Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday. April 10, 2014
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday. April 10, 2014 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 7, 2013 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market
rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs. 
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 1
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small as stock market drops sharply with Nasdaq taking a big hit. Bulls be conservative. Also, be alert now for earnings reports.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LFUS - AVERAGE |
LFUS, based in Chicago, makes electronic switches and fuses. Annual revenues: $758 million. LFUS's stock breaks out today from a 15-week flat base today. The move bucked the stock market's big drop. LFUS drove higher after boosting its earnings for the first quarter. So far today, LFUS is trading 358,502 shares, triple its average daily volume of 114,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted LFUS as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
The stock 
drove higher in the morning to clear its base. (see 10-minute chart)
The stock then trended sideways the rest of the day.
It held well against the stock market's sharp sell off.
LFUS said it now expects to report first quarter adjusted earnings of $1.13 to $1.16 a share.
The company's prior guidance had been for earnings of 98 cents a share to $1.12 per share.
The stock reacted very bullishly to the news. 
LFUS's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One an see the price for the blocks climbing from $91.34 a few sessions ago to as high as $98.13 on Thursday.
A key bullish trade came late on Wednesday when a block of 8,106 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $95.12.
That was up from the prior block at $92.08.
The tape showed steady institutional buying through most of the day.
LFUS is a supplier of circuit protection products for the electronics, automotive and electrical industries.
The company also offers electromechanical and electronic switch and control devices for commercial and specialty vehicles and sensors for automobile safety systems, as well as protection relays and power distribution centers for safe control and distribution of electricity.
The company supplies Alcatel-Lucent, Cisco, Celestica, Delta, Flextronics, Foxconn, Hewlett-Packard, HTC, Huawei, IBM, Intel, Jabil, LG, Motorola, Nokia, Panasonic, Quanta, Samsung, Sanmina-SCI, Seagate, Siemens and Sony.
The company is also the provider of circuit protection for the automotive industry and the third largest producer of electrical fuses in North America. In the automotive market, the company’s end customers include original equipment manufacturers in North America, Europe and Asia such as BMW, Caterpillar, Chrysler, Daimler Trucks NA, Ford Motor Company, General Motors, Hyundai Group and Volkswagen.
LFUS's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 50% versus a 15% gain for the S&P 500 index.
LFUS's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from 20 back in 2003 to a peak of 42 in 2004. The stock eventually fell back 8 in 2009 due to the bear market.
However, since then LFUS has been driving higher. It has since made a sensational tenfold move. The breakout today carries it to a new all-time high.
LFUS's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 75 in October to 93 by late December.
The stock then formed a flat base. In March, LFUS broke out but then faded back.
The stock moved higher in the prior session and then today clears its base on the bullish earnings news.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a solid up trend showing good underlying buying the past several months.
The company's forecast of $1.13 to $1.16 a share for the quarter represents a 19% to 22% increase in profits from the 95 cents a share a year ago.
Previously, analysts were looking for a 13% gain in net for the quarter. 
Going out to the second quarter, the Street is projecting a 12% gain in net to $1.28 a share from $1.15 the year before.
Overall, earnings for 2014 should climb 12% to $5 a share from $4.46 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 19. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2015, they look for a 9% gain in net to $5.45 a share.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting LFUS for a move to 112 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 94.
TTD sees chances for a stock split which could boost the stock. TTD rates the stock an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Average. One of the largest fund buyers recently was 4-star rated Neuberger Berman Genesis Fund which purchased 91,844 shares. It has a 2.3% stake.
Also, the 3-star rated RS Select Growth Fund was a recent purchaser of 152,286 shares. It has a 0.68% stake.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Just some light insider selling around 92 recently. Some options have been granted lately around $94. Currently, 4 analysts follow the stock, one has a buy, the same as three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Littlefuse Inc. - (LFUS) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
None
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 5
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts considering the stock market is down sharply. Bears can be venturesome.
EHTH, based in Mountain View, Ca., is involved in the health insurance service business. Annual revenues: $179 million. EHTH's stock falls sharply today and undercuts key technical support. So far today, EHTH is trading 153,970 shares. Its average daily volume is 228,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted EHTH as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
EHTH's stock began to slide in the morning along with the Nasdaq. The stock hit an intraday low in the afternoon of 45. It continues to act weak.
EHTH's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $49 two sessions ago to $48.51 in the prior session. The block activity was low on Thursday.
A key bearish trade came when a block of 8,119 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $48.51 near the close on Wednesday. That was down sharply from the prior block at $48.95.
The company is the parent of eHealthInsurance, America’s health insurance exchange where individuals, families and small businesses can compare health insurance products from leading insurers side by side and purchase and enroll in coverage online.
It offers thousands of individual, family and small business health plans underwritten by more than 200 of the nation's leading health insurance companies through its website addresses (www.eHealth.com, www.eHealthInsurance.com, www.eHealthMedicare.com and www.PlanPrescriber.com) and customer care centers.
Analysts are forecasting a 94% drop in EHTH's earnings for the first quarter to one cent a share from 12 cents a year ago. For the year, they do see profits rising to 22 cents a share from 13 cents the year before.
EHTH's daily chart shows the stock sliding below key technical support. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting EHTH for a drop to 38. A protective stop buy can be placed near 47.40.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EHTH - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
