Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, March 18, 2016
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Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, March 18, 2016 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 14, 2016 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Small list of breakouts. Bulls be very selective. Stock market rally remains in place. The averages will now come up against resistance. Holiday period coming up.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - POOL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
POOL, based in Covington, La., sells swimming pool supplies and equipment in North America, Europe, South America, and Australia. Annual revenues: $2.4 billion. POOL's stock rises on Friday and clears a five-month flat base.
The move carries the stock to a new high. That is bullish.
So far today, POOL is trading 553,660 shares, almost double its average daily volume of 301,000 shares.
TTD highlighted POOL as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web.
POOL's daily chart shows the stock cutting across its breakpoint in the morning.
The stock continued to work higher through the day.
It closed near its high for the session. That is bullish and bodes well for a follow through higher on Monday.
POOL's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $82.71 two sessions before to as high as $85.64.
A key bullish trade came Friday morning when a massive block of 102,606 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $84.30.
That was up from the prior block at $84.15 on 20,619 shares (duplicated). 
POOL sells about 160,000 national brand and its own-branded pool products.
The products include chemicals, supplies, and pool accessories; repair and replacement parts for pool equipment, such as cleaners, filters, heaters, pumps, and lights.
The company also distributes building materials for use in pool installations and remodeling. They include concrete, plumbing and electrical components.
POOL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 22% versus a 2% decline for the stock market.
POOL's long-term chart shows the stock peaking in 2006 at 50.20. It then fell back to 11.18 in 2009 due to the bear market.
The stock then based and broke out to the upside in 2011. It has since surged to an all-time high of 85.85 Friday.
That is bullish and could draw in more buying as a new-high breakout.
POOL's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from a five-month base.
The stock setup well by moving toward the top of the base prior to the breakout.
POOL's CCI momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a strong up trend.
That indicates good underlying buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 14% increase in net to $3.29 a share from $2.90 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 25. That is high given the current earnings growth rate.
Looking out to 2017, the Street predicts a 13% rise in net to $3.72 a share from the anticipated $3.29 this year. 
Net for the upcoming first quarter will be exceptionally strong, although it is a slow quarter.
Earnings are projected to rise 33% to 25 cents a share from 19 cents a year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 26 cents a share. TTD sees chances for an upside earnings surprise.
Going out to the second quarter, the Street expects a 10% rise in net to $1.95 a share from the $1.78 the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting POOL for a move to 98 off this breakout.
A protective stop can be placed near 82.
TTD rates POOL an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Very Good. One of the largest fund buyers recently was Hennessy Cornerstone Mid Cap 30 Inv. Fund which purchased 425,000 shares as a new position. It has a 1% stake.
The largest fund buyer recently was the Oak Ridge Small Cap Growth A Fund which bought 570,901 shares as a new position. It has 1.3% stake in POOL.
POOL has 42.6 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 90% of the stock and insiders 5%
Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much activity.
Currently, 10 analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, down from 5 three months ago.
POOL has a book value of $5.99 a share
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Pool Corp. - (POOL) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - OLLI - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VIVO - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CVG - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NWY - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of short plays Friday. Bears be patient and selective. Stock market rally still in play.
CWEI, based in Midland, Tex., produces oil and gas from Texas, Louisiana and New Mexico. Annual revenues: $278 million. CWEI's stock falls sharply Friday. Analysts expect the company to report a large loss this year. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted CWEI as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.
So far today, CWEI is trading a heavy 1.3 million shares, double its average daily volume of 576,000 shares.
CWEI's stock fell steadily in the morning touch an intraday low of 8.32 late in the session.
It jumped a bit near the final bell to bounce off its low.
CWEI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $10.25 in the morning to as low as $8.52 late in the day.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 8,000 shares crossed the tape at $9.95.
That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $10.25 on 14,337 shares.
CWEI' properties are in the Permian Basin of West Texas and Southeastern New Mexico, as well as the Giddings Area in East Central Texas.
This year, analysts are forecasting a loss of $7.63 a share compared with a loss of $5.78 the year before.
Going out to 2017, they predict a loss of $4.93 a share.
CWEI's daily chart shows the stock tumbling from 60 in December to around 10. Friday, the stock cuts below key support making a new low. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is extremely bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CWEI for a decline to 6 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 9.50.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CWEI - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
