Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 24 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.
Thursday - February 27, 2020
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts Thursday - 4
Quality of Breakouts - Below Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Small list of breakouts, but ones with a play on protecting against coronavirous doing exceptionally well. Rest of the market in a steep decline.
Stock market - Market averages daily and weekly now bearish, and also the monthly Dow.
Comment - Stock market in a steep decline. Bulls be selective. The market will need time to bottom out. So, there may still be a lot of volatility up and down for awhile. Conservative bulls be patient.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats - AMC and CCO.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LAKE - ABOVE AVERAGE |
LAKE, based in Ronkonkoma, N.Y., makes safety garments and accessories for the industrial and public protective clothing market. Annual revenues: $99 million. LAKE's stock drives sharply higher Thursday and breaks out from its six-week flat base.
So far today, LAKE is trading a heavy 7.5 million shares, 11 times its average daily volume of 703,000 shares.
The stock is a play on the need for protective clothing to combat the coronavirous.
Several companies in that industry sector have seen their stocks surge higher.
TTD sees potential for more on the upside for LAKE.
LAKE's stock surged to a peak at $23.20 in the morning.
However, the stock faded back to $16.60 around noon.
It then came on again to finish close to its high for the day.
Tape Action
LAKE's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $16.30 in the prior session to as high as $21.95.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 92,538 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $18.62.
That was up from the prior block at $16.30 on 27,536 shares in the prior session.
Near the close a block of 15,968 shares crossed at $19.97.
That came on an up tick from the prior trade at $19.96 on 172 shares.
Business
LAKE makes disposable protective clothing; high-end chemical protective suits; firefighting, flame resistant personal protective equipment and heat protective apparel.
It also makes reusable woven garments; high visibility clothing and glove and sleeves.
The company's products are sold to 1,600 North American safety and mill supply distributors.
Charts
LAKE's 12-month performance chart shows the stock surging 105% versus an 8% gain for the stock market.
Insiders have been getting stock options at $10 a share. They have not done any selling recently.
The company did name a new CEO recently too.
LAKE's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $4 back in 2013 to a peak near $17 by 2017.
The stock pulled back and formed a long-term base. It has now broken out to 14-year high.
LAKE's daily chart shows the stock clearing is base following a good move in the prior session.
The widening of the daily spread and expansion in volume is very bullish.
The stock's CCI momentum indictor is solidly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
Net for the fiscal year ending in January of 2020 should surge 117% to 39 cents a share from the 18 cents in the prior year.
Nt for the fourth quarter should come in at 14 cents a share compared with a loss of 24 cents the prior year.
Looking out to fiscal 2021 ending in January, the Street is calling for a 72% surge in net to 67 cents a share from the anticipated 39 cents for fiscal 2020.
Profits for the fiscal first quarter ending in April should be 11 cents a share compared with a loss of 6 cents the prior year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting LAKE for a move to $24 within the next few months, or sooner.
A protective stop can be placed near $17.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Aggressive Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Breakout Success |
Bullish |
scored big gains off recent breakouts. |
Response to Net |
Bearish |
LAKE rose 4 times after 9 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bearish |
LAKE avg. gain 3.6% in March, loss 5.5% in April prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Neutral |
LAKE beat Street net estimate 9 times after 18 reports. |
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
62% |
1/21/2020 | 12.31 | 19.97 | Still in play |
37% |
6/16/2017 | 11.83 | 16.30 | 7/17/2017 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - OBCI - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - KRMD - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VXRT - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action for Thursday - 13
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Large list of shorts as the stock market falls sharply again on Thursday. Bears be selective.
ANIP, based in Baudette, Min., develop drugs to treat and generic prescription drugs to treat cancer and other illnesses. Annual revenues: $202 million. ANIP's stock falls sharply Thursday after missing on earnings.
So far today, ANIP is trading 194,198 shares, triple its average daily volume of 63,000 shares.
TTD sees more on the downside.
ANIP reported net for the fourth quarter of $1.08 a share. That was below Street estimates of $1.18 a share.
The stock fell sharply in the morning and cut below key support.
The stock bounced back up to its breakpoint line late in the morning.
However, it then trended steadily lower the rest of the day to close near its low for the day.
That is very bearish.
Tape Action
ANIP's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from$59.33 in the prior session down to $48.24 by the close.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 2,837 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $56.93.
That was down from the prior block the day before at $59.33 on 4,927 shares.
Business
ANIP produces its own drugs and also performs contract manufacturing for other drug firms.
Some of ANIP's generic products include Erythromycin Ethylsuccinate, Esterified Estrogen with Methyltestosterone, Etodolac Fenofibrate, Flecainide, Fluvoxamine, Hydrocortisone Enema and Methazolamide.
Earnings:
Net for the upcoming first quarter is projected to decline 13% to $1.13 a share from the $1.30 the prior year.
For the year, analysts have been forecasting a 5% rise in net to $5.47 a share from the $5.19 in 2019.
Charts:
ANIP's daily chart shows the stock falling sharply and undercutting support. It did the same back in November.
ANIP's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 25% versus an 8% rise in the market.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ANIP for a decline to $40 within the next few months. A protective stop buy can be placed near 53.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:
Response to Net |
Bearish |
ANIP rose 4 times after 12 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
ANIP fell 4.1% in March, but rose 11.7% in April in prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
ANIP beat Street estimate 11 times after 20 reports. |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANIP - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-878-8381.
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TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)