Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Swng - Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.
Thursday - April 8, 2021
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts - 11
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts with some interesting plays for aggressive bulls.
Stock market - Major averages are bullish in all time sectors.
Comment - Market remains bullish with some good looking breakouts. One needs to be watchful of earnings and forecasts.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats - LEVI and CAG.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AVTR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AVTR, based in Radnor, Pa., makes chemicals and lab products. Annual revenues: $6.4 billion. AVTR's stock moves higher Thursday and breaks out from its 13-week, flat base.
AVTR is trading 4.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is 3.5 million shares.
TTD sees potential for more on the upside.
TTD highlighted AVTR as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web. TTD also featured AVTR earlier in the week as a potential breakout.
AVTR's stock moved higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line.
The stock reached an intraday peak at $31.86 around noon.
AVTR then drifted back slightly in the afternoon.
In after-hours trading AVTR was up 36 cents a share.
Tape Action
AVTR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks rising from $30.90 in the prior session to as high as $31.78 in the early afternoon.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 29,760 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $3.24.
That was up from the prior block at $30.90 on a 188,606 shares.
Near the close, a block of 420,441 shares crossed at $31.52.
That came on an up tick from the prior trade at $31.51 on 12,100 shares.
Business
AVTR produces chemicals and reagents, lab products and supplies and specialized formulated silicone materials.
It also makes filtration systems, virus inactivation systems, incubators, analytical instruments, evaporators, ultra-low-temperature freezers, biological safety cabinets and critical environment supplies.
Charts
AVTR's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 135% versus a 52% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were buyers at $17.67 to $1.60 using stock options.
They were sellers at $30.04 to $19.51 a share.
AVTR's long-term chart shows the stock coming public at $16.82 in June of 2019.
The stock fell to $6.65 in early 2020 but then turned and rallied aggressively to a peak at $31.52 in early 2021.
AVTR's stock put down a flat base late last year and then broke out and got to $30.92.
The stock then pulled back this year and formed a cup-and-handle base.
AVTR advanced the past several sessions and now punches out of its base.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts predict a 31% leap in net to $1.17 a share from the 89 cents the prior year.
The stock has a price-earnings ratio of 25.
Looking out to 2022, the Street projects a 13% rise in net to $1.32 a share from the anticipated $1.17 this year.
Quarterly earnings will be strong.
Profits for the first quarter should surge 65% to 28 cents a share from the 17 cents the previous year.
The highest estimate for the quarter is a 30 cents a share.
The company beat the Street estimate the past four quarters by 3 cents a share, 3 cents, 5 cents and 2 cents.
Net for the second quarter should spurt 47% to 28 cents a share from the 19 cents the previous year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AVTR for a move to $38. A protective stop can be placed near $29.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Breakout Success |
Bullish |
AVTR scored small gains off recent breakouts. |
Response to Net |
Bullish |
AVTR rose 4 times after 6 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
AVTR avg. gain 21.8% in April, 18.9% in May prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
AVTR beat Street net estimate 5 times after 7 reports. |
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
10% |
1/6/2021 | 27.97 | 30.69 | 1/25/2021 |
11% |
10/5/2020 | 22.99 | 25.45 | 10/22/2020 |
16% |
7/29/2020 | 19.46 | 22.57 | 9/1/2020 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ROST - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NTST - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SIMO - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FTNT - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action - 1
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Bearish.
Bear Side - Only one short. Bears be conservative.
WISH, based in San Francisco, provides a mobile shopping platform. Annual revenues: $2.5 billion. WISH's stock moves lower Thursday and falls below its key technical support.
So far today, WISH is trading a heavy 8.1 million shares. Its average daily volume is 4.9 million shares.
TTD sees potential for more on the downside.
WISH's stock fell in the morning and slipped below its key support.
The stock touched an intraday low of $13.96 around midday.
It lifted slightly in the afternoon.
In after-hours trading, WISH was up 10 cents a share.
Tape Action
WISH's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $14.78 in the morning to as low as $14 in the afternoon.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 30,698 shares crossed the tape at $14.70.
That was down from the prior block at $14.78 on 34,400 shares.
Then near the close a massive block of 104,599 shares crossed at $14.08.
That was down from the prior block at $14.10 on 45,137 shares.
That was very bearish.
Business
WISH is a mobile electronic commerce company. It provides a shopping platform, which connects merchants' products to users based on user preferences.
Its personalized product feed enables users to discover products to purchase by scrolling through its mobile application and browsing.
The company assists merchants with international compliance, payment processing and user support.
The platform includes a merchant dashboard with analytics to help merchants sell products and track the performance.
Earnings:
This year, analysts predict a loss of 47 cents a share compared with a loss of $5.87 the prior year.
For the first quarter, the street expects a loss of 17 cents a share. There was no comparable figure.
Going out to 2022, the Street expects a loss of 14 cents a share.
Charts:
WISH's daily chart shows the stock in a down trend from $32 in January to around $15.
The stock cuts below support and now makes an all-time low. That is bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting WISH for a decline to $11 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $15.10
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:
Response to Net |
Bearish |
WISH fell 1 time after 1 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bearish |
WISH avg loss 10.9% in April. |
Earnings Beats |
Bearish |
WISH missed Street estimate 1 time after 1 report. |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WISH - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-704-3331.
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TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)