Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Monday, April 18, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 18, 2016 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Ticker Tape Digest's Midsession Stock Market Video Show(Posted 12:30 to 1 p.m. NYSE Time) Go to TTD Stock Market Show For - MondayGo to Shows for Latest Week: Monday
-
Tuesday
-
Wednesday
-
Thursday
-
Friday
|
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 6
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small but some good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market holds to current up trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GOOGL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
GOOGL, based in Mountain View, Ca., provides online advertising services in the United States and the rest of the world. Annual revenues: $75 billion. GOOGL's stock breaks out from a six-month flat base Monday. The stock nears a new all-time high.
TTD featured GOOGL as a potential breakout last week.
So far today, GOOGL is trading 1.7 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.5 million shares.
The stock has been a good performer having appreciated 43% the past 12 months.
Monday, GOOGL surged higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint line (see 10-minute chart).
The stock then backed off slightly in the morning. However, it continued to rally during the day.
It finished the session near its high and well above its breakpoint line.
GOOGL's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks rising from $779.70 in the prior session to as high as $787.68 Monday,
A key bullish trade came late on Friday when a block of 85,174 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $780.
That was up from the prior block trade at $779.70 on 50,000 shares.
The near the close Monday a block of 51,856 shares (duplicated) crossed at $787.68.
That was up sharply form the prior block in the morning at $780 on 16,660 shares.
The company offers performance and brand advertising services. It operates through Google and Other Bets segments.
The Google segment includes onternet products, such as Search, Ads, Commerce, Maps, YouTube, Apps, Cloud, Android, Chrome, and Google Play, as well as technical infrastructure and newer efforts, such as Virtual Reality.
This segment also sells hardware products comprising Chromecast, Chromebooks, and Nexus.
The Other Bets segment includes businesses, such as Access/Google Fiber, Calico, Nest, Verily, GV, Google Capital, and X,
GOOGL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 45% versus a breakeven for the stock market.
There has been a steady flow of insider selling.
GOOGL's long-term chart shows the stock climbing to a peak of 373 in 2007. The stock then fell back to 123 in 2008 due to the bear market.
The stock then trended higher the next several years. It reached an all-time high of 810.35 earlier this year.
It is in position to make a new high. That would be bullish.
GOOGL's daily chart shows the stock rallying to around 790 in December. It broke out but then faded back.
The stock rallied and pushed through its breakpoint again in February, but faded back again.
Now GOOGL breaks through once again.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line is trending sideways.
It has not yet shown any burst of buying yet. If it does that would be a good confirmation of a follow through on the breakout.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 21% increase in net to $27.61 a share from $22.84 a year ago.
The stock has a price-earnings ratio of 28. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2017, the Street is currently looking for a 17% rise in net to $32.26 a share from the anticipated $27.61 for this year.
Near-term, quarterly earnings are expected to show an acceleration in growth. That is very bullish.
Net for the first quarter is expected to rise 23% to $6.37 a share from $5.20 a year ago.
Then for the second profits are projected to jump 36% to $6.71 a share from $4.93 the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 950.
A protective stop can be placed near 750.
TTD rates GOOGL and above average intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Average. A key fund buyer recently was the Fidelity Contrafund, 5-star rated, that bought 26,600 shares. It has a 0.7% stake.
However, the 4-star rated VA CollegeAmerica Growth Fund of America 529F was a recent seller of 800,677 shares. It has a 0.4% stake.
GOOGL has 292 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 79% of the stock and insiders 1%.
Insider Activity: Not available.
Currently, 51 analysts follow the stock, 48 have a buy, down from 49 three months ago.
GOOGL has a book value of $175.07 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Alphabet Inc. - (GOOGL) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UEIC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NTT - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HD - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TLK - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 1
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Only one short as stock market rallies broadly. Bears be conservative. Stock market remains in overall up trend.
ARMH, based in England, makes microprocessors and software. Annual revenues: $1.4 billion. ARMH's stock falls Monday after being downgraded by Jefferies to a hold from a buy. So far today, ARMH is trading 2.9 million shares, almost triple its average daily volume of 1. million shares.
TTD highlighted ARMH as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
ARMH's stock gapped lower in the morning. It touched an intraday low of 40.69.
The stock then lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.
ARMH's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $42.01 in the prior session to as low as $40.83 Monday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 11,887 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $40.83.
That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $42.01 on 14,494 shares.
ARMH sells development tools that enhance the performance of embedded applications. Its products include microprocessor cores, which consist of specific functions, such as video, graphics, display technology, and Bluetooth radio IP; and physical IP components for the design of integrated circuits, which comprise SoCs, embedded memories, standard cells, and input/output components.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 12% increase in net to $1.29 a share from $1.16 a year ago. However, they expect a deceleration in quarterly earnings growth. Net for the first quarter is expected to rise 15% but then by only 3% in the second quarter.
ARMH's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key technical support with a pick up in volume. That is bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ARMH for a decline to 35 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 43.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ARMH - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)