Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, April 8, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, April 8, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 6, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 14
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market remains in a trading range. Earnings will be coming in soon.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - QLYS - ABOVE AVERAGE |
QLYS, based in Redwood City, Ca., provides cloud security services to reduce risk for businesses. Annual revenues: $134 million. QLYS's stock, a leader, breaks out today from an eight-week based that evolved into a double-bottom. The move carries QLYS to a new all-time high. That is bullish. 
TTD featured QLYS in the prior session as a stock to accumulate in anticipation of a breakout. It did that Wednesday. 
A key catalyst for the breakout was an upgrading to a buy by Raymond James brokerage. They raised their price target to $61.
Also, the reported hacking of the White House computer system could have also reved up the stock.
QLYS is trading 1.1 million shares, triple its average daily volume of 355,000 shares.
The stock spiked higher in the morning on strong volume clearing its breakpoint line.
The stock reached an intraday peak of 52.96 in the morning. It then backed off a bit and trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
QLYS's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks advancing from $49.08 in the prior session to as high as $52.43 on Wednesday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 15,648 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $50. 
That was up from the prior block at $49.08 on 5,745 shares late in the prior session.
QLYS provides cloud security and compliance solutions that enable firms to identify security risks to their information technology infrastructures. The firm helps protect their IT systems from cyber-attacks.
The company's solutions are provided through its QualysGuard Cloud Platform. It offers products for vulnerability management, policy compliance, web application scanning and malware detection.
QLYS's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating a sensational 125% versus a 15% gain for the S&P 500 index.
One can see insider selling taking place near recent peaks (see red bars on chart)
QLYS's stock came public back in late 2012 and traded at $12. The stock trended mostly sideways until mid 2013 when it broke out to the upside. The stock then advanced to around $30 by early 2014. QLYS then went into another basing pattern.
It emerged in late 2014 and pushed on to 50 where it has set up another base. The breakout to a new high is bullish. 
QLYS's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 28 back in October to a peak near 49 by February.
The stock formed a nice base and today breaks out with a nice widening of the daily trading spread and expansion in volume.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) compliments the price action. It shows good underlying buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 26% increase in net to 34 cents a share from 27 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a rich p/e ratio of 144. So, the stock is most suitable to an aggressive investor.
Going out to 2016, the Street looks for a 32% gain in profits to 45 cents a share from the anticipated 34 cents this year.
Net for the upcoming first quarter should come in at 6 cents a share compared with a loss of one cent a share a year ago.
The company topped the consensus estimate the prior two quarters by a wide margin. (see table)
That could be a possibility for the first quarter.
Going out to the second quarter, analysts expect a 60% jump in profits to 8 cents a share from 5 cents a year before. 
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting QLYS for a move to 62 off this breakout. That is up from our early target of 60 made in the prior session;
A protective stop can be placed near 48 giving it some room.
TTD rates QLYS an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund buyer recently was the Lord Abbett Developing Growth A Fund which purchased 570,063 shares. The 5-star rated fund has a 3.5% stake.
The largest fund holder is the 4-star rated Champlain Small Cap Equity Fund with a 5.8% stake. It was a recent buyer of 53,095 shares.
QLYS has 33.9 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 53% of the stock and insiders 39%.
Insider Activity: Not available. Currently, 14 analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, the same as three months ago. Most are neutral with one with a sell.
QLYS has a book value of $4.52 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Qualys Inc. - (QLYS) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SCMP - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DEG - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ZBRA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GPN - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks. Bears be selective. Stock market holding in trading range.
RENT, based in Portland, provides a service that measures viewing information for the ad industry worldwide. Annual revenues: $96 million. RENT' stock falls Wednesday and undercuts key technical support. So far today RENT is trading 414,684 shares. Its average daily volume is 259,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted RENT as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
The stock fell sharply in the morning touching an intraday low of 48.96.
The stock then lifted and trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
RENT's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $51.19 in the prior session to as low as $49.48 on Wednesday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 12,536 shares crossed the tape at $49.78.
That was down from the prior block at $50.88 on 3,818 shares.
RENT is a media measurement and information company serving the entertainment, television, video, and advertising industries worldwide.
Its Software as a Service technology merges census-based television viewership information from approximately 100 million TVs and devices with consumer behavior and purchase information across various platforms, devices, and distribution channels.
The company also measures box office results from about 100,000 movie screens in 36 countries.
This fiscal year ending in March, analysts are forecasting a loss of 70 cents a share compared with a loss of 59 cents a year before.
Going out to fiscal 2016 ending in March, they look for a loss of 17 cents a share compared with the anticipated loss of 70 cents this fiscal year 2015.
RENTs' daily chart shows a gap drop in February with big volume and then a sideways pattern. However, today RENT cuts below support opening the door for more on the downside. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting RENT for a decline to 42 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 51.10.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RENT - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
