Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, March 4, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, March 4, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 2, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 3
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small and extremely selective. Stock market declines as momentum on a daily basis turns down. Bulls need to be watchful of position.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MKTX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
MKTX, based in New York, operates electronic trading platforms for bonds and fixed-income securities. Annual revenues: $262 million. MKTX's stock breaks out today from a five-week flat bas and hits a new high. That is bullish. So far today, MKTX is trading 248,455 shares. Its average daily volume is 155,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted MKTX as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
MKTX's stock pushed higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line (see 10-minute chart).
The stock ran up to a peak of 84.84 late in the morning.
With the stock market moving lower, MKTX was pulled back a bit in the afternoon. However, it firmed late in the day to finish above its breakpoint.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $79.89 to as high as $83.79.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 10,800 shares crossed the tape at $83.53.
That was up from the prior block trade at $81.49 on 1,814 shares. 
MKTX operates an electronic trading platform for corporate bonds and certain other types of fixed-income securities.
The system provides active institutional investor clients access to the liquidity provided by broker-dealer clients.
The trading platform allows institutional investor clients to simultaneously request competitive, executable bids or offers from multiple broker-dealers, and to execute trades with the broker-dealer of their choice.
The company offers clients ability to trade U.S. high-grade corporate bonds, European high-grade corporate bonds, credit default swaps, high-yield and emerging markets bonds. The firm also provides data and analytical tools.
MKTX's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 31% versus a 12% gain for the S&P 500 index.
One can see some heavy insider buying recently. (green bars on performance chart) When heavy insider buying took place back in August the stock moved steadily higher. Of course, there has been steady insider selling.
MKTX's long-term chart shows the stock peaking at 19 in 2007, the top in the prior bull market. The stock then fell back to 3.96 in 2008 due to the severe bear market.
However, since then MKTX's stock has pushed aggressively higher. It ran up to a peak of 71 in 2013. It pulled back and then came on again. Today, it hits a new all-time high of 84.84. The new high could draw in more buying on Thursday. 
NKTX's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 62 back in October to 82 by February.
The stock then put down a flat base above its rising 50-day moving average line.
The breakout today is impressive since the stock market fell sharply.
MKTX's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) lags a bit, but is okay.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 21% jump in earnings to $2.38 a share from $1.97 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 34. That is high. So, the stock is best suited for aggressive investors.
Going out to 2016, the Street looks for a 19% gain in profits to $2.84 a share from the anticipated $2.38 this year. 
Net for the upcoming first quarter should climb 23% to 56 cents a share from 46 cents a year before. The highest estimate on the Street is at 57 cents a share.
TTD sees chances for an upside earnings surprise. The company topped the consensus estimate two out of the past three quarters recently. (see table)
Looking ahead to the second quarter, analysts expect a 23% gain in profits to 59 cents a share from 48 cents a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MKTX for a move to 100 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 79.
TTD rates MKTX an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund buyer recently was the 5-star rated Lord Abbett Developing Growth A Fund which purchased 457,955 shares. It has a 1.4% stake.
Also, the 5-star rated Primecap Odyssey Aggressive Growth Fund was a recent buyer of 177,252 shares. It has a 2.4% stake.
MKTX has 37.3 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold around 95% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $10. They were sellers at $79 to $80 recently.
Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, one has a buy, the same as three months ago. MKTX has a book value of $8.96.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Marketaxess Holdings - (MKTX) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume on breakout | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NHTC - BELOW AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RLYP - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 12
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Short list expands as stock moves lower after recent rally. Stock market looks poised to consolidate. Bears be selective.
Posts Lower Quarter Earnings, TTD Sees Decline to 16.50
ANF, based in New Albany, Ohio, sells men and women's clothes. Annual revenues: $3.9 billion. ANF's stock falls sharply after the company reported disappointing earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter ending in January. So far today, ANF is trading a heavy 23.1 million shares, 10 times its average daily volume. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted ANF as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
ANF reported fiscal fourth quarter earnings of 63 cents a share down from 85 cents a year ago.
The stock fell sharply in the morning hitting a low of 20.37.
ANF then lifted slightly. However, it rolled over and trended lower the rest of the day hitting a low of 20.13 near the close.
The stock's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $24.26 in the prior session to as low as $20.51.
A key bearish trade came late in the prior session when a massive block of 128,545 shares crossed the tape at $23.99.
That was down from the prior block trade at $24.26.
ANF sells men's, women's and kids' casual clothes. The company's retail operations are through the Abercrombie & Fitch and abercrombie trade names .It also has a magazine/catalogue and a website.
Analysts are forecasting ANF will show a loss of 24 cents a share for the fiscal first quarter ending in April. That compares with a loss of 17 cents a share a year before. Overall for fiscal 2016 ending in January they look for an 8% rise in net.
ANF's stock breaks below key support today with heavy volume. The stock has been in a down trend for the past several months. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is very bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ANF for a decline to 16.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 21.40.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANF - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
