Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Thursday, April 25, 2013

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Thursday, April 25, 2013

Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday - April 25, 2013

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 22

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Above Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Large number of breakouts with some interesting plays. Bulls be venturesome. Stock market in a near-term consolidation pattern.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - April 25

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

MPLX Lp (MPLX) - 38.88, up 0.69 - Breakpoint 38.63

Net to Soar 616% This Year, TTD Targets 47

  MPLX, based in Findlay, Ohio, operates and develops crude oil pipelines. Annual revenues: $462 million. MPLX breaks out today from an eight-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. MPLX came pubic late last year.

  So far today, MPLX is trading 115,602 shares. Its average daily volume is 103,000 shares.

  The stock moved slightly higher in the morning to get over its breakpoint. It then trended sideways into the afternoon.

  Around 2 p.m. MPLX jumped sharply to put some distance between it and its breakpoint. The stock held most of the gain into the final bell. (See 10-minute chart)

  MPLX's tape action is shown by its recent big block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $38.07 on Wednesday to as high as $39 Thursday.

  A key bullish trade came late on Wednesday when a block of 58,800 shares crossed the tape at $38.15.

  That was up from the prior block trade at $38.10.     

  MPLX  is a fee-based limited partnership formed to own, operate, develop and acquire crude oil, refined product and other hydrocarbon-based product pipelines and other midstream assets.

 The company's assets consist of a network of common carrier crude oil and product pipeline systems and associated storage assets in the Midwest and Gulf Coast regions of the United States.

  MPLX's 12-month performance chart shows six months of the stock's performance. During the six months, the stock has appreciated 43%. It has been an outstanding performance.

  One can see on the chart the green bars showing insider buying back in November. The insiders are doing very well.

  MPLX's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in November and trading around 25. The stock has since advanced to 38. It has been a star performer among recent new issue.   

  MPLX's daily chart show the stock advancing from 28 in November to 38 by March.

  The stock then put down a flat base. In the prior session it rose sharply. Today, it gets over the breakpoint.

  MPLX's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.

  The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a solid up trend indicating good underlying buying.

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 616% surge in profits to $1.29 a share from the 18 cents a share of a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  29.  TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Net for 2014 is projected to rise 27% to $1.63 a share from the anticipated $1.29 a share this year.

  For the upcoming first quarter the Street is looking for a profit of 27 cents a share. No comparison was available from a year ago.

  MPLX will report net on April 30.

  Going out to the second quarter, analysts expect 28 cents a share.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MPLX for a move to 47 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 36. TTD rates MPLY a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is 4-star rated Baron Small Cap Retail Fund with a 1.1% stake. It has held its position steady.  A key buyer recently was 5-star rated Oppenheimer SteelPath MLP Alpha A Fund which purchased 236,238 shares.

  MPLX has 73.9 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 42% of the stock

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders have been granted options, but no price was disclosed. They have done no selling. Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, down from 3 three months ago.

Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks today. Bears be selective. Stock market in a trading range.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Valassis Communications Inc. (VCI) - 25.42, down 2.42

Profits Decline, TTD Sees Side to 21

 VCI, based in Livonia, Mich., provides marketing services. Annual revenues: $660 million. VCI's stock falls sharply today on heavy volume. The company reported disappointing earnings for the first quarter. TTD sees more on the downside.

  So far today, VCI is trading 1.7 million shares, four times its normal daily volume of 439,000 shares.

  The company reported first quarter earnings declined to 54 cents a share from 60 cents a year ago. The 54 cents was well below the consensus estimate on the Street of 65 cents a share - and also below the lowest estimate at 63 cents a share.

  The stock took the news bearishly. VCI's stock gapped lower in the morning and hit an intraday low of 23.72. The stock then edged higher the rest of the day to trim some of its loss.

  VCI's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $28.27 to as low as $24.10. A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 11,525 shares crossed the tape at $24.88. That was down from the prior block trade at $27.84.

  VCI offers marketing services to consumer packaged goods manufacturers, retailers, technology companies and other customers with operations in the United States, Europe, Mexico and Canada.

  VCI  provides a combination of home-delivered media products and services at the market, neighborhood and household targeted levels and can integrate all three levels of targeting into a single solution.

  This year, analysts have been forecasting a 13% rise in net to $3.37 a share from $2.97 a year ago. However, the estimate should come down after the first quarter disappointment.

   VCI's daily chart shows the gap move lower Thursday and the heavy volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has turned bearish.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting VCI for a decline to 22 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 26.80.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2013

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)