Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Wednesday, March 30, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 28, 2016 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 16
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Large list of breakouts stocks. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market holds near-term up trend and now has entered trading zone of last year.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bullish
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - YRD - ABOVE AVERAGE |
YRD, based in China, operates an online consumer finance service. Annual revenues: not available. YRD, a recent IPO stock from late last year, breaks out Wednesday from a three-month, cup-and-handle base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. That is bullish.
TTD highlighted YRD as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
YRD is a speculative breakout, but one that is poised to show strong earnings. TTD sees that as the key driver that can send the stock higher.
So far today, YRD is trading 1.5 million shares, triple its average daily volume of 459,000 shares.
YRD's 10-minute chart shows the stock breaking through key resistance in the morning.
The stock then trended steadily higher through the day. It closed near its high for the session. That is bullish.
YRD's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $9.80 in the prior session to as high as $11.11.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,592 shares crossed the tape at $10.
That was up from the prior block trade at $9.80 on 5,493 shares.
YRD runs an online consumer finance marketplace that connects borrowers and investors primarily in China.
The company offers standard, fasttrack, and vertical loan products.
The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Beijing, China.
YRD's 6-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 30% versus a 3% gain for the stock market.
The stock started to move higher just before and right after the release of its latest earnings report.
YRD's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in late 2015 and trading at 10.
The stock edged a bit higher, but then turned south and fell to a low of 3.35 in 2016 due in part to the stock market's selloff earlier this year.
However, the stock has since rallied back strongly. Its close Wednesday near its high for the session is very bullish.
YRD's daily chart shows the formation of a cup-and-handle base.
The breakout to a new high with expanding volume is bullish.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has hit a new peak. That shows good buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 24% increase in net to $1.08 a share from 87 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of just 10.
TTD sees YRD as attractive to value investors.
TTD sees the key to the stock's longer outlook being a key drive.
The Street is projecting a robust 106% surge in net to $2.22 a share from the $1.08 anticpated for 2016.
Net for the upcoming first quarter, the Street expects a profit of 12 cents a share. There was no comparable figure from a year ago.
In the prior quarter - the fourth quarter - YRD topped the Street estimate by a wide margin of 127%. (see table.
Looking out to the second quarter, the analysts are predicting a profit of 18 cents a share. There was no comparable figure from the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting YRD for a move to 16 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 10 giving it room. The stock is most appropriate for aggressive investors. One can scale into the position.
TTD rates YRD a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund buyer recently was the 3-star rated Lord Abbett International Opp. A Fund which purchased 149,250 shares. It has a 0.3% stake.
Insider Activity: Not available. YRD has 50 million shares outstanding.
Currently. 3 analysts follow the stock and all 3 have a buy. YRD has a book value of $1.31 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Yirendai Ltd. - (YRD) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DLTR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ALRM - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ROCK - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LULU - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 1
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Just one short today as stock market moves higher into previous long-term trading range. Bears be conservative and patient.
VRNT, based in Melville, N.J., provides high-tech technology services and security. Annual revenues" $1.2 billion. VRNT's stock falls sharply and through key support Wednesday. The drop was do to disappointing quarterly earnings. TTD sees more on the downside.
The stock was highlighted by TTD at our midsession video show on the Web.
So far today, VRNT is trading a heavy 8.2 million shares, 16 times its average daily volume of 445,000 shares.
VRNT reported fourth quarter net of 90 cents a share. That was well below the Street estimate of $1.16 a share.
The stock fell sharply on the news and touched a low of 29.80 during the day. It was actually as low as 28 in after market trading on Tuesday.
The stock's tape action shows the block trade prices falling from $35.19 in the prior session to as low as $30.33.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 54,151 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $30.33. That was down from the prior block trade at $34.76 on 25,100 shares.
VRNT provides speech, text, and desktop and process analytics., enterprise feedback, email and whitemail services. It also handles live chat and co-browse, social engagement, recording and eLearning solutions.
The firm also offers cyber security threat protection, network, tactical, Web, cloud, and open source intelligence services.
For the fiscal year ending in January of 2017, the Street has been forecasting a 27% increase in net to $2.66 a share from $2.10 in the prior year. However, that forecast could come down.
Net for the upcoming fiscal first quarter ending in April is expected to decline 7% to 40 cents a share from 43 cents the year before.
VRNT's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower on big volume. The stock has been in a down trend.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting VRNT for a decline 26 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 34.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VRNT - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)