Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, Aprl 8, 2019 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Thursday - April 11, 2019
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 9
Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts with some interesting plays.
Stock market - Market averages are bullish in all time sectors.
Comment - TTD sees the market still holding an overall up trend after its rally from its bear market lows. Earnings will be coming and will impact stocks and the market.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Earnings beats for Thursday - FAST.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GDDY - ABOVE AVERAGE |
GDDY, based in Scottsdale, Az., provides technical services and web services. Annual revenues: $2.7 billion. GDDY's stock moves higher Thursday and breaks out from its 8-week flat base.
So far today, GDDY is trading a heavy 2.9 million shares, about double its average daily volume of 1.4 million shares.
TTD highlighted GDDY as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
The stock was also featured on April 8 as a stock to accumulate in anticipation of a breakout.
GDDY's 10-minute chart shows the stock breaking out in the morning.
The stock moved steadily higher and reached an intraday peak at $79.65 in the afternoon.
It closed near its high for the day. That is very bullish.
Tape Action
GDDY's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks rising from $74.55 in the prior session to as high as $79.55 Thursday afternoon.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 17,391 shares crossed the tape at $76.06.
That was up from the prior block at $75.95 on 61,155 shares in the prior session.
The stock closed strongly with a block of 98,682 shares (duplicated) at $79.55.
That came on a down tick from $79.56 on 100 shares.
Business
GDDY provides Web designing and internet services.
The company delivers cloud-based products. It operates a domain marketplace. GDDY provides website building, hosting and security tools.
It also provides productivity tools, such as domain-specific e-mail, online storage, invoicing, bookkeeping and payment solutions.
Charts
GDDY's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 29% versus a 10% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $15 to $31 a share. They were sellers at $72 to $75 a share.
GDDY's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2015 at $26.15. The stock worked its way steadily higher to an all-time peak at $84.97 last October.
The stock fell back to $56 in November, but has since been coming on again.
GDDY's daily chart shows the stock climbing from around $60 back in January to a peak near $77 by February.
GDDY put down a tight flat base.
The breakout Thursday is impressive coming with expanding volume and a widening of the daily spread.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is very bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts are forecasting a 30% jump in net to 82 cents a share from 63 cents the year before.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 90. That is high.
Looking out to 2020, the Street predicts a 60% leap in net to $1.31 a share from the anticipated 82 cents this year.
Quarterly earnings will be very strong.
Profits for the first quarter are expected to surge 500% to 12 cents a share from the 2 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 19 cents a share. Ten analysts follow the stock.
Looking out to the second quarter, analysts predict a 91% jump in net to 21 cents a share from the 11 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting GDDY for a move to $100 after a breakout. A protective stop can be placed near $74 after a breakout.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Aggressive Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Bullish - GDDY tended to score modest gains off its recent breakouts.
Probability - Earnings Response - Very Bullish - GDDY rose 7 times after the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Extremely Bullish - GDDY averaged a gain of 6.6% in April and a gain of 7.8% in May the past several years.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
4% |
8/27/2018 |
80.29 |
84 |
9/13/2018 |
16% |
5/4/2018 |
64.44 |
74.69 |
6/20/2018 |
8% |
1/22/2018 |
51.52 |
56.01 |
2/1/2018 |
15% |
10/20/2017 |
44.12 |
51.06 |
11/24/2017 |
16% |
4/21/2017 |
37.71 |
43.70 |
7/18/2017 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Godaddy Inc. (GDDY) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NSSC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SHOP - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RNR - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ENV - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest provides a list of potential breakout stocks from our screen of companies that will show some of the strongest earnings gains. One of the best ways to play these stocks is to study the list and then place a stop buy order to catch the stock on the breakout.
One can take either a full position on the breakout if they are aggressive, or scale-in looking to add to the stake later if they are conservative. TTD's premarket breakout watch list gives you a great opportunity "to be prepared for the next key breakout stock just before it happens." The list will be updated daily and the screen monthly.
Guide: Symbol=Ticker, Name=Corporate name, Entry is the buy price to enter on the breakout, Last=prior close, Change=change from last close to prior, Date=date of price of close etc, Gain in blue is price above breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is price below breakpoint (entry)., % Gain in blue is % over breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is % below breakpoint (entry)
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks. Bears be conservative and watchful.
WTW, based in New York, produces products and meetings to help people to control their weight. Annual revenues: $1.5 billion. WTW's stock falls sharply Thursday and under cuts key technical support.
So far today, WTW is trading a heavy 15.2 million shares, five times its average daily volume of 2.9 million shares.
The sharp drop came as the company was the target of shareholder law suit.
TTD highlighted WTW as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday. We see more on the downside.
WTW's stock fell sharply in the morning and undercut its key technical support.
The stock touched an intraday low of $17.55. It then worked a bit higher during the day to finish just below its breakpoint line.
Tape Action
WTW's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $20.54 in the prior session to as low as $17.87 Thursday morning.
A key bearish trade came near the opering when a block of 105,870 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $18.68.
That was down from the prior block at $20.54 on 37,803 shares.
Business
WTW provides weight management services. It has company owned franchise units.
The company's branded products and services include meetings conducted by its franchisees, digital weight management products provided through its Websites.
It also has licensed products sold in retail channels and magazine subscriptions. It operates in the U.S., U.K.,and Europe.
(CE) and Other. It sells a range of products, including bars, snacks, cookbooks, food and restaurant guides with SmartPoints values, Weight Watchers magazines, SmartPoints calculators and fitness kits, and certain third-party products, such as activity-tracking monitors.
The suit against WTW claims the company failed to disclose to shareholders the company was facing strong competition from smartphone fitness applications and meal delivery services.
Earnings:
This year, analysts are forecasting a 58% drop in earnings to $1.33 a share from the $3.19 the year before.
For the upcoming first quarter, analysts predict a loss of 27 cents a share compared with a profit of 31 cents the year before.
Charts:
WTW's daily chart shows the stock in steep decline with an inability to rally.
WTW's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down70% versus a 9% gain for the stock market.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting WTW for a drop to $15 within the next few months. A protective stop buy can be placed near $19.60.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Bearish. - WTW rose 3 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Bullish. - WTW averaged a gain of 9.4% in April and a gain of 3.7% in May the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WTW - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)