Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday, April 1, 2013
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday, April 1, 2013 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 1, 2013 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 6
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Below Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small and below average. Stock market in a consolidation and vulnerable to some selling. Earnings to come will have an important impact. Bulls be cautious.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SIG - AVERAGE |
SIG, based in Hamilton, HM., operates jewellery stores in the U.S., U.K. and Ireland. Annual revenues: $3.8 billion. SIG's stock moves higher today to hold its breakout last Thursday. So far today SIG is trading 712,510 shares. Its average daily volume is 567,000 shares. 
SIG's breakout on Thursday was triggered by a favorable earnings report for the fiscal fourth quarter ending January of 2013.
SIG's 10 minute chart shows the stock spiking higher on Thursday morning, pulling back and the trending sideways.
The stock today edged higher and holds the bulk of the prior gain.
SIG came in with fiscal fourth quarter net of $2.12 a share, up from $1.79 a year ago. The Street took the news bullishly.
Going out to the first quarter of fiscal 2013-2014, the company said it anticipates net of $1.07 to $1.12. That would be up from 96 cents a share a year ago.
SIG's tape action shows the recent block trades. One can see the price for the blocks jumping from $62.32 last week to as high as $67.84 on Thursday on the bullish earnings news. 
The tape showed some profit taking later after the stock's surge on the net.
SIG operates specialist retail jewellery stores.
They have stores in the US, operating as Kay Jewelers, Jared -- The Galleria of Jewelry and under a number of regional names.
The stores in the UK, where the group trades as H. Samuel, Ernest Jones and Leslie Davis.
SIG's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 40% versus a 10% gain for the S&P 500 index.
SIG's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from 18 back in 2001 to a peak of 51.70 in early 2007. The stock took a big hit during the bear market. It fell to $5.90 by early 2009. The company did a 1-for-2 reverse stock split in 2008.
The stock has since glittered soaring to 67 a sensational 10-fold move. 
SIG's daily chart shows the stock trending higher and holding nicely above its rising 50-day moving average line.
The initial breakout was strong coming with a widening of the spread and strong volume.
Monday, the stock traded within the range of its breakout day. So, it still needs a follow through move.
SIG's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish showing aggressive buying.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a steady up trend. That shows consistent buying supporting the advance.
This fiscal year ending January of 2014, analysts are forecasting a modest 11% increase in SIG's earnings to $4.83 a share from $4.35 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 13. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Looking out to fiscal 2015, profits are projected to climb 12% to $5.39 a share from the anticipated $4.83 for fiscal 2014. 
For the upcoming fiscal first quarter ending in April, profits should rise 16% to $1.11 a share from 96 cents a year before. The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.12 a share.
Strategy Opinion: SIG is a conservative breakout play. The stock has had a sensational run the past few years. TTD is targeting SIG for a move to 77 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 64.
TTD rates SIG an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated Artisan International Value Investor Fund with a 3.9% stake. It was a recent buyer of 201,624 shares.
Also, the 5-star rated Lazard Intl. Strategic Equity Inst. Fund was a recent purchaser of 136,519 shares.
SIG has 81.3 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 79% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were recent buyers at $22 to $32 using stock options. They were sellers around $61. Currently, 9 analysts follow the stock, 6 have buy, down from 8 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Signet Jewelers Ltd. - (SIG) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NEO - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FUN - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TSLA - BELOW AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GME - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 9
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Good number of breakdown stocks today as stock market declines broadly. Bears be selective. Earnings will soon come be reported. Stock market still in a consolidation pattern within an up trend.
JOSB, based in Hampstead, Md., is a retailer of men's clothing. Annual revenues: $1 billion. JOSB' stock declines today and undercuts key technical support. The company is poised to show lower earnings for the next two quarters. So far today, JOSB is trading 669,157 shares. Its average daily volume is 507,000 shares. 
The company said this week, Thursday, April 4, it will hold a meeting to discuss fiscal 2013 results.
Analysts expect the company to post lower results for the year and a weak fiscal fourth quarter ending January 31.
The stock has been weak. Today, JOSB's stock fell sharply in the morning. It hit an intraday low of 38.35 around noon. In the afternoon, it staged a modest rally to trim its deficit.
The stock's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $40.38 to as low as $38.47 today. A key bearish trade came in the afternoon when a block of 15,600 shares crossed the tape at $38.52. That was down from the prior block at $40.
JOSB sells men's tailored and casual clothing and accessories. The company's products are sold exclusively under the Jos. A. Bank label through its company-operated retail stores and franchise stores in the U.S.
The company's products are targeted at the male career professional.
Analysts expect JOSB to post a 15% decline in net for the fiscal fourth quarter ending January 2013. Overall, the Street looks for fiscal 2013 profits to be down 2% to $3.42 a share from $3.49 the year before.
Going out to the fiscal first quarter ending in April profits are projected to drop 11% to 47 cents a share from 53 cents the year before.
JOSB's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from a peak around 51 back in September. The stock did have a gap move lower in late February.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting JOSB for a decline to 32 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 40.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - JOSB - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
