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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Thursday, April 22

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Thursday, April 22

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Investors Go To TTD Bargain Setups - Feature  - Monday, April 19

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday April 19


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short


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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday, April 22, 2010


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades"  (swing trades). Ideally suited for entry into stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Good for trading range markets

 (See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)


Conservative Bearish Investors  (swing traders).  "Bargain Bearish Plays" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for trading range markets with overall market down trend.

  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long  These are for conservative bullish Investors The strategy is called swing trading. These long buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. They are good for trading range markets. These stocks can give a good return in a week or two. They can also explode into a breakout and a powerful advance.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.

  TTD's Bearish bargain play stocks to sell short. These issues are usually in down trends and are poised to rollover after a minor rally. They often can provide a conservative bear with a good entry point.

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings.TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


                                                                                                  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 15

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull side - Good number of breakout stocks today with some good quality plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market continues to show good resilience.

(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE  Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish


Today's Featured Breakout Stock

F5 Networks Inc. (FFIV) - 71.18,  up 4.22 - Breakpoint 65.40

Hits 9-Year High, Net to Rise 30%, TTD Targets 84

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FFIV -  ABOVE AVERAGE

  FFIV, based in Seattle, Wash., provides application delivery networking products that ensure security. Annual revenues: $678 million. FFIV breaks out today from a six-week flat base and hits a new 9-year high. The stock is a leader. So far today, FFIV is trading 4.3 million shares, four times its normal daily volume of 1.1 million shares.

  FFIV's breakout today is a reemerging from a base after it faded back on a breakout move seven sessions ago.

  FFIV's 10 minute chart shows the stock breaking through key resistance in the morning with a strong move and expanding volume intraday.

  The stock continued to work higher clearing the base with ease. The move was impressive!

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the big block trades in the morning.

  One can see the price of the blocks zooming from $65.17 to $70.

  A key trade came in the morning when a big block of 15,000 shares crossed the tape at $68.86. That was up sharply from the prior block trade that crossed at $65.17. That showed aggressive institutional buying.

  FFIV came in with net for the fiscal second quarter ending March 30 of 56 cents a share, up from 38 cents a year ago. Results were 11% above the consensus estimate on the Street. The stock reacted very bullishly to the news. It also boosted its earnings forecast for the fiscal third quarter.

 FFIV makes application delivery networking products for security and optimization.

 The company’s core technology is hardware and software for application delivery networking. It also includes application security, secure remote access, wide area network optimization and file virtualization.

 All of its products are systems that integrate its software with purpose-built hardware that incorporates commodity components. The Company’s BIG-Internet protocol product family supports Global Traffic Manager, Link Controller, Application Security Manager and WebAccelerator. It also sells ASM, FirePass, WANJet and WebAccelerator as separate, stand-alone products.

  FFIV's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 160% versus a 40% increase for the S&P 500 index.

  FFIV's long-term chart shows the stock as one of the most powerful issues since the bear market low in 2009. Since that time FFIV's stock has soared from 20 to 71. It remains in a strong up trend long-term.   

  

  FFIV's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 40 to 65 and then putting down a flat base. The stock attempted a breakout seven sessions ago. However, it stalled. Today, FFIV drives sharply higher to clear the base.

  The stock is riding comfortably above its rising 50-day moving average line.

  The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has hit a new peak and is confirming the breakout is coming on good buying.

  FFIV said net for the fiscal third quarter ending June 30 should be 57 to 59 cents a share. That is more than the current consensus estimate of 56 cents a share. A year ago, the firm earned 29 cents a share.

  It said revenues for the quarter should be $214 to $219 million. That is up from Street estimates of $206 million.

 For the fiscal year ending September 30, analysts were estimating net to be up 30% to $1.54 a share from $1.19 a year ago. Those estimates should be lifted,.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting FFIV for a move to 84. The stock is acting very strong and closed near its high for the session. That is very bullish. A protective stop can be placed near 65. TTD rates FFIV a very good intermediate-term play.

  Sponsorship:Excellent. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated Fidelity Contrafund wit a 3% stake. it was a recent buyer of 492,000 shares. FFIV has 80 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Some light insider selling the past few months. The latest selling was at $61.23. Currently, 29 analysts follow the stock, 13 have a buy, down from 14 three months ago.



  Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.    


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating

F5 Networks Inc.  - (FFIV)

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume YES    
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES    
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 14 0 0

All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)


  


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ADS - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NVR - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MNRO - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CGNX - AVERAGE


Weekly - Conservative Investors Bearish (swing traders) - Go To TTD Bargain Short Trade Setups - Monday, April 19

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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 7

Stocks Screened - 8,2007

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Small number of breakdown stocks today. However, some interesting plays. Stock market appears to have peaked near-term. TTD's feature short from Wednesday was Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) - 18.30, down 3.03. Today, it is down to 18 and working well for bears so far.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)

  


Commentary on TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Ebay Inc. (EBAY)  - 24.53, down 1.76

Lowers Profit Forecast, TTD Sees Slide to 20.50

  EBAY, based in San Jose, Ca., provides a website for buyers and sellers globally on a daily basis to sell products. Annual revenues: $8.7 billion. EBAY's stock gaps lower today after the company lowered its forecast of second quarter earnings. So far today, EBAY is trading 47 million shares, triple its normal daily volume of 14.9 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  EBAY's stock fell sharply in pre-market trading. It then trended sideways most of the day with just a small list. The trading indicated very little rebound ability.

 TTD's clip of the tape shows the early morning trading blocks in EBAY. One can see a key trade of 200,000 share at $24.15 at 08:37 a.m. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $26.29. The tape action indicated heavy institutional selling pressure in the morning.

  However, late in the day there were some big blocks moving higher in price. So, there was some nibbling on the stock after the gap drop.

  EBAY came in with first quarter net of 30 cents a share, up from 28 cents a year ago. They were in line with estimates.

 However, the company said net for the second quarter would be between 37 and 39 cents a share. That is down from consensus Street estimates of 40 cents a share.

  For the year, analysts are forecasting an 11% increase in net to $1.44 a share from $1.29 a year ago.

  EBAY's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. There is key support near 22.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting EBAY for a decline to 20.50. TTD sees the stock as a trading short with potential for a surprise move lower than expected if earnings disappoint further. A protective stop buy can be placed near 26.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)