Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Monday, March 23, 2015

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Friday, March 20, 2015

Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - March 23, 2015

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 9

Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market holds in up trend.  

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Examworks Group Inc. (EXAM) - 43.88, up 1.95 - Breakpoint 42.38

Net to Soar 86% This Year, TTD Targets 52

  EXAM, based in Atlanta, provides  independent medical examinations, peer and bill reviews, and related services. Annual revenues: $776 million. EXAM's stock breaks out today from a 13-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high.

 So far today, EXAM is trading a heavy 608,572 shares, double its average daily volume of 271,000 shares.

  The stock edged higher in the morning and finally broke through its breakpoint line around noon with a pickup in intraday volume.

  The stock then worked its way higher in the afternoon. It closed near its high for the day which is bullish.

  EXAM's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $41.60 to as high as $43.88.

  A key bullish trade came on Friday when a massive block of 94,188 shares crossed the tape at $41.93

  That was up from the prior block trade at $41.47 on 4,300 shares.  

  On Monday a key bullish trade came around midday when a block of 3,000 shares crossed the tape at $42.73.

  That was up sharply form the prior block at $41.60 on 5,300 shares.

  EXAM also provides litigation support services, administrative support services, and medical record retrieval services.

 Its primary service is to provide IMEs that gives clients authoritative and accurate answers to questions regarding the nature and permanency of medical conditions or personal injury, their cause and appropriate treatment.

  The Company provides peer and bill reviews, which consist of medical opinions by members of medical panel without conducting physical exams, and the review of physician and hospital bills to examine medical care rendered and its conformity to accepted standards of care.

  EXAM's  clients include property and casualty insurance carriers, law firms, third-party claim administrators, and government agencies.

   EXAM's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 25% versus a 12% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  EXAM's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2010 and trading around $17. The stock rose to $26 in 2011. However, later in the year, it fell back hard to $6.

  EXAM has since surged back and has been in up trend for three years. Today's breakout carries EXAM to a new high.    

  EXAM's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 32 back in October to a peak near 42 by December.

  The stock then put down a flat base that included a shakeout to the downside in January.

  Today's breakout looks strong.

  EXAM shows a widening of the spread (range from high to low). That indicates good buying interest.

  The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has broken out to the upside too.

   This year, analysts are forecasting an 86% surge in profits to 47 cents a share from 25 cents a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 91. That is high but okay given the earnings growth outlook.

   Looking ahead to 2016, the Street projects a 102% leap in net to 94 cents a share from the anticipated 47 cents this year.

   For the upcoming first quarter, net is expected to come in at 5 cents a share compared with a loss of one cent a year before.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at 6 cents a share.

  TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise.

  The company topped the consensus estimate the past six quarters.

   Looking ahead to the second quarter, analysts expect a 61% jump in net to 14 cents a share from 11 cents the year before.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting EXAM for a move to 52 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 41.

  TTD rates EXAM a good intermediate-term play as long as earnings remain on course.

   Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Wasatch Small Cap Growth which purchased 977,129 shares. It has a 2.2% stake.

  The largest fund holder is 3-star rated Federated Kaufman Fund with a 5.7% stake. It has held its position steady.

  EXAM has 40.7 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 87% of the stock. Insiders have 6%.

  Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders have been steady sellers around $39 recently.

  Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, the same as three months ago. EXAM has a book value of $8.54.

Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 6

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks today, but some interesting plays. Stock market holds up trend. Bears be conservative. TTD's short from Friday was Airgas Inc. (ARG) at 108. Today, ARG has declined to 105.45 and is working well for bears.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Monsanto Co. (MON) - 113.15, down 2.60

Weed Killer a Cancer Risk, TTD Sees Decline to 100

  MON, based in St. Louis, Mo., produces agricultural products and herbicides. Annual revenues: $15.6 billion.  MON's stock falls sharply Monday after its weed killer, Roundup, was found to cause cancer. The report was made by the World Health Organization. TTD sees more on the downside.   

  TTD highlighted MON as a short at our mdsession video show on the wed.

  So far today, MON is trading a heavy 7.7 million shares, double its average daily volume of 3 million shares.

  MON's stock fell in the morning and eventually hit an intraday low of 111.93 in the early afternoon.

  The stock then lifted modestly in the late afternoon.

  MON's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $115.79 on Friday to as low as $112.42 on Monday.

  A key bearish trade came late on Friday when a massive block of 1.2 million shares crossed the tape at $115.75.

  That was down from the prior block at $115.79 on 26,558 shares.

  MON produces herbicides, seeds and related genetic trait products. It sells to growers with integrated solutions to more efficiently and cost effectively produce crops at higher yields, while controlling weeds, insects and diseases.

  Its base business is  led by Roundup and is coupled with the latest tools in biotechnology, genomics and molecular breeding.

  The negative news on Roundup causing cancer is extremely important.

  This fiscal year ending in August analysts are forecasting a 12% increase in net to $5.87 a share from $5.23 a year ago.  However, net for the upcoming fiscal second quarter ending in February is expected to decline 6%.

  MON's daily chart shows the stock breaking below key technical support with expanding volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has been bearish for about three weeks.

 Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting MON for a decline to 100 within the next few weeks or sooner. The stock has the potential for even more on the downside. A protective stop buy can be placed near 118.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2014

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)