Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, Aprl 15, 2019 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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TTD doesn't publish Thursday. We resume Monday
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Wednesday - April 17, 2019
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8
Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Bulls Large list of breakouts Wednesday with some interesting plays.
Stock market - Market averages are bullish in all time sectors.
Comment - TTD sees stock maket in a consolidation pattern. Earnings will be coming and will have a big impact on the market.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Earnings beats for Wednesday - None.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TPNL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TPLN, based in Henderson, N.V., is a payment solutions firm providing prepaid card programs and processing services. TPNL rises sharply Wednesday and breaks out from its 10-week flat base.
The move carries the stock to a new all-time high.
TTD sees more on the upside.
So far today, TPNL is trading 1.5 million shares, five times its average daily volume of 302,000 shares.
TPNL's worked higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line in the early afternoon.
The stock continued higher in the afternoon and touched an intraday high of $8.90.
Tape Action
TPNL's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $7.86 in the morning to $8.63
A key bullish trade came in the early afternoon when a block of 8,725 shares crossed at $8.
That was up from the prior block at $7.86 on 9,900 shares.
Business
TPNL markets prepaid debit card solutions under its PaySign brand.
The company is engaged in the development of a secure payment gateway and hardware devices, which utilizes encryption technology and secure key exchange to facilitate personal identification number debit transactions over the Internet.
Its products and services include The PaySign Brand, Incentive Rewards, Source Plasma Donor Payments, Pharmaceutical Market and Buy and Bill.
The company provides various services, including transaction processing, cardholder enrollment, value loading, cardholder account management, reporting and customer service.
Charts
TPNL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up a sensational 420% versus an 8% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were buyers last year at $3.60 a share using stock options.
They have not done any recent selling.
TPNL's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from 42 cents back in 2017 to $5.33 a share last year. The stock based and has since shot higher again. It is at a multi-year high.
TPNL's daily chart shows the stock climbing from around $4 in 2019 to a peak at $8.36 in February.
The stock then put down a tight vlat base.
The breakout Wednesday comes with a widening of the daily spread and expanding volume.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts are forecasting a 56% surge in net to 14 cents a share from the 9 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the street is at 16 cents a share.
Looking out to 2020, analysts predict a 100% jump in net to 28 cents a share from the anticipated 14 cents this year.
Net for the first quarter is expected to be 2 cents a share. There is no comparison from the year before.
For the second quarter, analysts project a profit of 3 cents a share.
Currently, two analysts follow the stock.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting TPNL for a move to $11.50 within the next few months.
A protective stop can be placed near $8.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Above Average.
Suitability: Aggressive Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Extremely Bullish - TPNL scored some massive gains off some of its recent breakouts. The stock is in a long-term up trend.
Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish - TPNL rose 7 times after the past 10 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Bullish. - TPNL averaged a gain of 8.7% in April but a loss of 0.8% in May the past several years.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
96% |
2/5/2019 |
4.51 |
8.83 |
2/5/2019 |
83% |
7/27/2018 |
2.69 |
4.93 |
9/20/2018 |
190% |
5/24/2018 |
1.70 |
4.93 |
9/20/2018 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating 3Pea International Inc. (TPNL) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PCTY - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CACC - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ODFL - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WNS - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 10
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stocks. Many medical stocks breaking down. Aggressive bears can be venturesome.
CEVA, based in Mountain View, Ca., produces electronic devices. Annual revenues: $78 million. CEVA's stock falls sharply Wednesday and undercuts key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside.
So far today, CEVA is trading1.2 million shares - 12 times its average daily volume of 94,835 shares.
TTD highlighted CEVA as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
CEVA's stock gapped lower in the morning and undercut key technical support.
The stock touched an intraday low of 22.76 in the morning. The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day until the mid-afternoon when it lifted to around $24.
Tape Action
CEVA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $27.78 to $23.25 Wednesday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 13,476 shares crossed the tape at $23.40.
That was down from the prior block at $27.78 on 13,555 shares the prior session.
Business
CEVA is a licensor of signal processing intellectual property.
The company partners with semiconductor companies and OEM's to make mobile, consumer, automotive, industrial and Internet products.
CEVA makes communications, audio and voice, imaging and vision, and storage products.
Earnings:
This year, analysts are forecasting a 26% drop in net to 39 cents a share from the 53 cents the year before.
For the first quarter, the Street expects a breakeven at 4 cents a share.
Then in the second quarter they predict a 25% drop in net to 3 cents a share from 4 cents the year brefore.
Charts:
CEVA's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with heavy volume and cutting below support. The stock has been trending lower since topping at $51 in 2017.
CEVA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 35% versus a 8% rise in the S&P 500 index.
Insiders have been recent sellers at $28 a share.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CEVA for a decline to $19 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $25.40.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Bearish. - CEVA rose 2 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Activity Slightly Bullish - CEVA averaged a decline of 4% in April but a rise of 9.3% in May the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CEVA - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)