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Ticker Tape Digest

Tuesday, April 29, 2008


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

  Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily breakout and Short Selling report. It contains Breakout Stocks and Stocks under Significant Accumulation.

Data is from tape action for the day. These stocks are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points for leading stocks.

These stocks will do very well during bull markets and strong market rallies.

TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks

will do very well during bear markets or market corrections

TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

Quote or chart

TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the break point. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull side -  Very few breakouts today as market is mixed. Bulls be patient and watchful.

Long- term Environment for bulls:  Bearish

Market Status (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market Status (Weekly) -NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market Status (Monthly) NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish


Today's Featured Breakout Stock

Flowserve Corp. (FLS) - 123.94, up 9.40 - Breakpoint 115

Posts Strong Profits, TTD Sees Push to 145

  FLS, based in Irving, Tex., makes fluid-handling equipment and related components, primarily for the specialty chemical and petroleum and food-processing industries. Annual revenues: $3.8 billion. FLS breaks out from a five-week base today and hits a new high. The stock's move was triggered by favorable earnings. Volume so far today is running at 2.2 million shares, triple its normal daily volume of 764,000 shares.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the stock under heavy buying in the morning. A big block of 63,200 shares crossed the tape on a nice up tick to $125 from the prior trade at $124.01. The action indicated aggressive institutional buying off the earnings report.

  TTD highlighted FLS as a breakout at our midsession show in the Web.

  FLS checked in with a 159% surge in profits to $1.53 a share from 59 cents a year ago. The earnings were a big upside surprise. They not only topped the consensus estimate on the Street of 95 cents a share, but also the highest estimate at $1.07 a share.

 TTD has said when a company can top the highest estimate it has a good chance to move higher that day and for the next several weeks. We see that potential with FLS. The reason is that analysts will be forced to up year estimates and the stock could attract more recommendations from Wall Street.

  FLS  produces metallic and nonmetallic centrifugal pumps and related components, as well as automatic-control, rotary, and anti-noise valves that are sold under various brand names. The company markets its products through independent distributors, sales representatives, and a direct sales force.    

  TTD's long-term chart shows FLS as market leader hitting a new high.

  Our performance chart shows that in the past 12 months, FLS stock has appreciated 102% versus a 5% drop in the S&P 500.

  TTD's daily chart shows the gap move today. Gap breakouts are often very bullish if the volume is not overdone. TTD sees this gap breakout as okay.

  The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a strong up trend and has hit a new peak. That is good confirmation the breakout is supported by good buying.

  FLS posted a 31% increase in bookings for the first quarter to $1.4 billion. That bodes well for upcoming quarters. It is benefiting from strong sales of original equipment and aftermarket products.

  Net for the second quarter is projected to rise 34% to $1.31 a share from 98 cents a year ago.

 Going out for the year, TTD sees net climbing 32% to $5.50 a share from $4.15 a year ago. The Street consensus is currently at $5.38 a share.

 Strategy Opinion: FLS looks like a good breakout. It is a bit extended off the earnings news. TTD suggests scaling-in. We are looking for the stock to climb to 150 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near 113 giving it some room. TTD rates FLS a good intermediate-term play because of the strong earnings outlook.

  Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is 3-star rated Fidelity Advisor Mid Cap Fund with a big 6.4% stake. It has held its position steady. One of the largest buyers lately was 5-star rated American Century Heritage Fund which purchased 360,000 shares.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Only light buying took place by insiders this year. They then turned around and sold. Five analysts follow the stock, just one has a buy, the same as three months ago.


  


  Stock Performance Chart for One Year versus the S&P 500 index.


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Flowserve Corp. (FLS)
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES  
Volume Expansion YES  
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 14 0 0

All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)

  


Charts of Breakout Stocks



Ticker Tape Digest's

Pre-Market Breakout Watch List

Stocks with Strong Projected Earnings Growth

Selections - Wednesday - April 30, 2008


Ticker Tape Digest provides a list of potential breakout stocks from our screen of companies that will show some of the strongest earnings gains. One of the best ways to play these stocks is to study the list and then place a stop buy order to catch the stock on the breakout.

One can take either a full position on the breakout if they are aggressive, or scale-in looking to add to the stake later if they are conservative. TTD's premarket breakout watch list gives you a great opportunity "to be prepared for the next key breakout stock just before it happens." The list will be updated daily and the screen monthly.


TTD's Breakout Watch List Set up on April 1, 2008

Latest prices are for April 29


Stocks with Gain in blue have surpassed their breakpoint and have broken out of their base.

Stocks with Gain in red have not broken out of their base yet.



Pre-Market Breakout Watch List

Stocks - Recent IPOs


Guide: Symbol=Ticker, Name=Corporate name, Entry is the buy price to enter on the breakout, Last=prior close, Change=change from last close to prior, Date=date of price of close etc, Gain in blue is price above breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is price below breakpoint (entry)., % Gain in blue is % over breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is % below breakpoint (entry)

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.


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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 18

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral

Bear Side -  Large number of breakdown stocks as market shows internal weakness. Leaders in agricultural area backing off now. Bears be venturesome.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)


Commentary on TTD’s Feature Bear Play

RTI International Metals Inc. (RTI) - 41.23, off 6.65

Falls on Big Volume, TTD Sees Slide to 35

  RTI, based in Niles, Ohio, produces titanium-mill and other specialty metal products. Annual revenues: $627 million. RTI falls sharply today in heavy volume after reporting just a slight increase in first quarter profits. The stock slumps 6 points today. Volume so far today is running 2.3 million shares, four times its normal daily volume of 635,000 shares. The stock's breakdown opens the door to what TTD sees  as more on the downside.

  A key disappointment to the Street was that sales came in at just $151 million. Analysts were forecasting $165 million.

  TTD's tape clip shows that selling kicked in early in the day. A big block of 26,000 shares crossed the tape on a modest down tick to $42.92 from the prior trade at $42.93. The action showed big institutional selling pressure.

 RTI operates two business groups: Titanium Group and the Fabrication & Distribution Group. These mill products are used in the aerospace, defense, and energy industries both for commercial and military manufacturing.

 The Titanium Group products include plate, sheet, bloom, billet, slab, ingot, and tubular products. The Fabrication & Distribution Group manufactures and distributes titanium and specialty metals, extruded shapes, and engineered systems for the energy, aerospace, and military markets.

For the upcoming second quarter, analysts are forecasting an 8% drop in earnings. Overall, net for the year should rise a modest 9% to $4.36 a share from the $4 a share a year ago. TTD sees chances for those earnings estimates to be cut.

  RTI's stock has been in a down trend falling from 80 to 45 in recent months. Today it aggressively cuts below key support at 41 on big volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line has turned down indicating significant selling pressure. TTD is targeting RTI for a decline to 35 within the next few months. TTD sees chances for a possible greater drop.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)