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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Friday, March 9

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Friday, March 9

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 5

See TTD's Top Performing Breakouts 2011-2012


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


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Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - March  9, 2012


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 18

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side -  Good number of breakouts today. Trucking and home building stocks moving higher. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market holds in up trend with momentum now bullish again.  (Put mouse on Dow weekly chart to see weekly Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - March 9

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

   


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Old Dominion Freight Lines Inc.  (ODFL) - 47, up 0.87 - Breakpoint 45.75

Hits All-time High, Net to Rise 14% This Year, TTD Targets 57

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ODFL  - AVERAGE

   ODFL, based in Thomasville, N.C., is an inter-regional and multi-regional motor carrier. Annual revenues: $1.9 billion. ODFL's stock  breaks out today from an 6-week, flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high, which is bullish. So far today, ODFL is trading 464,450 shares. Its average daily volume is 352,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted ODFL as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  Trucking stocks were acting strong on the tape today.

 ODFL's stock edged above its breakpoint line late on Thursday. Friday, It drives sharply higher to clear the breakpoint easily. The stock peaked in the late morning and then trended sideways.   

  ODFL's tape action shows the recent big block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $44.52 to a peak of $47.35 on Friday.

  A key bullish trade came late on Thursday when 14,188 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape (duplicated) at $46.13. That was up from the prior block trade at $45.

  ODFL' stock has been a steady climber. However, it does have a low beta of 0.83 versus 1.00 for the stock market. That means the stock is less volatile than the general stock market.

 ODFL is a regional motor carrier transporting primarily less-than-truckload shipments of general commodities, including consumer goods, textiles and capital goods to a diversified customer base.

  It also provides customers with logistics services that include ground and air expedited transportation, warehousing and truckload brokerage.

  ODFL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 45% versus 5% for the S&P 500 index.

 ODFL's long-term chart shows the stock as a star performer having soared from 3 back in 2002 to a peak of 47. The stock weathered the bear market well in 2008 and 2009. .   

  ODFL's daily chart shows the stock driving north from 28 in October to 44 by February It then formed a flat base bracketed between 43 and 46, roughly. That is a tight base which is bullish.

  The breakout looks solid with a modest expansion in volume.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has been trending sideways after declining in December. That showed that there was some subtle distribution during that time. However, the stock has since stabilized as far as the AD line goes.

  This year, Wall Street is forecasting a 14% gain in net to $2.78 a share from $2.44 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 16. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  For 2013, analysts project a 16% gain in net to $3.22 a share from the anticipated $2.78 this year.

  TTD sees the near-term bullish key to the stock being first quarter net.

  Analysts look for net for the upcoming first quarter to jump 36% to 52 cents a share from 38 cents a year. The highest estimate on the Street is at 56 cents a share. TTD sees chances for a significant  upside surprise. The prior quarter, ODFL topped the consensus estimate by 12 cent a share, or by 21%. It has surprised big on the upside at other times.

  Looking ahead to the second quarter, profits are expected to rise a modest 10% to 76 cents a share from 69 cents a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ODFL for a move to 57 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 44, which is tight.

 TTD rates ODFL a good  intermediate-term play for conservative investors.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. A key fund buyer recently was 5-star rated Janus Triton Fund which purchased 50,045 shares. It has 1,4% stake. The largest fund holder is Oppenheimer Main Street small and mid Cap Fund with a 1.9% stake. The 3-star rated fund was a recent purchaser of 22,438 shares. ODFL has 57.4 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Neutral.  Not much activity lately. Currently, 15 analysts follow the stock, 11 have a buy, the same as three months ago.



 Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers

  Insider Activity - Buying in Green - Selling in Red

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Old Dominion Freight Lines Inc.  - (ODFL)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread   YES
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook   YES
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 12 0 2

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TFM  - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CACI  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DG  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IAC  - AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

  Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 1

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Only one short play today. Bears be patient and selective. Stock market still holds in overall up trend. TTD's short from Thursday was Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (GMCR) at 61.33. Today, the stock had declined 9.78 to 52.61. It is working great for bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Home Inns & Hotel Management Inc. (HMIN) - 28.27, down 1.43

Chinese Stock Cuts Below Support,TTD Sees Drop to 23

  HMIN, based in Shanghai, operates a hotel chain in China. Annual revenues: $511 million. HMIN's stock gaps lower today in heavy volume to set off a TTD short play. The company reported a fourth quarter loss of 2 cents a share. It also said its occupancy rate declined 1.2% for the fourth quarter. So far today, HMIN is trading a heavy 1.8 million shares, six times its normal daily volume of 205,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted HMIN as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  The stock gapped lower in the morning. It hit an intraday low of 26.65 in the morning. It then lifted a bit and trended sideways the rest of the session.

  HMIN's tape action shows the recent big block trades.

  One can see the price of the blocks dropping from $32.30 to as low as $27.02.

  A key bearish trade came when a block of 60,000 shares crossed the tape at $27.02. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $30.02. The tape action showed heavy institutional selling pressure. Later in the day the price for the blocks rose showing some buying.

 HMIN runs an economy hotel chain in China. It has 390 leased-and-operated hotels with an additional six leased-and-operated hotels under development

 It also has 226 franchised-and-managed hotels in operation with an additional 63 franchised-and-managed hotels under development, covering 120 cities in China.

 This year, analysts forecast a 23% increase in net to $1.11 a share from 90 cents a year ago. Net for the first quarter is expected to be 2 cents a share compared with a loss of 4 cents a year ago.

  HMIN's daily chart shows the stock breaking to the downside with heavy volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a down trend showing that the stock is under heavy selling pressure.

   Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting HMIN for a decline to 23 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 29.50.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HMIN - BELOW AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)