Aggressive Investors Bullish - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch List - Wednesday, March 3
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Aggressive Investors Bullish - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch List - Wednesday, March 3 |
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Aggressive Investor Bullish- Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (win rate 70%) - Wednesday, March 3 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under 
Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades" (swing trades). Ideally suited for entry into stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Good for trading range markets Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns Conservative Bearish Investors (swing traders). "Bargain Bearish Plays" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for trading range markets with overall market down trend. |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long These are for conservative bullish Investors The strategy is called swing trading. These long buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. They are good for trading range markets. These stocks can give a good return in a week or two. They can also explode into a breakout and a powerful advance.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's Bearish bargain play stocks to sell short. These issues are usually in down trends and are poised to rollover after a minor rally. They often can provide a conservative bear with a good entry point.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings.TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Stocks Screened - 8,200
Bull side - Still a good number of breakouts today even though stock market marks time. Bulls be aggressive. The market action would suggests allocation money is moving into stocks.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DV - ABOVE AVERAGE |
DV, based in Oakbrook Terrace, IL., operates several schools. Annual revenues:
$1.7 billion. DV's stock breaks out from a six-week, cup-and-handle base today with a modest expansion in volume. DV is a leader and a top performer in the school group. So far today, DV is trading 1.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1 million shares.
TTD highlighted DV as a breakout in our Jan. 27 report when the stock was driving through a breakpoint at 57.80.
The stock then based again and now today clears another overhead resistance point.
DV's 5-minute chart shows the stock breaking out in the morning over its breakpoint at 63.76. The stock then backtracked below the breakpoint, but then late in the morning came on again.
In the afternoon, it put distance between its breakpoint finishing strong.
TTD's clip of
the big block trades shows the price rising sharply from $63.14 to $63.85. 
The tape action indicated good institutional buying. A key trade was a big block of 9,200 shares that crossed at $63.85, up from the prior block which crossed at $63.53.
DV operates DeVry University, Ross University, Chamberlain College of Nursing, U.S. Education, Becker Professional Education and Advanced Academics.
The company operates in four segments. Business, Technology and Management comprises the DeVry University. Medical and Healthcare comprises Ross University, Chamberlain College of Nursing. U.S. Education; Professional Education comprises Becker Professional Education. Other Educational Services comprises Advanced Academics and Fanor.
DV's 9-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 40% versus a 20% gain for the S&P 500 index. DV has been only a modest performer compared with many stocks which have roared back after falling sharply in the bear market. DV has been a consistent climber in recent years.
DV's long-term chart shows a breakout from a 2-year base. The push to a new high is very bullish. It could well bring in more buying by the new high crowd on Thursday.
DV's daily chart shows the gap move breakout in January. Thereafter followed a basing pattern with a cup and handle look. Notice the basing work is above the rising 50-day moving average line. That is bullish.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator is very bullish.
The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has hit a new peak. That is good confirmation of the breakout. It shows there has been good buying in the stock while it based.
Analysts look for DV to post a 48% increase in net for the fiscal third quarter ending March 31. They look for net of $1.03 cents a share, up from 70 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.15 cents a share.
The Street has been lifting the estimates recently.
Revenue growth is running at 28%.
For the fiscal year ending June 30, the Street looks for DV's profits to jump 54% to $3.57 a share from $2.32 a share a year ago. The stock sells with a price earnings ratio of 18,. TTD sees that as low making the stock attractive for value investors.
Looking ahead to fiscal 2011, analysts expect a 23% gain in net to $4.39 a share from the anticipated $3.57 a share.
Strategy Opinion: DV's breakout is looks very good, especially with earnings estimates being bumped up recently. TTD is targeting DV for a move to 76 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 60. TTD rates DV a very good intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is 4-star rated Baron Growth Fund with a 5.1% stake. It has held its position steady. DV has 71.1 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were buyers using stock options. They turned around and sold. The latest selling was at $63. Right now, 23 analysts follow the stock, 14 have a buy, up from 12 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart for 9 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
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TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Devry Inc. - (DV) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CLB - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ROC - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - JNPR - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BMRN - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,2007
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Only a few breakdown stocks today. Bears be selective and alert for any market rollover. TTD's feature short from Tuesday was Arena Resources Inc. (ARD) - 36.20, down 6.49. Today, ARD falls 2.68 to 32.53. It is working well for bears.
(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)
VISN, based in China, provides advertising using real-time mobile digital television broadcasts to deliver content and advertising on mass transportation systems in China. Annual revenues: $123 million. VISN's stock falls sharply today on massive volume. The trigger: A big drop in earnings for the fourth quarter. So far today, VISN is trading a massive 12.4 million shares 36 times its normal daily volume of 335,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.
VISN reported net for the fourth quarter dropped to 8 cents a share from 20 cents a year ago.
Two brokerage firms downgraded the stock, Piper Jaffray Cos and Oppenheimer & Co.
VISN's stock fell at the opening and finally made a bottom at 5.08 near noon. The stock then trended sideways the rest of the day.
TTD's clip of the tape shows VISN's big block trades. One can see the price falling from $6.02 for the blocks to $5.28. The action indicated heavy institutional selling.
VISN also lowered its outlook for revenues.
This year, the Street was looking for a 20% increase in net. That outlook may be lowered.
VISN's advertising network consists of digital television displays located on buses and in other selected locations, such as in subway trains in Beijing, that receive mobile digital television broadcasts of real-time content and advertising.
The Company also operates a stationary advertising platform in subway stations in two major cities in China: Guangzhou and Shenzhen. It has 66,264 digital displays.
VISN's chart shows a breakdown from a head-and-shoulder pattern on a gap move. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bearish. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) takes a dive indicating massive selling.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting VISN for a decline to 3.50 within the next few months, or even sooner. The stock is extremely vulnerable to more on the downside. A protective stop can be placed near 5.80.
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)
