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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Wednesday. April 30, 2014

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Wednesday, April 30  2014

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 28, 2013

See TTD's Top Performing Breakouts 2011-2012-2013


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


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Ticker Tape Digest

Wednesday - April 30, 2014


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

 


  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8

Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list showing hotel stocks pushing out of bases. Bulls be selective. Stock market still in trading range.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Wednesday

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Strategic Hotels and Resorts Inc. (BEE)  - 10.81, up 0.27 - Breakpoint 10.53

Net to Soar 80% This Year, TTD Targets 58

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BEE - AVERAGE

 BEE, based in Chicago, acquires and asset-manages up-scale hotels. Annual revenues: $900 million. BEE's stock breaks out today from a nine-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a five-year high. So far today BEE is trading a heavy 3.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is 2.4 million shares.

  TTD highlighted BEE as a breakout at our midsession video show on the We Wednesday.

  The stock moved higher along with several other hotel issues.

  BEE stock rose steadily in the morning to clear its breakpoint (see 10-minute chart).

  The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day holding above its breakpoint.

  BEE's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks working higher from $10.49 in the prior session to as high as $10.80.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 80,816 shares crossed the tape at $10.73.

  That was up from the prior block at $10.51 on 49,354 shares.

  The jump in the price for the bullish block indicated aggressive institutional buying.     

  Strategic Hotels & Resorts, Inc. was set up to acquire and asset-manage upper upscale and luxury hotels that are subject to long-term management contracts.

  The company operates as a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust.

  BEE does not operate any of its hotels directly; instead it employs internationally known hotel management companies to operate them for the company.

BEE wholly owns or leases 14 hotels. The Company’s existing hotels are operated under the  Fairmont, Four Seasons, Hyatt, InterContinental, JW Marriott, Loews, Marriott, Ritz-Carlton and Westin and the Hotel del Coronado. The customers include individual or group business and leisure travelers

  BEE's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 34% versus a 19% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  BEE's long-term chart shows the stock coming public back in 2006 and trading at 22. The stock later fell hard during the bear market dropping to 78 cents a share.

  The stock has eventually worked its way back the past few years to around 10. The push to a new multi-year high could draw in more interest.   

  BEE's daily chart shows  the stock advancing from 8.50 back in October to around 10.50. The stock then put down a tight flat base.

  The breakout today comes with a nice widening of the daily spread.

  Volume shows a modest expansion.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) broke out to the upside before the price of the stock. That showed good underlying accumulation.

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 38% jump in profits to 59 cents a share from 43 cents a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 18. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Looking out to 2015, the Street projects an 18% improvement in profits to 70 cents a share from the anticipated 59 cents a share this year.

  The company will report first quarter earnings on Wednesday, May 7.

  The Street is looking for a robust 480% surge in profits to 6 cents a share from one cent a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 11 cents a share. TTD sees chances for a mild upside earnings surprise. The past two quarters, BEE topped the consensus estimate by two cents a share and one cent (see table).

  Looking ahead to the second quarter, the Street is forecasting a 29% gain in net to 18 cents a share from 14 cents a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BEE for a move to 13.50. A protective stop can be placed near 10.

  TTD rates BEE a good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Cohen & Steers Realty Shares Fund which purchased 893,727 shares. It has a 3.9% stake.

  Also the 5-star rated Baron Real Estate Institutional Fund was a recent buyer of 186,300 shares.

  BEE's stock is 98% held by institutions.

  Insider Activity: Bullish. Insiders have plenty of stock options. The latest is at a price of  $9.54. The stock will need to move higher for them to cash in. So, that makes it bullish. Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, the same as three months ago.



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Strategic Hotels & Resorts  - (BEE)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term     YES
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term     YES
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 12 0 2

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AV  - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CMP -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - H - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IFF - AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 5

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of shorts with many with disappointing news. Bears be selective. TTD's short from Tuesday was Waters Corp. (WAT) at 99.53. Today it has declined to 98.45 and is working well for bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

NCR Corp. (NCR) - 30.56, down 2.01

Earnings Decline for the Quarter, TTD Sees Decline to 35

 NCR, based in Duluth, Ga., provides ATM solutions and other services. Annual revenues: $6.1 billion. NCR's stock falls sharply today after the company reported lower earnings for the first quarter. So far today, NCR is trading a heavy 10.5 million shares, five times its average daily volume of 1.9 million shares.

The company reported first quarter net declined to 31 cents a share from 37 cents a year ago.

Excluding special items, profits fell to 50 cents a share from 54 cents a year before.

NCR Corporation was originally incorporated in 1884.

  TTD highlighted NCR as a short at our midsession video show on the Web.  

  The stock fell sharply in the morning hitting an intraday low of 28.64. It bounced back a bit and then trended sideways the rest of the session.

  NCR's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $32.76 in the prior session to as low as $30 on Wednesday.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a massive block of 168,618 shares crossed the tape at $30. That was down from the prior block trade at $30.90. The tape showed heavy institutional selling pressure.

  The company  provides products that enable businesses to connect, interact and transact with their customers.

  It provides automated teller machines , self-service kiosks and point of sale devices, as well as software applications that can be used by consumers to enable them to interact with businesses from their computer or mobile device.

  NCR's are expected to rise 9% this year to $3.06 a share from $2.81 a year ago.

  NCR's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a down trend indicating clear institutional selling pressure.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NCR for a decline to 25 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 32.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NCR - AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2014

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)