|
|
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 2 |
|
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
|---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
|
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
|---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 11
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Above Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Good number of breakouts even though the stock moves a bit lower. Bulls should be selective. Stock market is now consolidating within an up trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
|
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SXCI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
SXCI, based in Lisle, Ill., provides pharmacy benefits
management services and healthcare IT solutions. Annual revenues: $5
billion. SXCI's stock breaks out today from a five-week flat base and hits a new all-time high..The move came on a good expansion in volume to 1.2 million shares, triple its normal daily volume of 364,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted SXCI as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
SXCI's daily chart shows the stock spiking higher in the morning on strong volume. The stock then managed to edge a bit higher as the day wore on.
SXCI is a leader that broke out from a base in February. It is now in a solid up trend and poised to show strong profits this year and next.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price of the blocks rising from $72.43 to a peak of $78.49.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 10,000 shares crossed the tape at $77.92. That was up sharply from the prior block trade at $73.64.
It is noteworthy that late in the session near the close a block of 19,790 shares crossed at $78.49. That was up sharply from the prior block at $77.50. That showed aggressive institutional buying at the close.
SXCI provides pharmacy benefits management services and healthcare IT solutions to the healthcare benefits management industry.
The company's product combine software, application service provider processing services and professional services, designed for large firms.
SXCI services the drug supply chain, such as Federal, provincial, and, state and local governments, pharmacy benefit managers, managed care organizations, retail pharmacy chains and other healthcare companies.
SXCI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 44% versus an 8% for the S&P 500 index.
SXCI's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from $2.40 back in 2005 to a peak of $15 in 2007. The stock then pulled back to 8 during the bear market. However, the past three years the stock has soared. It peaked in mid-2011 at $66, but then slipped back and has rallied again. The push to a new high could bring in buying on Wednesday from the new-high crowd.
SXCI's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 40 in October to 65 by January. The stock put down a well-formed flat base and then broke out to move up to the 74 area.
Now SXCI breaks out again from another well-formed flat base. This time the move comes with strong volume and a widening of the daily spread. So, it is strong.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has turned up and compliments the price pattern in its recent weeks of action.
For 2012, earnings should leap 48% to $2.41 a share from $1.63 a year ago.
The company should show strong profits for the next two quarters.
Net for the first quarter is expected to leap 50% to 49 cents a share from 33 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 59 cents a share. TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise. The Street has been bumping up its estimate for the quarter.
Looking out to the second quarter, net should climb another 50% to 57 cents a share from 38 cents the year before.
The company is doing well getting new contracts. 
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SXCI for a move to 100 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 73.
TTD rates SXCI an excellent intermediate-term play provided earnings continue to meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The three largest fund holders are all rated 5-star. The largest fund holder is T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund with a 3.9% stake. It was a recent buyer of 450,000 shares. SXCI has 62.5 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 96% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders have done light selling in recent months. They have done no buying except with options that are priced from $4.99 to $53.18. Currently, 20 analysts follow the stock, 13 have a buy, down from 16 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers
Insider Activity - Buying in Green - Selling in Red
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating SXC Health Solutions Corp. - (SXCI) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ARSD - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - URI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - THR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MSTR - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Only three short plays today even though the stock market moves lower. Bears remain selective and conservative. TTD's short from Monday was YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) at 24.26. Today, the stock has declined to 22.96 and is working well for bears.
IVN, based in Vancouver, produces gold and other minerals. Annual revenues: $179 million. IVN's breaks below key technical support today with a big expansion in volume. The company is expected to show a loss this year, according to analysts. So far today, IVN is trading a heavy 8.6 million shares, four times its normal daily volume of 2.2 million shares. 
TTD sees more on the downside.
TTD highlighted IVN as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
IVN's stock headed lower in the morning falling to a low of 14.26. The stock then lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day unable to mount a rally.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades. One can see the price for the blocks declining from $15.95 to $14.30. A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 50,000 shares crossed the tape at $14.49. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $15.33.
That showed aggressive institutional selling pressure.
IVN’s principal mineral resource property is the Oyu Tolgoi Project, located in Mongolia.
The Company also has two subsidiaries, through which it holds interests in coal resource properties in Mongolia and molybdenum, rhenium, copper, gold and uranium resource properties in Australia.
Its subsidiary, SouthGobi Resources Ltd. (SGQ), owns and operates the Ovoot Tolgoi Coal Project located in Mongolia. Its subsidiary, Ivanhoe Australia Limited., owns the Cloncurry Project and the Osborne Project, both of which are located in Queensland, Australia. IVN also holds interests in several other mineral resource projects in Asia, including a 50% interest in the Kyzyl Shear Project, located in Kazakhstan, through its interest in Altynalmas Gold Ltd. In October 2010.
IVN's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower today with big volume. The move undercuts key technical support near 16. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is heading sharply lower indicating heavy selling pressure.
This year, analysts are forecasting IVN will show a loss of 22 cents a share compared with a loss of 49 cents a share a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting IVN for a decline to 11.30, within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 14.70.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IVN - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20
years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the
Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of
many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To
High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
