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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Friday, March 25

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Friday, March 25

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 21


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short


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Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - March 25, 2011


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

  Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.

(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

 1 - TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long - (Intermediate-term long plays)  these are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  2 -TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long - (Short-term long plays These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 3 - TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - (Long Term long plays.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  4 - TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.  


Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 30

Overall Quality of Breakouts -  ABOVE AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Big number of high quality breakout stocks today as stock market rallies. The market is back in its trading range. Bulls be very selective and consider averaging into a position. Earnings and annual meetings coming up. So, there will be a flood of news that will move stocks. (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Friday, March 25

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011 - Updated March 18)

  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Priceline.com Inc. (PCLN) - 487.35, up 11.34 - Breakpoint 475.42

 Hits New High, Profits to Jump 40% This Year, TTD Targets 550

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PCLN  - ABOVE  AVERAGE

    PCLN, based in  Norwalk, Ct., provides online travel services. Annual revenues: $3.1 billion. PCLN's stock, a leader, breaks out from a six-week flat base today. The stock got a boost from an upgrading by Citigroup. So far today, PCLN is trading 1.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.3 million shares..TTD highlighted PCLN as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Friday. .

  TTD's 10 minute chart shows PCLN's stock rising sharply in the morning with strong volume. It peaked late in the afternoon. It trended sideways in the afternoon..

  The stock's tape action shows the recent big block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $455.70 to $483.30.

  The key bullish block trade today was a block of  5,805 shares that crossed the tape at $480.28. That was up from the prior block trade at $475.22.

  PCLN offers travel services that include hotel rooms, car rentals, airline tickets, vacation packages, cruises and destination services.

  Internationally, the company offers hotel room reservations in over 90 countries and in 32 languages. In the U.S., PCLN offers the customers the ability to purchase travel services in a price-disclosed manner or the opportunity to use the Name Your Own Price service, which allows the customers to make offers for travel services at discounted prices.

 PCLN's subsidiaries include Lowestfare.com LLC and Travelweb LLC. In May 2010, the Company acquired TravelJigsaw LTD.

  PCLN's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 90% versus an 18% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  PCLN's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from 45 in late 2008 to 487, a new high today.  That is a sensational run in the new bull market. The stock is at an 11-year high. The push to a new high could bring in buying on Monday from the new high crowd.

 PCLN's daily chart shows the stock climbing from around 330 to a peak of 470 in February. The stock then formed a flat base that just held over the 50-day moving average line.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly  bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending higher. That shows that buying has been steady in the stock the past three months.

  Analysts forecast that PCLN's earnings for the first quarter should jump 43% to $2.12 a share from $1.48 a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at $2.25 a share.

  TTD sees good chances for an upside surprise. The prior three quarters PCLN topped the consensus estimate by 24 cents a share, 25 cents a share and 34 cents.

  Looking ahead to the second quarter, the Street expects PCLN to post 39% gain in net to $3.89 a share from $2.81 a year ago. The company is benefiting from a pick up in the economy and travel.

  For 2011, earnings are expected to leap 40% to $17.15 a share from $12.25 a year ago. Looking out to 2012, net should rise 27% to $21.77 a share, up from the anticipated $17.15 in 2011. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 28. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Strategy Opinion: PCLN is a solid leader with strong profits. TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 550 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 470. TTD rates PCLN an excellent intermediate-term play. There is a chance for a stock split too and that could boost the stock.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated Fidelity Contrafund with a 2.4% stake. It has held its position mostly steady. The largest buyer recently was 2-star rated CGM Focus Fund which purchased 475,000 shares. PCLN has 49.1 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were buyers recently using stock options. They turned around and did some selling. The latest selling was at $458.73. Currently, 18 analysts follow the stock, 15 have a buy, up form 14 three months ago.   



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Priceline.com Inc.  - (PCLN)  

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume   YES
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 13 0 1

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CLR  - ABOVE  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SXCI - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - INFA - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock -BODY - AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 2.

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Only a few breakdown stocks today as stock market rallies broadly.  TTD's short play from Thursday was  Scholastic Corp. (SCHL) - 27.50, down 3.74. Today, the stock has declined to 26.95 and is working well for bears. Bears be patient and watchful.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM) - 56.92, down 7.16

Quarterly Net Disappoints, TTD Sees Decline to 48

 RIMM, based in Waterloo, On., produces wireless products. Annual revenues: $18.5 billion. RIMM's stock falls sharply today after some analysts were disappointed with the company's forecast of net for the fiscal first quarter ending May 30. So far today, RIMM is trading 50.3 million shares, five times its normal daily volume of 9.7 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  RIMM said it expects net for the fiscal first quarter to be $1.47 to $1.55 a shares. That is less than the current consensus estimate on the Street of $1.65 a share.

  The company said revenues for the fiscal first quarter would be $5.2 to $5.6 billion. The Street had been forecasting  The Street estimate was for revenues of 5.62 billion.

  RIMM did say net for the fiscal year ending February of 2012 would be in excess of $7.50 a share. That was more than the Street's estimate.

  However, the stock responded bearishly to the news.

  The stock gapped lower in the morning. It staged a modest rally, but then fell in the afternoon.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades.

  One can see that late on Thursday, there was a big block of 50,000 shares crossing the tape at $58.66. That was down sharply from the prior block at $64.06. The tape showed aggressive selling late Thursday. However, Friday morning there was some bargain hunting.

 RIMM's products include the BlackBerry wireless platform, the RIM Wireless Handheld product line, software development tools, radio-modems and software/hardware licensing agreements.

  RIMM's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with heavy volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart)  has been bearish for the past six weeks. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a down trend and moving lower. That says there is clear selling pressure.

 Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting RIMM for a decline to 48 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 60.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RIMM - AVERAGE

 


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)