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ATLS - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - INFY - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - KEYW  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BGFV  - BELOW AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 4

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks today.  Stock market in a trading range. Bears be conservative and selective.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Avid Technology Inc. (AVID) - 6.84, down 0.82

Street Sees Loss for 4th Quarter, TTD Sees Side to 5

   AVID, based in Burlington, Ma., produces software for digital storage. Annual revenues: $622 million. AVID's stock falls sharply today cutting through key technical support. The drop comes on volume of 395,035 shares, four times its average daily volume of 88,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted AVID as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  The stock fell sharply in the morning and hit an intraday low of 6.71. The lifted slightly and then trended sideways the rest of the day.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades for this lightly traded issue.

  One can see a key bearish trade coming in the morning when a block of 25,929 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $7.49. That was down from the prior block at $7.66. The selling persisted into the day.

 AVID said it is postponing its fourth quarter 2012 earnings release and investor conference call, previously scheduled for Tuesday, February 26, 2013.

 It said it was doing that to provide additional time for the company to evaluate its current and historical accounting treatment related to bug fixes, upgrades and enhancements to certain products.

  The need to evaluate the accounting treatment arose during the Company's normal review of its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2012. AVID said it is working to complete its evaluation, but is currently unable to estimate when the evaluation will be completed.

 AVID sells and supports software and systems for creating and manipulating digital media content.

 Digital media are media elements, whether video or audio or graphics, in which the image, sound or picture is recorded and stored as digital values, as opposed to analog signals.

 The company's systems are designed to improve the productivity of video and film editors by enabling them to edit moving pictures and sound in a faster, easier, and more cost-effective manner than traditional analog tape-based systems.

  Analysts are forecasting AVID will show a loss of 45 cents a share for 2012, a widening of the loss of 12 cents a share for 2011.  Net for the fourth quarter should be 11 cents a share, down 65% from the 30 cents a share a year before.

  AVID's stock chart shows the stock breaking down with a big expansion in volume.

   Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting AVID for a decline to 5 with in the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 7.40.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AVID - BELOW AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2013

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)