Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Friday, April 5, 2013

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Friday, April 5, 2013

Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - April 5, 2013

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Below Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list small with REIT's dominating. Stock market recovers slightly from jobs related seloff. Stock market now in a consolidation. Bulls be selective. Earnings to come will be important.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - April 5

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Core Mark Holding Co. (CORE) - 51.88, up 0.47 - Breakpoint 51.36

Net to Jump 53% in fiscal  2011, TTD Targets 62

     CORE, based in South San Francisco, Ca., is a wholesale distributor of packaged products. Annual revenues: $8.9 billion. CORE's stock breaks out today from a 12-week flat base. TTD recently highlighted CORE as a potential breakout. So far today, CORE is trading 39,004 shares. Its average daily volume is 54,000 shares.

  CORE is a thinly traded issue. Friday, even with the stock market down CORE turned in a good rally performance around midday to punch out of its base.

  The stock then pulled back in trading (see 10-minute chart). However, it came on again near the close.

   CORE's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $50.57 in the morning to as high as $51.87.

  A key bullish trade came when a block of 593 shares crossed the tape at $51.15.

  That was up from the prior block trade at $50.57.

 CORE is a distributor of packaged consumer products to the convenience retail industry in North America.

 The company provides distribution and logistics services as well as marketing programs to retail locations in the U.S. and five Canadian provinces through distribution centers.

 CORE services traditional convenience retailers, grocers, mass merchandisers, drug, liquor and specialty stores, and other stores that carry consumer packaged goods.

  CORE's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 30% versus a 12% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  The stock's long-term chart shows it coming public in 2005 and trading at 24. The stock hit a peak of 45 in 2006. It then trended lower the next few years finally hitting a bear market bottom at 15 in 2008. Since then, the stock has been pushing higher steadily.

  A move higher on Monday would put it in high ground which could attract more buying.

  CORE's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 41 in November to around 51 by January.

  Today, the stock edges out from its base. The move is impressive since the stock market was down sharply during the session and CORE bucked the trend.

  The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of the chart) had already broken out to the upside.

 That was a good lead indicator that the stock could clear its base.

 The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 13% jump in CORE's earnings to $3.51 a share from $3.10 a year ago. Analysts have been triming their earnings estimates recently.

 The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 14. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Going out to 2014, profits are projected to leap 33% to $4.66 a share from the anticipated $3.51 this year.

  The first quarter should be strong and could be the key driver to send the stock higher near-term.

  The Street is looking for a 39% jump in net to 43 cents a share from 31 cents a year ago. The highest estimate by analysts is at 50 cents a share. In the prior quarter, CORE topped the consensus by 16 cents a share, or by 24%. That was impressive.

  For the second quarter, profits are expected to rise 16% to $1.09 a share from the 94 cents a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CORE for a move to 60 after this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 48.

  TTD rates CORE as a good intermediate-term play due to solid earnings growth outlook.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. There were two key fund buyers with a 5-star rating. Brown Advisory Small Cap Fundamental Value Inv. Fund bought 35,047 shares to lift its stake to 1.4%. Also, Homestead Small Company Stock Fund purchased 48,200 shares. It has a 0.92% stake.  

  CORE has 11.5 million shares outsanding. Institutions hold 88% of the stock.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Just light selling by two insiders recently. They exercised options at $19 and $28. They sold around $50. Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, and all 5 have a buy, the same sentiment three months ago.

Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 8

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks today. Stock market falls broadly after weak jobs numbers. Bears be selective.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Citrix Systems Inc. (CTXS) - 68.66, down 1.08

Profits to be Weak in First Half, TTD Sees Side to 61

 CTXS, based in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., produces management software. Annual revenues:$2.6 billion. CTXS"s stock falls sharply today cutting below key technical support. So far today, CTXS is trading a heavy 2.9 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.7 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

 TTD highlighed CTXS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  The stock declined in the morning, rallied to trim its loss and then trended sideways. The stock is now lifting a bit going into the close.

  The tape action shows the recent big block trades. One can see the price for the blocks declining from $69.83 on Thursday to as low as $65.04 Friday.

  A key bearish block came in the morning when 22,496 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $66.88. That was down from the prior block at $67.19.

  CTXS is a supplier of application delivery and management software.

 Their product provides enterprise-wide deployment and management of applications. The company's products permit firms to manage applications without regard to location, network connection, or type of client hardware platform.

  CTXS's earnings will be weak in the first half. Analysts project a flat first quarter with net at 45 cents a share. For the second quarter net should be down 6% to 53 cents a share from 56 cents a year ago.

  For the year, they look for a 5% rise in net to $2.42 a share from $2.30 a year ago.

  CTXS's daily chart shows the stock breaking down today with expanding volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bearish.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CTXS for a drop to 61 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 69.90.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2013

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)