By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's
Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers
1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.
2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.
3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.
4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.
Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)
Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance)
Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)
Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance)
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco firstname.lastname@example.org.
For service, email Beverly Owen email@example.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Friday - April 20, 2018
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 11
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Breakout list shows several leading stocks that have topped Street estimates.
Stock market - Mixed. Daily market averages shows the Nasdaq Bearish. The Weekly shows the Dow and S&P 500 bearish. Bulls be conservative.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Dow - Bullish
Dow - Bearish
Dow - Bullish,
Nasdaq - Bearish
Nasdaq - Bullish
Nasdaq - Bullish
S&P 500 - Bullish
S&P 500 - Bearish
S&P 500 - Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ETFC - ABOVE AVERAGE
ETFC, based in New York, provides brokerage services. Annual revenues: $2.5 billion. ETFC's stock moves higher Friday and breaks out from a six-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a nine-year high.
ETFC is a leader in the strong brokerage sector.
So far today, ETFC is trading 6.2 million shares, double its average daily volume of 3 million shares.
TTD highlighted ETFC as a breakout at our midsession video show on the web Friday.
The company came in with first quarter net of 88 cents a share. That topped the Street consensus estimate of 79 cents a share.
The stock responded bullishly off the news.
ETFC's stock moved higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line. The stock then reached an intraday peak at $61.80.
The stock then backed off slightly in the afternoon, but held above the breakpoint.
ETFC's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $58.30 in the morning to as high as $60.82 Friday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 9,000 shares crossed the tape at $59.
That was up from the prior block at $58.30 on 130,753 shares.
Near the close Friday a block of 170,787 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $60.48.
That was up from the prior block at $60.37 on 70,841 shares.
ETFC provides online brokerage and related products and services primarily to individual retail investors.
The company also provides investor-focused banking products, primarily sweep deposits, to retail investors.
It provides its services to customers through its digital platforms and network of industry-licensed customer service representatives and financial consultants, over the phone and by e-mail.
ETFC's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 74% versus an 18% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were buyers using stock options at $17.58 and also buying at $43 and $31. They were sellers around $50 recently.
ETFC's long-term chart shows the stock making a bottom in 2012 at $7.08.
The stock has since been trending steadily high having made an eightfold move. It has now made a 10-year high. That is bullish.
Back in 2010, the stock had a 1-for-10 reverse split.
ETFC's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $44 in November to a peak near $58 by March.
The stock pulled back and formed a cup-and-handle base.
ETFC broke out four sessions ago, but then faded back.
Friday, the stock breaks through a breakpoint zone with a good expansion in volume. That is bullish.
ETFC's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 53% surge in net to $3.36 a share from the $2.19 the year before.
Analysts have recently lifted their estimates.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 17. TTD sees that as attractive for value-growth investors.
Looking out to 2019, the Street is currently forecasting a modest 13% increase in net to $3.79 a share from the anticipated $3.36 this year.
Net for the next two quarters will be very strong.
For the second quarter, the Street is expecting a 62% jump in net to 84 cents a share from the 52 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 87 cents a share.
TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise. The company topped the consensus estimate the past four quarters by 9 cents a share, 2 cents, 4 cents and 4 cents. .
Net for the third quarter is expected to leap 45% to 80 cents a share from 45 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ETFC for a move to $75. A protective stop can be placed near $57.
TTD rates ETFC an average intermediate-term play.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Bullish. ETFC has scored some big gains from prior breakouts.
Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish. ETFC rose 6 times out of the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Slightly Bullish. ETFC has risen an average of 1.9% in April the past five years. It was up 1% for May.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A.
Date of Breakout
Break point Price
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A
Date Trade Closed
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
|TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
E. Trade Financial Corp. (ETFC)
|TTD Check List||Bullish||Bearish||Neutral|
|Near 52-week High||YES|
|Price Trend - Daily||YES|
|Price Trend - Long Term||YES|
|Price Daily Spread||YES|
|Base - A-D||YES|
|Prior Breakout Success||YES|
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FFBC - ABOVE AVERAGE
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GTLS - ABOVE AVERAGE
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UMPQ - ABOVE AVERAGE
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RNST - ABOVE AVERAGE
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 8
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Modest list of breakdown stock with several food and beverage plays. Bears be conservative.
TTD's short from Thursday was Sleep Number Corp. (SNBR) at $31.38. Friday, SNBR falls $1.14 to $30.24.
VTR, based in Chicago, is a real estate investment trust (REIT) with properties in the U.S., Canada and U.K. Annual revenues: $3.6 billion. VTR's stock declines Friday and undercuts key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside.
So far today, VTR is trading 2.3 million shares, the same as its average daily volume.
VTR was highlighted as a short by TTD at our midsession video show.
VTR's stock fell steadily in the morning, paused around midday and then in the afternoon touched its low for the day of $46.80.
VTR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $47.83 in the morning to as low as $46.95.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 3,130 shares crossed the tape at $47.50.
That was down from the prior block trade at 135,863 shares at $47.83.
Then near the close a massive block of 415,761 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $47.01.
That was down from the prior block trade at $47.06 on 3,396 shares.
The Company operates through three segments: triple-net leased properties, senior living operations and office operations.
Under its triple-net leased properties segment, the Company invests in and owns seniors housing and healthcare properties throughout the United States and the United Kingdom and leases those properties to healthcare operating companies under triple-net or absolute-net leases that obligate the tenants to pay all property-related expenses.
In its senior living operations segment, it invests in seniors housing communities throughout the United States and Canada and engages independent operators to manage those communities.
In its office operations segment, the Company primarily acquires, owns, develops, leases and manages medical office buildings (MOBs) and life science and innovation centers throughout the United States.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 4% declined in net to $4.01 a share from the $4.16 the year before.
Net for the first quarter is expected to be off 3% to $1.01 a share from the $1.04 the year before.
VTR's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from $65 to around $48. Friday, the stock breaks below key technical support.
VTR's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 28% versus a 15% gain for the stock market. Insiders have not been buyers for the past few years.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting VTR for a decline to 40 within the next few months, or sooner. A a protective stop buy can be placed near $49.
Suitability: Average Bears.
TTD's special probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Slightly Bearish. VTR rose just 4 times after the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Neutral. VTR declined an average of 0.9% in April but rose 2.1% in May the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VTR - BELOW AVERAGE
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)