Ticker Tape Digest

Tuesday - February 25, 2020

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

   Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.

  We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

   The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

   To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.   

   For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.

Tuesday - February 25 2020

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts Tuesday   -  2

Quality of Breakouts -  Below Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Small list of breakouts and extremely selective.

Stock market  - Major averages are bearish in daily and the Dow and S&P are bearish weekly.

Comment -  Bulls be conservative and watchful. Market may need time to find a bottom

See Latest Earnings Reports -  A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats -  AMRN, LL, HSKA, and TIGO.

Stock Market Momentum

(Daily is based on a moving average)

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work.

They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other.

(Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks near breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.  They can also be bought soon after a follow through move, sometimes on an intraday pullback. )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Alpha Pro Tech Ltd. (APT) - 10, up 2.86 - Breakpoint 7.85

Play on Coronaviorus, TTD Targets 13

  APT, based in Markam, Canada, produces face masks and other products to protect people from infections. Annual revenues: $47 million. APT's stock drives higher and breaks out from its six-week flat base.

  The move carries the stock to a multi-year high.

  APT makes face masks. U.S. officials said they are seeking to buy some 500 million face masks.

  TTD sees more on the upside. The stock is most suitable for aggressive bulls.

  So far today, APT is trading a heavy 19.4 million shares, six times its average daily volume of 3.3 million shares.

  APT's stock moved higher in the morning and broke out in the early afternoon.

  The stock reached an intraday peak in the afternoon at $10.80.

  It then trended sideways into the close.

     Tape Action

  APT's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $6.80 in the morning to as high as $10 by the close.

  A key bullish trade came in the afternoon when a block of 20,000 shares crossed the tape at $7.73.

   That was up from the prior block at $6.80 on 97,297 shares on Monday.

  Near the close a block of 64,235 shares crossed at $10.

  That was up from  the prior block at $9.75 on 23,071 shares.

  Business

  APT makes disposable protective apparel and infection control products.

 It makes face masks.

 It also makes  construction weatherization products, such as housewrap and synthetic roof underlayment, as well as other woven material.

  It also makes disposable protective apparel, such as shoecovers, bouffant caps, gowns, coveralls, lab coats, frocks and other products for infection control which consists of face masks and eye shields.

   Charts

  APT's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up a sensational 155% versus a 12% gain for the stock market.

  The big spike in performance came after the big gain the past two sessions.

  Insiders have not been active this year.

  APT's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $1.55 back in 2016 to a peak near $3 by 2017.

  The stock then trended in a range with upside resistance around $4.50. The breakout is powerful.

  APT's daily chart shows the stock breaking out in January and climbing to around $7.85.

  It then pulled back and formed a base.

  The breakout Tuesday is powerful and comes with big volume.

  APT's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.

   Earnings Outlook

  The stock does not have any earnings estimate for this year from analysts. .

  In the prior three quarters the company reported a profit of 3 cents a share, 8 cents and 9 cents.

  The company has tended to show steady earnings the past few years.

  A big pick up in sales could drive earnings up sharply.

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting APT for a move to $13 within the next few months, or sooner.

A protective stop can be placed near  $8.80.

Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.

Suitability:   Aggressive Bulls.

                                 TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:  

           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)

  Stock's Long-term Chart

 Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  -  Insider Selling in Red

   Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

    Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action for Thursday -  20

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Large list of shorts as market falls hard for second straight day. Bears be selective.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

American Airlines Group Inc.  (AAL) - 23,12

Net to Fall 15% in First Quarter, TTD Sees Drop to 19

  AAL, based in Fort Worth, Tex., provides airline services. Annual revenues: $45.8 billion. AAL's stock falls sharply Tuesday and undercuts key technical support with heavy volume.  

  So far today, AAL is trading 22.3 million shares, double its average daily volume of 10.2 million shares.

  TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted AAL as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.

  Airlines and cruise stocks have been under pressure because of the spread of the coronavirus.

  AAL's stock fell in the morning and cut below support.

  The stock touched an intraday low of $23.05 in the early afternoon. It then edged a bit higher the rest of the day.

   Tape Action

  AAL's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $25.62 in the morning to as low as $23.06 late in the day.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 22,800 shares crossed the tape at $25.03.

  That was down from the prior block at $25.62 on 114,845 shares at the opening.

   Business

  AAL operates a network of airplanes providing scheduled transportation for passengers and cargo.

  its airline operated an average of nearly 6,700 flights per day to nearly 350 destinations in more than 50 countries.

  The company's hubs are in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, DC.

  Earnings:

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 3% increase in net to $5.04 a share from the $4.90 the prior year.

  However, net for the upcoming first quarter should be down 15% to 44 cents a share from the 52 cents the prior year.

Charts:  

  AAL's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower in the prior session and now on Tuesday cutting below key support as volume expands.

  The stock's CCI momentum is very bearish.   

Strategy Opinion: TTD  is targeting AAL for a decline to $19 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $25.

Suitability:  Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:  

   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2020

    TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been  a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

   For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-878-8381.

   Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.

  TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.  

 TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays.  There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.  

TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.

 Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)