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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Thursday, March 25

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Thursday, March 25

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Investors Go To TTD Bargain Setups - Feature  - Monday, March 22

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday March 22


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short


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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday - March 25, 2010


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades"  (swing trades). Ideally suited for entry into stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Good for trading range markets

 (See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)


Conservative Bearish Investors  (swing traders).  "Bargain Bearish Plays" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for trading range markets with overall market down trend.

  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long  These are for conservative bullish Investors The strategy is called swing trading. These long buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. They are good for trading range markets. These stocks can give a good return in a week or two. They can also explode into a breakout and a powerful advance.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.

  TTD's Bearish bargain play stocks to sell short. These issues are usually in down trends and are poised to rollover after a minor rally. They often can provide a conservative bear with a good entry point.

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings.TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

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Ticker Tape Digest's Midsession Stock Market Video Show

(Posted 12:30 to 1 p.m. NYSE Time)


Go to TTD Stock Market Show For - March 25

Go to Shows for Latest Week: Monday - Tuesday - Wednesday - Thursday -  Friday
(Best with Cable or DSL - High quality - Windows Media Video)



                                                                     Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 11

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull side - Modest number of breakouts today. However, stock market fades in the afternoon. Bulls be conservative. Stock market pauses and holds its ground well. It is due for a rest. However, potential for a pull back looms.

The action indicates money is not fleeing stocks.

(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE  Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish


Today's Featured Breakout Stock

Ctrip.com (CTRP) - 40.84, up 1.58 - Breakpoint 38.36

Hits All-time High, Net To Jump 33% This Year, TTD Targets 52

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CTRP -  ABOVE AVERAGE

 CTRP, based in China, is a travel service provider for hotels, airline tickets and packaged tours in China. Annual revenues: $291 million. CTRP's stock, one of the strongest issues in the market, breaks out today from a four-month flat base. The move comes with a good expansion in volume to 3.9 million shares, double its average daily volume of 1.9 million shares.

  TTD highlighted CTRP recently as a stock to accumulate in anticipation of a breakout. It was also featured today at the TTD web show.

  CTRP's 5-minute chart shows the stock's breakout. There were two breakpoints due to the stock's prior action.

  CTRP pushed through the lower breakpoint late on Wednesday. Today, it drives strongly through the tape of the breakpoint zone.

  The stock held comfortably above the breakpoint zone even though the stock market faded in the afternoon.

   TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades in CTRP.

  One can see the price working its way up from $39.26 to $41 today.  A key trade took place in the morning. That is when a big block of 50,000 shares crossed the tape at $39.85. That was up sharply from the prior block trade at $39.26.

  Later in the day a big block of 80,000 shares crossed the tape at $40.56. That was up strongly from the prior block trade at $40.07. The tape action indicates aggressive institutional buying.

  CTRP sells packaged tours that include transportation and accommodations, as well as guided tours in some instances.

  The company gets information on hotels and flights and enables its customers to make hotel and flight bookings. It focuses the services primarily on business and leisure travelers in China. CTRP's subsidiaries include -Travel International Limited, Ctrip.com (Hong Kong) Limited, Ctrip Computer Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd., Ctrip Travel Network Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. and Ctrip Information Technology (Nantong) Co., Ltd.

  CTRP's 12- month performance chart shows the stock soaring 185% versus a 45% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  CTRP's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from 3 in 2004 to a peak at 35 in 2008. The stock was then dragged down with the bear market falling to 8. It has since come back strongly and has made a new high. That is very bullish in that it shows there is no "overhead resistance now. Also, Friday, the stock could attract buying by the new-high crowd.

  CTRP's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 24 six months ago to a peak of 39 late last year. CTRP then pulled back to 30. The past several sessions its has rallied strongly.

  When CTRP attempted a breakout in early March it was a bit extended in price. The stock faded back into the base. However, on Wednesday and today the stock has moved up sharply to emerge from the base.

  CTRPs' TTD momentum indictor top of the chart is now neutral.

 However, the accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is improving nicely indicating good buying interest the past few weeks. TTD sees it confirming the stock's advance of the past few days.

  This year, analysts forecast that CTRP's net will climb 33% to 90 cents a share from 68 cents a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 41. That is high but justified by the earnings growth rate.

  Looking out to 2011, analysts project a 32% gain in net to $1.19 a share from the anticipated 90 cents a year ago.

  For the upcoming, first quarter analysts look for a 38% gain in net to 18 cents a share from 13 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 20 cents a share. CTRP tends to meet or slightly exceed the consensus estimate. With the economy picking up TTD sees good chances for a mild upside surprise.

  The company is continuing to expand via acquisitions.

 Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CTRP for a move to 52. That is up from our prior projection of 50. A protective stop can be placed near 37. As we said before that is tight for a stock with a beta of 2.0, which means it is twice as volatile as the stock market. TTD rates CTRP a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund buyer recently was 5-star rated Oppenheimer Developing Markets Fund which purchased 672,500 shares. The largest fund holder is 4-star rated Morgan Stanley Inst. Mid Cap Growth Fund with a 3% stake. It was a recent buyer of 49,027 shares.

  Insider Activity:  Not available. Currently, 16 analysts follow the stock, 10 have a buy, up from 9 three months ago.  



  Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

   


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating

Ctrip.com - (CTRP)

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume YES    
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success     YES
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 13 0 1

All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)


  


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DAL -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MTL - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RCKY - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ITRI - AVERAGE


Weekly - Conservative Investors Bearish (swing traders) - Go To TTD Bargain Short Trade Setups - Monday, March 22

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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today -  5

Stocks Screened - 8,2007

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small number of breakdown stocks today as stock market continues to rally. Bears be conservative.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)

  


Commentary on TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Electro Optical Sciences Inc. (MELA) - 7.28, down 1.88

FDA Questions Sends Stock Down,  TTD Targets Decline to 5

MELA, based in Irvington, N.Y., is a medical device company developing non-invasive, point-of-care instrument to assist in the early diagnosis of melanoma. Annual revenues: nil. MELA is a research stage firm. Today, the stock falls sharply after the FDA raised more questions in its review of the firm's MelaFind device for early melanoma detection. So far today, MELA is trading a heavy 3.9 million shares, 20 times its normal daily volume of 178,000 shares.

  MELA's stock gapped lower in the morning It hit a low of 6.50, then bounded up. In the afternoon it trended sideways.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows heavy selling in the morning. A big block of 105,971 shares (duplicated) crossed in the morning at $6.84. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $9.30. The tape action showed aggressive institutional selling pressure.

  The company said it will reply to the FDA's questions. However, the action of the stock in response to the news was extremely bearish.

  The company’s product MelaFind is a hand-held imaging device. It emits light of multiple wavelengths to capture images of suspicious pigmented skin lesions and extract data.

 The data is analyzed utilizing image processing classification algorithms, trained on the database of melanomas and benign lesions, to provide information about the case.

  MELA  said the FDA indicated that the MelaFind PMA review has been extended 180 days.

  This year, analysts forecast MELA will show a loss of 89 cents a share compared with a loss of 94 cents a share for 2009

  MELA's chart shows the stock gapping lower today with big volume. That is very bearish. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has been bearish for a few weeks.

   Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting MELA for a decline to 5 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed 8.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)