Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - March 16, 2020

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

   Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.

  We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

   The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

   To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.   

   For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.

Monday - March 16, 2020

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts   -  1

Quality of Breakouts -  Below Average.

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Only one breakout. Stock market falls sharply. Many stocks extended to the downside.

Stock market  -  Stock market falls sharply and closes near its low for the day. That is very bearish.

Comment -  Bulls need to be conservative and patient. The stock market will need time to form a bottom. However, one should be watchful of special situation bull play stock.

See Latest Earnings Reports -  A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats -  XPEL, and ARA.

Stock Market Momentum

(Daily is based on a moving average)

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work.

They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other.

(Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks near breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.  They can also be bought soon after a follow through move, sometimes on an intraday pullback. )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Vapotherm Inc. (VAPO) - 17.77, up 5.23 - Breakpoint 12.51

Nasal Medical Play, TTD Targets 22

  VAPO, based in Exeter, N.H., is a medical firm specializing in treatments for patients with respiratory distress. Annual revenues: $48 million. VAPO's stock surges higher Monday and breaks out from is 7-month flat base.

  So far today, VAPO is trading a heavy 1.4 million shares, triple its average daily volume of 411,000 shares.

  The stock is a special situation play suitable only for aggressive bulls.

  TTD highlighted VAPO as a breakout at our midsession videos show on the Web Monday.

   VAPO's stock moved higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line.

  The stock hit a peak at $15.63 in the morning and then trended sideways into the afternoon.

  Then late in the day when the stock market was falling sharply, VAPO shot higher and closed near its high for the day.

  That was impressive technical action.

   Tape Action

VAPO's tape action shows the recent block trades.

One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $12.54 in the prior session to as high as $14.92 in the morning.

A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 15,700 shares crossed the tape at $14.92.

  That was up from the prior block at $12.54 in the prior session.

  Near the close a bullish trade came when a block of 10,991 shares crossed the tape at $17.77.

  That was up from the prior block at $14.91 on 10,300 shares   

   Business

  VAPO sells high velocity nasal insufflations (Hi-VNI) technology products used to treat patients suffering from respiratory distress.

Its Hi-VNI technology delivers noninvasive ventilatory support by providing heated, humidified and oxygenated air at a high velocity to patients through a comfortable small-bore nasal interface.

It offers three versions of its Precision Flow systems: Precision Flow Plus, Precision Flow Classic and Precision Flow Heliox.

   Charts

  VAPO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 20% versus a 20% decline for the stock market.

  However, VAPO's performance has been picking up sharply.

  VAPO's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2018 at $18.57. It rose to an all-time high of $24.63 last year.

  However, the stock then fell back to $6.86 recently. Now it is coming on again.

  VAPO's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from a flat base.

  The move comes with expanding volume and a widening of the daily spread.

  That shows aggressive buying.

  The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.

  Earnings Outlook

  This year, analysts are forecasting a loss of $2.39 a share compared with a loss of $2.74 the prior year.

  Looking out to 2021, the Street currently expects a loss of $2.35 a share.

  For the upcoming first quarter, a loss of 69 cents a share is predicted compared with a loss of 76 cents the prior year.

  The company has been able to come in with a loss that is less than Street expectations.

  VAPO is obviously a special situation stock.

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting VAPO for a move to $22 within the next few months, or sooner.

A protective stop can be placed near  $15.

Intermediate-Term Rating: Below Average.

Suitability:   Aggressive Bulls.

                                 TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:  

           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)

  Stock's Long-term Chart

   Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings

 Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  -  Insider Selling in Red

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

    Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action for Thursday - 4

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.

Bear Side - Small list of shorts even as stock market falls sharply Monday. Bears be selective as many bear plays are extended to the downside.

  TTD's short from Friday was Slack Technologies Inc. (WORK) at 19.59. Monday, WORK fell to 17.04, off 2.55.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

BRP Group inc.  (BRP) - 11.12

Stock Hits New Low, TTD Sees Drop to 8

  BRP, based in Tampa, Fla.,  is an insurance distribution company for various personal and business insurance lines. Annual revenues: $89 million. BRP's stock falls sharply Monday and undercuts key technical support.

  So far today, BRP is trading 231,382 shares. Its average daily volume is 133,000 shares.

  TTD sees more on the downside for BRP.

  BRP's stock gapped lower in the morning and undercut key support.

  The stock touched an intraday low around noon at $11.10.

  It then lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.

   Tape Action

  BRP's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $13.48 in the prior session to as low as $11.12.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 3,321 shares crossed the tape at $12.94.

  That was down sharply from the prior block at $13.48 on 18,348 shares.

  Business

BRP provides insurance products through its four reporting segments: Middle Market, Main Street, Medicare and Specialty.

Its Middle Market segment provides private risk management, commercial risk management and employee benefits solutions for mid-to-large-size businesses and high net worth individuals.

 The Main Street segment offers personal insurance, commercial insurance and life and health solutions to individuals and businesses. Its Medicare offers consultation for government assistance programs.

Earnings:

  The Street is forecasting net for this year to climb 102% to 30 cents a share from the anticipated 15 cents for 2019.

  Net for the first quarter should come in at 10 cents a share. Four analysts follow the stock.   

Charts:  

  BRP's daily chart shows the stock in a trading range between $13 and $18. Monday, it cuts below support to the $11 area.

  The stock is extended to the downside. However, TTD sees chances for more on the downside.

Strategy Opinion: TTD  is targeting BRP for a decline to $8 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $13.

Suitability:  Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:  

   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2020

    TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been  a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

   For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-878-8381.

   Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.

  TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.  

 TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays.  There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.  

TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.

 Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)