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Ticker Tape Digest

Monday-March 30, 2009


                                          By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily breakout and Short Selling report. It contains Breakout Stocks and Stocks under Significant Accumulation.

Data is from tape action for the day. These stocks are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points for leading stocks.

These stocks will do very well during bull markets and strong market rallies.

TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks

will do very well during bear markets or market corrections

TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

Quote or chart

TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the break point. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Total Buy Breakouts today - 0

Stocks Screened - 8,200

 Bull's Strategy - No breakouts today as the stock market falls sharply and broadly on bearish news on GM. TTD has been noting that one needed to be cautious due to the weak volume on the rally. Bulls be patient for the next key market turn. Some of the leading stocks are doing well today despite the market drop.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) -NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish


Today's Feature Stock

(No Breakouts today. So, TTD features a stock close to breaking out)

Fidelity National Title Group (FNF) - 19.08, up 0.19 - Breakpoint 20.50

Quarterly Profit Growth to Jump 100%, TTD Targets 26, after a breakout

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FNF  - AVERAGE

    FNF, based in Jacksonville, Fla.,  is a leading provider of title insurance, specialty insurance and claims management services. Annual revenues: $4.6 billion. FNF is a big earnings turnaround play. Today, the stock edges higher and remains in position to breakout from an 8-week, cup-and-handle base. The firm could benefit from an improvement in the housing market.

  So far today, FNF is up slightly. Volume is running at 2.5 million shares. That is light. The stock's average daily volume is 4.3 million shares.

  FNF rose sharply in the morning, bucking the stock market's decline. The stock then trended sideways the rest of the day, weakening a bit late in the day.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the big blocks One can see a zig-zag pattern in the price movement of the blocks. However, overall, the price of the blocks rose from $18.87 to a peak of $19.10 before dipping a bit.

  Overall, we see the stock showing good institutional buying interest.

   FNF is one of the nation's largest title insurance companies through its title insurance underwriters.

  FNF also provides flood insurance, personal lines insurance and home warranty insurance through it specialty insurance business. The company is also a provider of outsourced claims management services to large corporate and public sector entities through its minority-owned subsidiary, Sedgwick CMS.

  TTD's performance chart shows FNF's stock appreciating 40% the past nine months. It has easily outperformed the S&P 500 index which is down 35% during the same time.

 TTD's long-term chart of FNF shows the stock hitting a bottom around 6 late last year. Since then the stock has tripled and is now in position to breakout over key long-term resistance at 20.50.   

  TTD's daily chart shows the recent surge in FNF from 6 to a peak near 20 in February. Then it pulled back and over the past few weeks has formed a cup-and-handle base. The tock did attempt a breakout four sessions ago, but did not clear the base.

  FNF's technicals are good. The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is still bullish. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in an overall up trend, although it has flattened out over the past few weeks.

  This year, analysts predict FNF's earnings will climb to $1.52 a share from a loss of 78 cents a share a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 12 based on this year's projected net. TTD sees that as reasonable. The Street has been boosting its earnings estimates the past few weeks.

  Next year, analysts predict a 5% gain in FNF's net to $1.60 a share from the anticipated $1.52 this year. The projections could move up.

  For the upcoming first quarter, the Street is looking for net to jump 100% to 20 cents a share from 10 cents a year ago. The highest estimate is at 24 cents a share.

The company expects to benefit from a recent acquisition and an improvement from its reduction in expenses.

  The second quarter should show a big acceleration in quarterly profits with net soaring 1,508%. The Street looks for net of 48 cents a share, up from 3 cents a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion: FNF is a  stock that will show a big improvement in earnings. TTD suggests a stop buy at 20.50 to catch the breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 19.50 after a breakout. TTD is targeting FNF for a move to 26 after a breakout. We rate the stock a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.

  Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is Artisan Mid Cap Value Fund, 5-star rated, with a 2.8% stake. A key buyer recently was 4-star rated Brandywine Fund which picked up 629,000 shares. FNF has 215 million shares outstanding. Funds hold 54 million shares.

  Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Some heavy insider buying using stock options. Then the buyers turned around and sold. Two analysts follow the stock and both have a buy.   



                     Stock Performance Chart for 9 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Profile Rating

Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) 

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume Expansion   YES
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term     YES
Price Daily Spread   YES
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term   YES  
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES    
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 10 1 3

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.

None


Charts of Breakout Stocks

None


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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 9

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral

Bear Side - Good number of breakdown stocks today as stock market moves sharply lower led by weakness in General Motors' stock. Bears can be venturesome as market is vulnerable to more on the downside.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Stratasys Inc. (SSYS) - 7.80, off 0.99

Stock Falls Below Support, Profits To Drop, TTD Sees Drop to 6

  SSYS, based in Eden Prairie, Min., makes rapid prototyping devices that enable engineers and designers to create physical models, Annual revenues: $123 million. SSYS' stock gaps lower today on expanding volume to set off a TTD short play. The stock has been in a down trend for the past year-and-half. So far today, SSYS is trading 221,646 shares. The stock's average daily volume is 202,000 shares.

  SSYS gapped lower at the opening. It touched a bottom late in the morning. It staged a modest lift in the afternoon. The volume rose sharply from the light volume on Friday.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the large trades of the past two sessions. One can see the price of the stock on the blocks dropping from $9 to $7.61. The tape action indicates that the large traders in the stock are doing the key selling.

  SSYS  produces tooling and prototypes out of plastic and other materials directly from computer aided design workstations.

  The company sells the molds to appliance makers, consumer electronics firma and the auto industry.

  This year, analysts forecast a 15% decline in earnings to 60 cents a share from 71 cents a year ago. Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to drop 40% to 11 cents a share from 18 cents a year ago.

 SSYS's chart shows the stock trending lower from 19 to 10. The stock then moved sideways. Today, it penetrates downside support. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of the chart) is bearish. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a strong down trend. That indicates the stock is under steady selling pressure.

  TTD is targeting SSYS for a drop to 6 or about a 25% decline. The stock has the potential to breakdown further if earnings are weaker than expected. A protective stop buy can be place at 9.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)