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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 18 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under 
Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
1 - TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long - (Intermediate-term long plays) these are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
2 -TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long - (Short-term long plays These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
3 - TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - (Long Term long plays. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
4 - TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small as stock market sells off today. Market moving to the lower part of its trading range. Bulls be selective and watchful of all stops. This week is short due to a holiday. One might expect a rally later this week prior to the extended weekend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011)
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TITN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TITN, based in Fargo, N.D., sells agricultural and construction machinery.
Annual revenues: $979 million. TITN's stock breaks out today from an eight-week flat base and makes a new 52-week high. TTD highlighted the stock as an accumulation buy about a week ago. TITN's move today was sparked by stronger than expected net for the fiscal fourth quarter ended January 30. 
TTD highlighted TITN as a breakout at our midsession video web show Monday.
The stock gapped higher in the morning to clear its base (see 10-minute chart). The stock dipped a little but then rallied modestly the rest of the day.
TITN was able to buck the stock market's sharp decline today.
TITN reported net for the fiscal fourth quarter jumped to 57 cents a share from 19 cents a year ago. The 57 cents topped the consensus estimate of 36 cents and also the highest estimate on the Street of 43 cents.
TTD has said when a company posts earnings above the highest estimate and moves higher on the news, it could work higher for the next few weeks. We see that possibility here with TITN.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades. One can see the price for the blocks climbing from #27.50 to $31.48. The key bullish trade today came in the morning when 17,973 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $29.80. That was up from the prior block trade at $28.41.
TITN has a mix of agricultural, construction, and consumer products dealerships located in the upper Midwest.
TITN is a dealer for Case IH, Case Construction, New Holland, and New Holland Construction. TITN also represents shortline equipment to meet specialized customer demand and niche products.
TITN's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 78% versus a 15% gain for the S&P 500 index.
TITN's long-term chart shows the stock going public in late 2007. It climbed from 13 to a peak of 34. It then was dragged lower by the bear market sinking to 7.50 by early 2009. It has since made a remarkable comeback. It is now in position to make a new 52-week high. To make an all-time high it needs to climb over $34.49.
TITN's daily chart shows the stock driving ahead from 16 in October to a
peak of 28 in March. TITN formed a tight flat base bracketed between
roughly 25 and 28. 
The breakout today is impressive coming with a gap move, widening of the daily trading spread and expanding volume. You can not ask for much more.
The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of the chart) is in an overall up trend. That shows there has been good buying in the stock recently and no subtle selling while it was basing.
TITN has been expanding via acquisitions.
Net for the upcoming fiscal first quarter ending in April should leap 114% to 19 cents a share from 9 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 24 cents a share.
TTD sees chances for an upside surprise. Also, earnings would represent an acceleration in quarterly earnings growth. That is bullish.
Overall, net for the fiscal year ending January of 2012 should climb 35%..
Strategy Opinion: TTD had suggested accumulation of a partial stake in TITN. (see prior report). TTD is now targeting TITN for a move to 38. That is up from our prior target of 35. A protective stop can be placed near 27. TTD rates TITN a good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is 3-star rated Columbia Small Cap Value Fund with a 4.8% stake. It has held its position steady. A key buyer recently was 3-star rated Oppenheimer Discovery A Fund which purchased 270,770 shares. TITN has 17.9 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much activity lately. Six analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, the same as three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Titan Machinery Inc. - (TITN) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RGLD - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - USPH - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GTU - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AMRN - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 20 - max.
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Flood of short plays today as stock market falls sharply on concern about U.S. debt. Bears be selective as market is still in a trading range. TTD's short from Friday was Google Inc. (GOOG) at 533. Today, GOOG is now trading at 525 and working well for bears.
SLAB, based in Austing, Tex., makes analog-intensive, mixed-signal integrated circuits for the communications industry. Annual revenues: $493 million. SLAB's stock fall sharply today. The move causes to stock to undercut key technical support. SLAB is expected to report a sharp decline in earnings for the first quarter. So far today, SLAB is trading 261,789 shares. Its average daily volume is 370,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
SLAB's stock gapped lower at the opening. It finally made a bottom in the early afternoon at $40.75. The stock rallied modestly late in the day to trim its loss.
The stock's tape action shows the recent big blocks.
One can see a key block trade coming this morning when 4,494 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $41.41. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $41.96. The tape action showed aggressive selling in the morning, although it was light in terms of institutional activity.
SLAB's mixed-signal integrated circuits are electronic components that convert analog signals, such as sound and radio waves, into digital signals that electronic products can process.
Mixed-signal integrated circuits are critical components of numerous communications products, including cellular telephones, cable and satellite set-top boxes, modems and fax machines.
Analysts expect SLAB to show a 61% drop in earnings for the fiscal first quarter. They see 17 cents a share, down from 44 cents a year ago. Overall, net for the year is expected to decline 25% to $1.23 a share from $1.65 a year ago.
SLAB's chart shows the stock cutting below near-term support. The stock's overall chart pattern is a head-and-shoulder topping setup. SLAB's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SLAB for a decline to 34 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 43.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SLAB - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
