Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, March 12
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, March 12 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 4, 2013 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 13
Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large but very selective for high quality plays. Bulls be conservative and selective. Stock market holds up trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BIOS - AVERAGE |
BIOS, based in Eden Prairie, Min., provides pharmaceutical care solutions. Annual revenues: $865 million. BIOS's stock breaks out today after the company made a strong revenue projection for this year. So far today, BIOS is trading a heavy 2.3 million shares, eight times its normal daily volume of 305,000 shares. 
Although BIOS came in with a loss for the fourth quarter, the Street focus was obviously on this year. The company should show a big improvement in profits this year and next.
BIOS's 10-minute chart shows the stock gapping higher in the morning. The stock just held over its breakpoint line in the morning. 
In the afternoon, BIOS generated more upside momentum and cleared its breakpoint nicely by the close.
The heavy volume showed good institutional appeal.
BIOS's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $10.90 late on Monday to as high as 12.27 near the close on Tuesday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 28,745 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $12. That was up from the prior block at $10.90. That was aggressive institutional buying. 
BIOS partners with healthcare payors, pharmaceutical manufacturers, government agencies, physicians, and patients to deliver cost effective programs for patients.
The company focuses on specialty medication distribution and clinical management services, both nationally and community-based and pharmacy benefit management services.
For 2013, BIOS is forecasting revenues in the range of $830.0 million to $865.0 million.
That is well above the recent analysts projection of $770 million.
BIOS's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 80% versus a 14% gain for the S&P 500 index. Notice on the performance chart that the stock has tended to surge after an earnings report.
BIOS's long-term chart shows the stock trending sideways for 10 years - with upside resistance around 10. That is a very pronounced technical pattern. The breakout long-term is very significantly bullish and supported by prospects of strong earnings for the year. 
BIOS's daily chart shows the powerful gap breakout with strong volume.
The base was formed following a steady advance from 6 back in August to 11. The base is well structure and tight, which is bullish.
BIOS's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) hits a new peak confirming good buying in the stock.
This year, analysts are forecasting a profit of 27 cents a share compared with a loss of 1 cent a share a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 45. TTD sees that as reasonable given the earnings outlook.
Going out to 2014, analysts project a 52% jump in net to 41 cents a share from the anticipated 41 cents for this year.
For the upcoming first quarter, they predict net of 3 cents a share compared with a loss of 2 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 6 cents a share. The past two quarters, BIOS has topped the consensus estimate. 
Looking out to the second quarter, profits are expected to hit 5 cents a share compared with a loss of 2 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: BIOS's breakout is excellent. The stock is an aggressive play must appropriate for aggressive investors.
TTD is targeting BIOS for a move to 15.20 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 11. TTD rates BIOS a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund buyer recently was 5-star rated TFS Market Neutral Fund which purchased 240,539 shares. It has a 0.55% stake. The larges fund holder is 3-star rated Fidelity Select Health Care Fund with a 2.3% stake. It has held its position steady.
BIOS has 56.9 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 68% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were buyers late last year at $4.40 using options. They were sellers from $8.50 to $10.82 a share. Currently, 4 analysts follow the stock and all 4 have a buy, up from 3 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Bioscrip Inc. - (BIOS) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 10 | 1 | 3 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CAB - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WLK - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - POL - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ZFC - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Only a few breakdown stocks today. Bears be selective. Stock market still holds up trend.
AVG, based in San Francisco, provides antivirus and internet security products. Annual revenues: $356 million. AVG's stock falls sharply today on heavy volume. The company is looking for a new chief executive officer. So far today, volume is running at a heavy 2.4 million shares, triple its normal daily volume of 840,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted AVG as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
AVG's stock headed lower in the morning. the stock hit an intraday low around midday at 12.10. It then lifted slightly in the late afternoon.
AVG's tape action shows heavy institutional selling pressure. One can see the price for the blocks declining from $13.79 to $12.12.
A key bearish trade came when a block of 41,528 shares crossed the tape at $13.08. That was down from the prior block trade at $13.99. The selling appeared to be urgent. That is bearish.
AVG produces software for, threat detection, threat prevention, and risk analysis. Its product portfolio includes Internet security, PC performance optimization, online backup, mobile security, identity protection, and family safety software.
Analysts are currently forecasting a 43% jump in net this year to $1.58 a share from the $1.10 a year ago.
AVG's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key technical support with strong volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AVG for a decline to 9.30 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 13.10.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AVG - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
