Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.
Wednesday - March 3, 2021
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts - 9
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Several above average stocks breaking out.
Stock market - Major averages are now bearish daily. The Weekly and Monthly still holds bullish.
Comment - Major averages take a big hit Wednesday. The stock market is in a consolidation pattern. However, it is still vulnerable to the downside.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats - VRTV,VMD, DLTR and GMRE.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FLOW - ABOVE AVERAGE |
FLOW, based in Charlotte, N.C., produces pumps, valves and other products for the food and beverage industry. Annual revenues: $1.4 billion. FLOW's stock edges higher Wednesday and clears its nine-week, cup-and-handle base.
The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. That is bullish.
So far today, FLOW is trading 223,806 shares. Its average daily volume is 218,000 shares.
TTD sees potential for more on the upside.
FLOW's stock moved higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint.
The stock reached an intraday high of 64.95 in the morning.
It then trended sideways in a trading range through the rest of the day.
In after-hours trading, FLOW as up 54 cents a share.
Tape Action
FLOW's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $64.10 in the prior session to as high as $64.82 late in the day.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 1,488 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $64.19.
That was up from the prior block at $64.10 on 11,125 shares in the prior session.
Near the close a block of 19,983 shares crossed the tape at $64.41
That came on a down tick from the prior trade at $64.53 on 100 shares.
It is noteworthy that the stock has moved higher in after-hours trading.
Business
FLOW is a global supplier of engineered solutions for the food and beverage industries. .
Its products include pumps, valves, mixers, filters, air dryers, hydraulic tools, homogenizers, separators and heat exchangers.
FLOW''s products in the Industrial segment are air dryers, filtration equipment, mixers, pumps, hydraulic technologies and heat exchangers.
Charts
FLOW's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 72% versus a 24% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were sellers at $32 back in March of last year.
They have done any recent selling.
FLOW's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $14 back in 2016 to a peak at $54 in 2018.
However, the stock later dropped to $15 in early 2020 when the stock market took a dive.
Since then, FLOW has been driving steadily higher.
It has now made a new all-time high.
FLOW's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from its cup-and-handle base.
There was a modest pick up in volume.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts predict a big 42% surge in net to $2.08 a share from the $1.47 the prior year.
FLOW has a price-earnings ratio of 30. That is okay given the growth rate in earnings.
Going out to 2022, the Street projects a 31% jump in net to $2.73 a share from the anticipated $2.08 this year.
Quarterly earnings will be very strong.
Profits for the first quarter should spurt 417% to 31 cents a share from the 6 cents the prior year.
The highest estimate is at 41 cents a share.
Then in the second quarter profits should jump 105% to 45 cents a share from the 22 cents the previous year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting FLOW for a move to $74 within the next few months, or sooner.
A protective stop can be placed near $60
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Breakout Success |
Bullish |
FLOW scored good gains off recent breakouts. |
Response to Net |
Bullish |
FLOW rose 8 times after 15 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
FLOW avg. loss 4.5% in March, up 5.7% in April prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
FLOW beat Street net estimate 13 times after 20 reports. |
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
33% |
11/9/2020 | 46.88 | 62.39 | 1/6/2021 |
12% |
10/30/2019 | 43.79 | 49.12 | 12/20/2019 |
18% |
12/21/2016 | 31.10 | 36.56 | 1/27/2017 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BANF - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AVNT - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - KTB - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ST - ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action - 3
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts. Stock market working lower. Aggressive bears can be venturesome.
AFRM, based in San Francisco, provides a platform for digital and mobile commerce. Annual revenues: $478 million. AFRM's stock falls sharply Wednesday and undercuts key support.
AFRM has declined the past several weeks from an all-time high of $146.90 in February to an all-time low of 86.31 Wednesday.
TTD sees more on the downside.
In after-hours trading, the stock was down 56 cents a share.
TTD highlighted AFRM as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
AFRM's stock moved lower in the morning and undercut key support.
The stock continued lower and reached an intraday low at $83.93 in the afternoon.
Tape Action
AFRM's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $91.65 in the morning to as low as $84.40 in the afternoon.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 20,000 shares crossed the tape at $91.15.
That was down from the prior block at $91.65 on 106,501 shares.
Business
AFRM through its payments network and partnership with an originating bank, it enables consumers to pay for a purchase over time.
The company’s platform includes three elements: a point-of-sale payment solution for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused application.
It enables consumers to pay overtime.
Earnings:
This fiscal year ending in June analysts predict a loss of $1.16 a share. There was no comparable results from a year ago.
Looking out to fiscal 2022 ending in June, the Street predicts a loss of 93 cents share.
For the upcoming fiscal third quarter ending in March, analysts expect a loss of 27 cents a share.
Charts:
AFRM's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key support. The drop to a new low is very bearish.
The stock came public in January of this year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AFRM for a decline to $75 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $91.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:
Response to Net |
Bearish |
AFRM fell 1 time after 1 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bearish |
AFRM loss avg 7.3% in March. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
AFRM beat Street estimate 1 time after 1 report. |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AFRM - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-704-3331.
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TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
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end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)