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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 4 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under 
Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
1 - TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long - (Intermediate-term long plays) these are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
2 -TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long - (Short-term long plays These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
3 - TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - (Long Term long plays. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
4 - TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 25
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Large breakout list today with some top rated plays. Bulls be selective. Stock market at a resistance point. Earnings to come in soon for the latest quarter.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011 - Updated April 4)
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SOHU - ABOVE AVERAGE |
SOHU, based in China, operates an internet portal in China. Annual revenues: $613 million. SOHU's stock drives sharply higher today on strong volume to breakout from a nine-week, cup-and-handle base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. So far today, SOHU is trading 2.8 million shares, double its normal daily volume of 1.2 million shares.
TTD highlighted SOHU as a breakout at our midsession show on the Web Monday.
SOHU's 10-minute chart shows the stock edging above its breakpoint in the prior session, but then dipping below it.
Today, the stock drives sharply higher in the morning and clears the breakpoint with authority.
After its big morning push, SOHU trended sideways holding comfortably above its breakpoint. 
SOHU's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
The key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 16,206 shares (duplicated) crossed at $91.75. That was up from the prior block trade at $90.88.
The tape showed aggressive institutional buying interest.
SOHU is a leading Internet portal in China in terms of brand recognition, page views and registered users.
The company's portal consists of a Chinese language Web navigational and search, twelve main content channels, Web-based communications and community services, and a platform for e-commerce services.
The company is well positioned to capitalize on the emergence of the Web as a new advertising medium and commerce platform in China.
SOHU's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 78% versus an 18% gain in the S&P 500 index.
The stock is a leader in the Chinese stock sector. SOHU's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from 20 in 2007 to a peak of 91 in 2008. The stock then was pulled back to 40 during the bear market. It has since come on strong and is making new highs. It is one of the strongest stocks in the market.
SOHU's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from a cup-and-handle base and making a new high. the base was set up above a rising 50-day moving average line. That shows the stock remains in a good up trend.
The push higher today comes with a widening of the spread and expansion in volume. That is bullish.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in an overall up trend, although it lags the price action.
This year, analysts forecast a 27% jump in net to $4.60 a share from $3.62 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 21. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Looking out to 2012, the Street is forecasting a 17% gain in net to $5.36 a share from the anticipated $4.60 a share.
Net for the upcoming first quarter should jump 33% and then in the second quarter 35%. So, there will be a modest acceleration in quarterly profit growth.
Net for the first quarter should come in at 97 cents a share, up from 73 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.05 a share. TTD sees good chances for an upside surprise. The past two quarters, SOHU topped the consensus estimate by 9 cents a share and 17 cents.
Strategy Opinion: SOHU's breakout looks solid so fart. TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 115. A protective stop can be placed near 90. TTD rates SOHU a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is 4-star rated Oppenheimer Developing Markets Fund with a 6.1% stake. It was a recent buyer of 353,590 shares. SOHU has 38.2 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were recent buyers, but turned around and sold. The latest selling was at $86.50. Right now, 15 analysts follow the stock, 7 have a buy, up from 6 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Sohu.com Inc. - (SOHU) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PLPC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ALXN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BWA -ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Only a few breakdown stocks today. Bears remain patient and alert. TTD's short play from Friday was Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AMLN) - 11.36, down 9.14. Today, the stock has declined to $11.13 and is working well for bears.
RVSN, based in Israel, produces communications equipment. Annual revenue: $95 million. RVSN's stock falls sharply today with a gap drop to the downside and heavy volume. The company forecasted a greater than expected loss for the first quarter. So far today, RVSN is trading 408,781 shares, eight times its normal daily volume of 44,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.
TTD highlighted RVSN as a short at our midsession show on the Web Monday.
RVSN's stock gapped sharply lower in the morning. It hit an intraday low of 9.90. the stock then trended sideways the rest of the day. It was unable to stage a sustainable rally.
RVSN's clip of the tape shows the recent block trades. One can see the price for the blocks falling from $11.39 to a low of $9.97. A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 10,000 shares crossed the tape at $10.50. That was down sharply from the prior block that crossed at $11.39.
RVSN produces products and technology that enable real-time voice, video and data communications over packet networks, including the Internet and other networks based on the Internet protocol.
The company's products are used by customers to develop systems that enable enterprises and service providers to migrate their voice and video communications from traditional telephone networks to next generation packet networks.
RVSN said it will show a loss for the first quarter of 10 to 14 cents a share. That is up from a prior forecast of a loss of just one cent a share.
This year, analysts were forecasting a loss of 4 cents a share. That forecast probably will be boosted to a greater deficit.
RVSN's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower on heavy volume. The stock's technical action gave no hint of problems. So, the news was a big surprise.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting RVSN for a decline to 750. TTD suggests a stop buy at 11.20.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RVSN - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
