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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 26 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 31
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Large number of breakouts with some good looking plays. Bulls be venturesome. Stock market resumes advance moving toward the end of the first quarter. Action seems indicative of portfolio window dressing.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bullish
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VLTR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
VLTR, based in Fremont, Ca., makes power management semiconductors. Annual revenues: $156 million. VLTR, a small cap semiconductor stock, breaks out today from an eight-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. The stock came public back in 2004. So far today, VLTR is trading 483,404 shares, double its normal daily volume of 228,000 shares. 
VLTR's 10-minute chart shows the stock pushing higher steadily through the day.
The stock looks to close on its high for the session. If it can, that would be very bullish and a good indication it will follow through to the upside on Tuesday.
VLTR's tape action is shown by the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing nicely from $30.88 to 33.78 during the past few session.
A key bullish trade came when a block of 30,000 shares crossed in the morning at 32.98. That was up nicely from the prior block at $32.68.
VLTR makes analog and mixed-signal power management semiconductors for the computing, storage, networking, and consumer markets.
The company’s products are integrated voltage regulator semiconductors, integrated power protection and distribution semiconductors.
The firm also makes scalable voltage regulator semiconductor chipsets that transform, regulate, deliver and monitor the power consumed by digital semiconductors.
Through its power system architecture and mixed-signal design techniques, it has integrated power, analog and digital circuits onto a single complementary metal oxide silicon (CMOS) semiconductor. The company sells to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, contract equipment manufacturers, and merchant power supply manufacturers.
VLTR's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 42% versus an 8% gain for the S&P 500 index.
VLTR's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2004 and trading around 8. It hit a peak of 26 in late 2004, but afterwards eventually fell to 6 by late 2008 during the bear market. Since then the stock has been on a tear and pushing higher.
VLTR's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 18 back in October to 32 by February. The stock has since gone into a flat base setup.
Today, it breaks clear of the base, which was setup above a rising 50-day moving average line. The action shows the stock still acting strong within an overall up trend.
VLTR's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a solid up trend and compliments the bullish price action.
This year, analysts forecast a 51% jump in VLTR's earnings to $1.19 a share from 79 cents a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 28. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2013, the street looks for a 25% gain in net to $1.49 a share from the anticipated $1.19 a share this year.
The company is poised to show a strong first quarter with net soaring 110% to 21 cents a share from 10 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 26 cents a share. So some analysts look for very big quarter. The past few quarters VLTR has tended to surprise slightly on the upside.
Going out to the second quarter, net should climb 36% to 27 cents a share from 20 cents a year ago. 
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting VLTR for a move to 42 off the breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 31. TTD rates VLTR a very good intermediate-term play as long as earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The top two fund holders both have a 5-star rating. They are Fidelity Growth Company Fund with a 10.3% stake and Fidelity OTC Fund with a 4.8% interest. They have held their positions steady. A key buyer recently was 5-star rated TimesSquare Small Cap Growth Fund which purchased 86,299 shares. VLTR has 25.3 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 94% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders have been recent buyer using stock options at $5 to $10 and selling at $30 to $32. Currently, 12 analysts follow the stock, 8 have a buy, down from 9 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers
Insider Activity - Buying in Green - Selling in Red
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Volterra Semiconductor Corp. - (VLTR) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PII - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HCSG - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FEIC - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RYAAY - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 1
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Only one short play today as stock market stages broad rally. Bears remain conservative and selective.
TEO, based in Argentina, provides basic telephone services in Argentina. Annual revenues: $4.2 billion. TEO's stock falls sharply today in heavy trading. The move causes the stock to break below key technical support. The decline was triggered by a downgrading by Morgan Stanley. So far today, TEO is trading 592,641 shares, double its normal daily volume of 247,000 shares.
The stock rose slightly in the morning, but then turned lower. It continued south into the afternoon hitting an intraday low of 17.45.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent block trades. One can see the price for the blocks moving lower from $19.02 to $17.58.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 13,806 shares crossed the tape at $18.31. That was down from the prior block at $19.02.
TEO provides telephone service and fixes telecommunications links in the northern region of Argentine .
Analysts are forecasting a 3% decline in TEO's earnings for the first quarter to 76 cents a share from 78 cents a year ago. Net for the second quarter should rise 9%.
TEO's daily chart shows the stock trending lower recently from 22 to 18 - a level of consistent support. However, today, the stock cuts below the support with a pick up in volume.
Strategy Opinion: TTD sees TEO as a trading short. We are targeting the stock for a decline to 14.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 18.50.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock -TEO - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
