Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, March 13 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 4, 2013 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 18
Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large and very selective. Stock market holds up trend. Quality of recent breakouts includes several laggards.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HBI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
HBI, based in Winston-Salem, N.C., makes clothes under the Hanes, Champion and Playtex brands. Annual revenues: $4.5 billion. HBI's stock breaks out today from a six-week flat base. The move carries the stock to an all-time new high. So far today, HBI is trading 1.5 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1 million shares.
TTD highlighted HBI as a breakout at our midsession video show on the web Wednesday.
The stock pushed higher through most of the day (see 10-minute chart).
It peaked in the afternoon at 41.70 and then trended sideways in the last hour.
The close near the high for the day is bullish. A key will be for a follow through higher on Thursday.
HBI's tape action is shown in the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $40.16 to a peak of $41.66.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 12,773 shares crossed the tape at $40.47. That was up from the prior block trade at $40.21 on 12,177 shares.
HBI makes innerwear, outerwear and hosiery apparel under brand names Hanes, Champion,Playtex, Bali, Just My Size, barely there and Wonderbra.
The company also sells T-shirts, bras, panties, men's underwear, children's underwear, socks, hosiery, casual wear and active wear.
HBI's brands include Hanes, Champion, Playtex, Bali, L'eggs, Just My Size, Barely There and Wonderbra.
HBI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 45% versus a 12% gain for the S&P 500 index. The stock has tended to move higher after the past three quarterly earnings reports.
HBI's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in late 2006 and trading around 20. The stock advanced to a peak of 33 by early 2008. It then suffered through the bear market falling back to 5 by early 2009.
The stock has since made a powerful comeback and is in a strong up trend long-term.
HBI's daily chart shows the stock trending higher from 32 in October to 40 by February. The stock then put down a flat base above its rising 50-day moving average line.
That shows the stock is in a solid up trend.
HBI's TTD momentum indicator (top of the chart) is solidly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of the chart) is in an overall up trend and compliments the price pattern.
For 2013, analysts forecast a 27% jump in HBI's earnings. They look for net of $3.33 a share, up from $2.62 a year ago.
For the first quarter, earnings should jump sharply. The Street expects net of 33 cents a share compared with a loss of 27 cents a year ago. The highest estimate by analysts is at 38 cents a share.
TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise. The past four quarters, the company topped the consensus by 7 cents a share, 6 cents, 18 cents and 6 cents.
Looking ahead to the second quarter, net should leap 43% to 95 cents a share from 67 cents a year. So, HBI is poised to show strong profits for the first half of 2013.
Going out to 2014, the Street is forecasting a 13% rise in net to $3.77 a share from the anticipated $3.33 for 2012.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting HBI for a move to 50 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 38.
TTD rates HBI a good intermediate-term play with potential to surprise on the upside due to its strong earnings outlook near-term.
Sponsorship: Excellent. A key fund holder is Fidelity Small Cap Discovery Fund, 5-star rated, with a 2.7% stake. It has held its position steady.
A key fund buyer recently was 5-star rated Neuberger Berman Multi-Cap Opportunity Inst. Fund which purchased 110,000 shares recently.
HBI has 98.3 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 87% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Bearish. Insides were recent buyers around $25 using stock options. They sold around 40. Currently, 7 analysts follow the stock, 6 have a buy, down from 7 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Hanesbrands Inc. - (HBI) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - JBHT - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WAG - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CZR - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - M - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Very few breakdown stocks. Stock market holds up trend. So, Bears remain conservative. TTD's short from Tuesday was AVG Technologies (AVG) at 12.27. Today, the stock has declined to 12.18 and is working well for bears.
CHL, based in China, provides mobile communications services. Annual revenues: $88 billion. CHL's stock falls today and cuts below key technical support. So far today, CHL is trading 549,168 shares. Its average daily volume is 577,000 shares. CHL is a big cap short and a conservative one.
CHL's stock fell steadily in the morning and through the afternoon. It had a slight lift late in the day.
The stock's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $54.60 to $53.35.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 16,677 shares crossed the tape at $53.76. That was down from the prior block at $54.04.
CHL offers mobile communications services principally using Global System for Mobile Communications, or GSM.
That is a pan-European mobile telephone system based on digital transmission and mobile communications network architecture with roaming capabilities.
The GSM networks reach all cities and counties and most major roads and highways in the service regions.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 4% rise in CHL's earnings to $5.05 a share from $4.86 a year ago.
CHL's chart shows the stock cutting below key support. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CHL for a decline to 47 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be place near 55.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CHL - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)