Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.
Thursday - March 11, 2021
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts - 18
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts with some good looking plays.
Stock market - Major averages are bullish in all time sequences.
Comment - Dow is strong, but Nasdaq is still recovering from its recent sell off. Aggressive bulls can be venturesome.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats - INSE, XPEL, SHYF, HSON and BRT.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RBC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
RBC, based in Beloit, Wisc., makes electric motors and power generation products. Annual revenues: $2.9 billion. RBC's stock drives sharply higher Thursday and breaks out from its 9-week, cup-and-handle base.
So far today, RBC is trading 1 million shares, triple its average daily volume of $331,000 shares.
TTD sees more on the upside.
RBC's stock moved higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line.
The stock touched an intraday high of $152.63 in the morning.
The stock drifted back but held above its breakpoint.
RBC lifted a bit and then trended sideways around $149.
In after-hours trading, RBC was up $2.28 a share.
That is very bullish.
Tape Action
RBC's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $143.61 in the prior session to as high as $152.15.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 6,300 shares crossed at $144.82.
That was up from the prior block the day before at $143.61 on 17,219 shares.
Near the close a block of 35,402 shares crossed at $148.82.
That was down from the prior block at $148.90 on 5,809 shares.
The tape action would indicate some profit taking.
Business
RBC makes electric motors, electrical motion controls, power generation and power transmission products.
The company operates through several segments. Its commercial and industrial systems segment makes medium and large electric motors, power generation products, high-performance drives and controls and capacitors.
Its climate solutions segment produces small motors, controls and air moving products.
The power transmission solutions segment makes power transmission gearing, hydraulic pump drives, open gearing and specialty mechanical products which control motion and torque.
Charts
RBC's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 105% versus a 30% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were recent buyers at $57 to $77 a share.
They were sellers at $96 to $119.
RBC's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $51 in 2016 to a peak at $87 by 2017.
The stock then traded in trading range until it fell to $51 in early 2020. Since then, RBC has surged back and now is at an all-time at $148.82. The stock came public back in 1974.
RBC's daily chart shows the stock climbing from near $100 to a peak near $146 by January.
The stock then put down a classic cup-and-handle base.
The breakout clears the base with a big pick up in volume.
That is very bullish.
RBC's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts predict a 24% increase in net to $7.15 a share from the $5.77 the prior year.
The stock has a price-earnings ratio of 20.
Looking out to 2022, the Street predicts a 16% rise in profits to $8.27 a share from the anticipated $7.15 this year.
Quarterly net will show an acceleration in growth.
net for the first quarter should climb 27% to $1.67 a share from the $1.31 the prior year.
The company beat the Street estimate the past four quarters by 21 cents a share, 49 cents, 30 cents and 28 cents.
Profits for the second quarter should surge 106% - an acceleration in growth. Net should be $1.95 a share versus 95 cents the previous year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting RBC for a move to $178 within the next few months, or sooner.
A protective stop can be placed near $140.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Above Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Breakout Success |
Bullish |
RBC scored modest gains off recent breakouts. |
Response to Net |
Bullish |
RBC rose 11 times after 15 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
RBC avg. loss 1,6% in March, gain 4.5% in April prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
RBC beat Street net estimate 13 times after 20 reports. |
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
14% |
1/5/2021 | 125.05 | 142.19 | 1/11/2021 |
38% |
11/2/2020 | 102.94 | 142.19 | 1/11/2021 |
14% |
7/15/2020 | 90.55 | 102.98 | 9/2/2020 |
11% |
11/4/2019 | 78.52 | 87.01 | 1/13/2020 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FOUR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - XPEL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PENN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ACLS - ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action - 4
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts but some interesting plays.
CLDR, based Palo Alto, Ca., develops platform for data management, machine learning and advanced analytics. Annual revenues: $794 million. CLDR's stock falls sharply and undercuts key technical support.
So far today, CLDR is trading 21 million shares, about six times its average daily volume of 4.3 million shares.
TTD sees more on the downside due to revenues not expected to meet Wall Street expectations.
CLDR's stock dropped sharply and undercut support from a head-and-shoulder topping pattern.
The move came with heavy volume.
In after-hours trading, CLDR was up 21 cents a share.
Tape Action
CLDR's tape action shows the recent block trade.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $14.73 in the prior session to as low as $12.61 later in the morning.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 150,000 shares crossed the tape at $12.80.
That was down sharply from the prior block at $14.73 on 196,390 shares in the prior session.
Business
CLDR develops platforms for data management.
The company allows enterprises to operate, manage and move workloads across multiple architectures.
It operates through two operating segments: subscription and services. Its products include Cloudera Enterprise Data Hub, Cloudera Analytic BD, Cloudera Operational DB, Cloudera Data Science & Engineering and Cloud Essentials.
Earnings:
This fiscal year ending in January of 2022, the Street predicts a 2% decline in net to 44 cents a share from 45 cents the prior year.
Net for the fiscal first quarter ending in April should rise to 7 to 9 cents a share. That is below the current Street estimate of 10 cents a share. The results will compare with 5 cents the prior year.
For fiscal 2022 ending in January the Street is predicting a 2% decline to 44 cents a share from the 46 cents the prior year.
Charts:
CLDR's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume for a head-and-shoulder topping pattern.
The stocks 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 60% versus a 30% gain for the stock market.
However, the performance has been coming down in recent months.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CLDR for a decline to $10 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $14.10.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:
Response to Net |
Bullish |
CLDR rose 8 times after 14 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bearish |
CLDR loss avg 10.9% in March, Loss 1.8% in April prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
CLDR beat Street estimate 15 times after 16 reports. |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CLDR - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-704-3331.
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)